This Bargain Bred Sprint battle in the Tale of Two Places <\/B>will be a face off between 3 year olds and the older bargain breds.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It also will be a battle between the morning line favorites that each have problems versus the long shots.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>These cheap horses will shock some of the more expensively bred champions next year in the stakes races.<\/P> CZAR DELTA<\/B> (53-1)<\/P> Over x Barrera<\/P> O\/T writer<\/I> and the breeder of this long shot sends this lightly raced 3YO into this battle of bargain bred sprinters.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It has fought hard in the allowance conditions since its maiden win 5 races back.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Success for this colt has been on the turf.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This will only be its second race on the dirt when it posted a 76.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>There does seem to be too much speed in this race for this turfer but wait until it hits the turf again.<\/P> ABSCO<\/B> (30-1)<\/P> Strike Smartly x Heart<\/P> Another long shot that had a promising early career as a 3YO with an allowance win in only its fourth race, but today it races as a 5YO.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It has been shuffled back and forth between routes and sprints over its career and lately has been posting a mid-80s speed rating in the sprints.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It is non-winner in its last 13 races and has declining numbers for O\/T battledmg<\/I><\/P> MIX IT GOOD <\/B>(11-1)<\/P> Shernazar x To The Quick<\/P> This is another 5YO in today\u2019s race that has posted a 96 average over its last 3 races in the sprint division.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Throw out its last race that was at 1 1\/16M and this closer could be a major threat for the favorites.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The shorter distance will not be a plus Saturday.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It should post a mid-90s number but with an average jock it will need to make its move a lot sooner if it expects to find the winners circle which it has not done in 6 races.<\/P> THE REAL DEAL<\/B> (3-1)<\/P> Authenticate x Polish Patriot<\/P> This 4YO colt is the odds-on favorite Saturday.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It has won 5 of its last seven races and has a 102 average in the sprints.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This colt has had 8 O\/T\u2019s, but the current O\/T mpeace777<\/I> has awakened this horse with 7 wins mostly in starter allowances and an occasional allowance race.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This stalker will be about 4 to 7 lengths off pace Saturday and might need more distance than the race is scheduled for.\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/P> ALMOST SCARY<\/B> (12-1)<\/P> Crafty x Shelter Half<\/P> This 3YO colt O\/T by sagamore<\/I> has won 2 of its last 5 races and I have real good feeling for this horse.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This lightly race 3YO has come alive since May and its last two wins, in allowance company, it posted a nice 101 rating.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It should press for the lead and has one of the better jocks on board Saturday.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This beauty has 5 weeks of rest and I expect to see this horse compete next year in some of the smaller stakes and maybe graded race.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Three races back it finished a very close second in the Bargain Dash<\/B>.<\/P> BALLISTA<\/B> (17-1)<\/P> Medieval Rival x Sword Dance<\/P> Here is another lightly raced 3YO that has found some early success in the allowance races.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>O\/T txbred<\/I> has moved this young colt slowly through the allowance conditions and could pop a stakes win Saturday if it improves like it did in its last race.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This front runner will love the distance and it has an outstanding jock onboard.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The switch to dirt in its third race has made colt a threat for stakes races in the future<\/P> CATAMATIC<\/B> (24-1)<\/P> Bonus Time Cat x Hot Secret<\/P> This 3YO has been a good claimer for O\/T dsg<\/I>.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This youngster was claimed for $2K and a win in a $20K claimer in its last race with an 88.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This horse is a true closer in the sprint division because it has had problems finding success with this style in the routes.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>A decent jock but today\u2019s competitors are a little bit stronger than it has faced in the claiming ranks<\/P> SPARE KEY<\/B> (30-1)<\/P> French Envoy x Robin des Pins<\/P> This lightly raced 3YO colt broke its maiden 3 races back and has averaged a 94 since its win.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This stalker will press the leaders hoping that they break down at the turn\u00a0and it can swoop in and finish in the money.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I see a good future for this 3YO and it loves this distance for O\/T bursar<\/I>.<\/P> CORAL CROWD<\/B> (7-1)<\/P> Crowd x Northern Regent<\/P> This 4YO has finished in the money in 19 of its thirty-five races.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This allowance winner has its best days when it can stalk the leaders about 5 to 7 lengths off the pace, and if falls any further back it has trouble finishing.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This is an up and down horse for O\/T muninn240<\/I> who has 3 wins in its last six races.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>A weird fact about this colt is that when it wins it posts a 100 rating, but if it has an off day look for an 89 over its last 6 races.<\/P> POMMIE PONY<\/B> (12-1)<\/P> Dara Monarch x Moulin<\/P> In its last 6 races this 4YO colt has 3 wins and 2 places for O\/T dundey8<\/I>.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This closer will be at the back of the pack that has 3 wins in routes and 2 wins in sprints.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Last out it won an allowance race for NW1X and in its last 6 races it seems to have found its stride but its numbers are in the mid-90s.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I think it might just need a little bit more distance and in the future look for it to be a threat in some smaller stakes races a 1M or so.<\/P> EMPIRE OF This lightly raced 3YO has finished in the money in 9 of its ten races.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It has won 2 of its last three races with its last win being in the allowance conditions.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This front runner lost the Bargain Derby<\/B> this year after getting the lead in the stretch by a \u00bc length.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It is coming off a nice 6 week rest after it posted a 106 rating making this the true favorite Saturday for O\/T nyra<\/I>.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The jock onboard is Thomas who has 24% win percentage, watch out for this one.<\/P> BUKU KIRBY\u2019S <\/B>(15-1)<\/P> Tribunal x Danzatame<\/P> O\/T saltire2<\/I> picked up this 4YO colt in a $2500 claimer four races back.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This money maker has been posting some nice 90s speed numbers.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This colt has done very well in the claimers as its record shows 7 wins in 25 sprint starts.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It should be about 2 to 4 lengths off the pace but it will be facing tougher competition today than it has in the claimers.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u00a0<\/SPAN><\/P> FANCY GREY<\/B> (11-1)<\/P> Bee\u2019s Prospector x Jamie\u2019s Wish<\/P> This 3YO colt has won 4 of its last eight races.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>O\/T racinrich<\/I> stole this horse off the auction block and this will only be its second start for the new O\/T.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In the dirt sprints it has won 5 of its 7 starts and last out it posted a very nice 102 rating in Starter Allowance for $60K four weeks ago.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This stalker has had increasing speed numbers which I always look for in a winner.\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/P> MY FRIGGIN\u2019 AGGOTS<\/B> (21-1)<\/P> Seeking Daylight x Bright Again<\/P> This lightly raced 4YO is the off track specialist with 2 of its 3 wins coming on an off track.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Throw out its last two races in which it was misplaced. \u00a0<\/SPAN>If the track is not fast Saturday this horse should easily post a 90s number, but on a fast track it looks like an 80s horse.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This is a tough horse to judge, but with more experience O\/T jrth<\/I> might have nice little allowance horse on an off track surface.<\/P> IKE\u2019S MAN<\/B> (14-1)<\/P> Manlove x Alibi Ike<\/P> This 6YO winner of a $20K claimer 8 races back will be going a shorter distance today than it has recently.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It looks like O\/T mattress<\/I> hopes that the early speed it has shown in its route races will translate to win in today\u2019s sprint.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This 6YO has finished in the money in 14 of its 23 sprint races.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The declining numbers recently and racing on only 2 weeks rest makes it doubtful that this horse will see success in its first race for its new connections.\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/P> AZROC MYSTERY<\/B> (9-1)<\/P> Unaccounted For x Petong<\/P> This winner of 3 of its last six races will attempt to go wire to wire.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>There seems to be little speed in this race which could benefit this 4YO colt for O\/T aphill<\/I>, but it has had very little rest between races lately.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Two races back this speedster posted a 103 rating and has averaged a 98 for its connections.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It has come alive for me since I picked it up in a $5K claimer, but it does need some rest.<\/P> 11 \u2013 13 \u2013 5 \u2013 4 Long Shots Hope To Pull Off Upset<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":49,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5093","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5093","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/49"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5093"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5093\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5093"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5093"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5093"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}