{"id":49072,"date":"2019-05-18T08:09:50","date_gmt":"2019-05-18T12:09:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=49072"},"modified":"2019-05-18T07:10:54","modified_gmt":"2019-05-18T11:10:54","slug":"future-stars-series-its-a-sunday-funday-for-5-fillies-in-oklahoma","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=49072","title":{"rendered":"Future Stars Series – It’s a Sunday Funday for 5 Fillies in Oklahoma"},"content":{"rendered":"

First, a quick recap of last week\u2019s race.\u00a0 I finally got a pace prediction wrong, as I didn\u2019t think that Turns and Burns <\/b>was going to have the necessary gate speed, but it turns out that he did, and he and The Middle Man<\/b> locked into the early duel, with Iron Fisted<\/b> just off of them, another length back to Blanco Reef<\/b>, and then further back to the rest of the field.\u00a0 It was a blistering pace though, and the duel basically guaranteed that no one on the front end would be able to hold on.\u00a0 Sure enough, that came true, as flying late were Galileoff<\/b> and Petah Tikva<\/b>.\u00a0 Petah Tikva was in front early, but Galileoff came with a faster late move.\u00a0 In the end, it was Galileoff<\/b> ($12.90) would would get to the wire first, just \u00bc length ahead of Petah Tikva<\/b> in 2nd<\/sup>, both earning 106 SPs for their efforts.\u00a0 It was 2 lengths back to the fast closing Dawn De Vida<\/b> in 3rd<\/sup>, and The Middle Man<\/b> managed to hold onto 4th<\/sup> after sitting on the front end.<\/p>\n

This week, the Future Stars Series is going to do something that it\u2019s largely avoided to date \u2013 heading to a race with a small field.\u00a0 But with one of the strongest allowance fields this weekend, we finally get a chance to focus on the fillies!\u00a0 So we head to the Midwest, Oklahoma, where a field of 5 fillies try their hoofs at a NW4L at 9.5 furlongs on the dirt.\u00a0 The field is:<\/p>\n

#1 – Bazynaeon<\/b> (Broken Vow x Storm Bird x Stage Door Johnny) \u2013 Owned by empirehouse4<\/i> \u2013 9\/2<\/p>\n

Race Record<\/span>: 5:3-2-0; $20,000<\/p>\n

Race History<\/span>: Don\u2019t let the earnings fool you; Bazynaeon has talent.\u00a0 But this will be her first race outside of hot company.\u00a0 Taking on 3 male CPU horses in her debut, she easily set the pace and cruised to a 3-1\/2 length victory at 8.5f on the dirt.\u00a0 Her next 3 hot races, all in CPU Value-restricted races at 9-10f, were more legitimate fields of 11, 8 and 9 respectively, but it was only the 10f race where someone managed to close the huge gap she had created as a pacesetter, and she finished 2nd<\/sup>.\u00a0 Her most recent race, at 9f, saw her find her way back to protected hot company, and she only faced 1 legitimate competitor, who was a colt.\u00a0 Unfortunately, that legitimate competitor was a little better on that day and Bazynaeon found herself 5 lengths back in 2nd<\/sup>, after opening up as many as 8 lengths as the sole pace in the race.\u00a0 That effort, however, earned her a career high 91 SP.\u00a0 She\u2019ll head over to non-hot company for the first time today as she tries the 9.5f distance for the first time.<\/p>\n

Pedigree<\/span>: Broken Vow, a multiple graded stakes winner at 8.5-9f on the dirt, was the #44 ranked US sire in 2018 and currently stands in Kentucky for $25,000.\u00a0 His sim crops haven\u2019t quite caught up to his real life ones just yet, and his 2018 currently ranks #116 overall, with 72 runners and 42 winners to date, winning at a 14% rate.\u00a0 Of those, 2 have found their way to a stakes winner\u2019s circle, one of whom is a G3 winner at 6f on the dirt and the other who is a stakes winner and G3-placed at 8.5-9f on the dirt.\u00a0 Those horses have shown a strong preference for the dirt, with 72% of earnings coming on that surface.\u00a0 As for the distance, the earnings have a slight bias towards routes (56%), but the speed figures show a preference for sprinting, which is in line with his real life 7.26 AWD. The Broken Vow x Storm Bird cross has been used 4 times in the past 4 years.\u00a0 One of those four, 6yo Storming Jamison<\/b>, is a stakes-winning and G3-placed dirt sprinter, but the others have not done much to date.<\/p>\n

Expectations<\/span>: Bazynaeon has proven that she wants the lead.\u00a0 In hot company, when no one else has been a pacesetter, she\u2019s opened up huge leads early and dared her competitors to catch her.\u00a0 Only once in her career did she not get the lead immediately, but they were moving so fast up front that the horse who stuck her nose in front early quickly tired and left Bazynaeon all alone.\u00a0 The real question here is whether she can handle the company.\u00a0 She\u2019s facing some top competition today, and she was no match for a colt in her last race that would come back to a 3rd<\/sup> place finish in a NW4y allowance next time out.\u00a0 She\u2019s intriguing, but I\u2019d prefer betting on her underneath.<\/p>\n

Watch Level<\/span>: Medium<\/p>\n

#2 – Smiling Empire<\/b> (Empire Maker x Smiling Knight [Sadler\u2019s Wells x Kingmambo]) \u2013 Owned by given1<\/i> \u2013 7\/5 (f<\/i>)<\/p>\n

Race Record<\/span>: 6:3-2-0; $101,810<\/p>\n

Race History<\/span>: The sponsor of this race, Smiling Empire may not have been Given\u2019s key to a Derby win this year, but she\u2019s got some solid potential for the future.\u00a0 After debuting 2nd<\/sup> at 7f in October 2018, she stretched out to 8.5f and immediately responded with 2 solid wins.\u00a0 That was enough for her to open her 2019 campaign at the stakes level.\u00a0 Unfortunately, she struggled to get into the race, sitting midpack early and then tiring to finish 7th<\/sup>.\u00a0 She bounced back strong when she dropped back into NW3L company, however.\u00a0 Her first attempt at 9f saw her sit just off the pacesetter early and they stayed that way the entire race, earning her a 97 SP.\u00a0 In her most recent race, this time at 9.5f on the dirt, Smiling Empire still sat 2nd<\/sup> but let the pacesetter go a little faster, and then engulfed that pacesetter in the stretch, blowing out the field to win by 2-3\/4 and earning a career-high and field-high 98 SP.\u00a0 She\u2019ll try and repeat at the NW4L level here.<\/p>\n

Pedigree<\/span>: Empire Maker, the winner of the 2003 Belmont Stakes, was the #31 ranked US sire in 2018 and currently stands for $85,000 in Kentucky.\u00a0 His 2018 sim crop is currently ranked #36 overall, with 82 winners from 123 runners to date, winning at a 16% rate.\u00a0 Among those are 7 stakes winners, 2 of which have found G3 success (one in a turf mile and one at 9f on the dirt).\u00a0 He is the sire of 3 separate Sim Hall of Famers, Lex Luthor <\/b>(a turf router), K\u2019s Storm Maker <\/b>(a dirt sprinter) and Empire Reef <\/b>(a dirt router).\u00a0 Empire Maker\u2019s sim foals are typically dirt routers, with 63% of earnings coming on the dirt and 74% in routes (which lines up with his long-tending real life 7.63 AWD).\u00a0 Smiling Empire is the 11th<\/sup> of 12 foals from 16yo mare Smiling Knight.\u00a0 Smiling Knight won 5 races in her 30 race career, and was twice stakes-placed at 9-9.5f on the dirt, where she did her best running.\u00a0 She was a late bloomer, not really peaking until midway through her 4yo season.\u00a0 Her sim foals, however, have taken that ability and expanded on it.\u00a0 Of her 12 foals, 4 are graded stakes winners, including multiple G1 winner The Word <\/b>(A.P. Indy<\/i>), winner of the Players Club National Oaks-G1<\/span> and Birmingham Stakes-G1 <\/span>at 10f on the dirt (and 2nd<\/sup> in the Breeders Bowl Distaff<\/span>) as a 3yo in 2009.\u00a0 Smiling Knight\u2019s foals have varied as to whether they prefer dirt or turf; while The Word, one other stakes-placed foal and several of the allowance-level horses seem to prefer dirt, the 3 G2 winners are all turf stars.\u00a0 Most of her foals prefer to run routes or long-distance races. <\/i>Empire Maker has been bred to a Sadler\u2019s Wells mare 15 times in the last 4 years.\u00a0 Only one of those has taken home a stakes victory, with 2 URC residency-restricted stakes wins at 9-10f on the dirt.\u00a0 There seems to be a pretty even split of turf horses and dirt horses with that combination, though routing does seem to be the ideal distance.<\/p>\n

Expectations<\/span>: As the sponsor, one would expect that this race would set up perfectly for Smling Empire, and it looks like it does.\u00a0 Her last race indicated that she likes this surface and distance, and the NW4L is the next progression in her success.\u00a0 The race even sets up nicely for her stalking style, as she\u2019ll have a pacesetter out in front to chase after but she has the talent to move past that one.\u00a0 The only question mark on Smiling Empire is that she appeared to flop in her one stakes race to date.\u00a0 She catches a stakes winner here; is Smiling Empire able to outrun that rival?\u00a0 A top choice.<\/p>\n

Watch Level<\/span>: High<\/p>\n

#3 – Bringer of Chaos<\/b> (Empire Maker x Black Tuesday [Storm Cat x Kingmambo]) \u2013 Owned by fairhaven1<\/i> \u2013 2\/1<\/p>\n

Race Record<\/span>: 7:3-1-1; $144,860<\/p>\n

Race History<\/span>: Bringer of Chaos really began to peak later in her 2yo campaign as she stretched out in distances, taking 2 of her first 3 route efforts.\u00a0 Her most impressive race came in her 3yo debut though, as she stretched out to today\u2019s 9.5f dirt distance and tried stakes company for the first time.\u00a0 In that race, she sat dead last early, over 11 lengths off the lead, before slowly moving up late.\u00a0 At the top of the stretch, Bringer of Chaos kicked into another gear and blew past the competition, winning by \u00bd length with a 97 SP.\u00a0 From there, she took an interesting career path, heading into open (non-filly) stakes company.\u00a0 Her first try, at 9f, saw Bringer of Chaos display her strong closing kick for a 4th<\/sup> place finish, earning a career-high 98 SP, just 4-1\/4 lengths behind winner Kash Back Bonus<\/b>, who would go on to run 2nd<\/sup> in the California Derby-G1<\/span> next time out (and would then finish last in the Bluegrass Derby<\/span>).\u00a0 In her most recent race, back in March, Bringer of Chaos stretched back out to 9.5f, again in open company, but for the first time in her career didn\u2019t fire late, finishing 12th<\/sup> (the winner of that race, The Glaive<\/b>, would win the Corkscrew Stakes-G1<\/span> next time out and then finish 6th<\/sup> in the Bluegrass Derby<\/span>).\u00a0 Bringer of Chaos takes a class drop here and heads back to restricted company, where she looks to regain her winning ways.<\/p>\n

Pedigree<\/span>: For a description of Empire Maker, see Smiling Empire<\/i><\/b> above. Bringer of Chaos is the 11th<\/sup> of 12 foals from 15yo Sim Hall of Famer<\/span> Black Tuesday.\u00a0 Black Tuesday was a dominant force on the track in her day, winning 13 of 29 races, including taking some version of the NY Sim Triple Tiara by winning the Chestnut Stakes-G1<\/span> (11f), the Players Club National Oaks-G1<\/span> (10f), and the Birmingham Stakes-G1<\/span> (10f) as a 3yo.\u00a0 She has passed some of that ability down to her foals, as 4 of Bringer of Chaos\u2019s siblings are stakes winners (and 2 more are stakes placed), including G1-winning 5yo My Twisted Love<\/b> (Awesome Again<\/i>), winner of the 10f Movieland Shiny Cup-G1<\/span>, and 6yo Tuesday War <\/b>(War Front<\/i>), winner of The Ransom-G2<\/span> at 9f.\u00a0 Most of Black Tuesday\u2019s foals have preferred dirt routes in the 9-11f range, though a couple are stakes placed on the turf.\u00a0 Storm Cat mares have been sent to Empire Maker 20 times over the past 4 years, but only 1 other than Bringer of Chaos is a stakes winner, that horse scoring at 8.5f in a G3.<\/p>\n

Expectations<\/span>: Bringer of Chaos is the class of this field and it wouldn\u2019t be surprising to see her run like it.\u00a0 Expect her to break at the back of the pack early and bide her time before unleashing her speed.\u00a0 The only real question is whether her deep closing style will be hampered by the small field.\u00a0 But she likely has the most talent of any horse in this race, so you have to respect her.\u00a0 The pick.<\/p>\n

Watch Level<\/span>: High<\/p>\n

#4 – Brains Around Town<\/b> (Speightstown x Brains and Brawn [Smart Strike x Galileo (IRE)]) \u2013 Owned by redhill21<\/i> \u2013 5\/2<\/p>\n

Race Record<\/span>: 6:3-1-0; $81,501<\/p>\n

Race History<\/span>: Brains Around Town has been slowly building up her stamina, adding \u00bd-1 furlong for every race.\u00a0 After breaking her maiden at 5.5f on the dirt, she put up a few solid races at the NW2L but could never quite break through.\u00a0 That changed in March when she reached 8.5f for the first time.\u00a0 In that race, Brains Around Town assumed her usual stalking position early, 2-3 lengths off the lead, and then pounced as they entered the far turn, grabbing the lead and then holding off a late charge to win by \u00bc length with a career-high 96 SP.\u00a0 Brains Around Town stretched out to 9f for her most recent race but switched over to the turf, where she dropped further back than normal but came on strong late, winning by 2-1\/2 lengths with a 92 SP.\u00a0 She\u2019ll try to earn her three-in-a-row badge today.<\/p>\n

Pedigree<\/span>: Speightstown, the Eclipse Award champion sprinter in 2004, was the #15 ranked US sire in 2018 and currently stands in Kentucky for $85,000.\u00a0 His 2018 sim crop currently ranks #14 overall, with 95 winners from 121 runners to date, winning at an insane 24% rate.\u00a0 But while they\u2019ve had success winning, including 7 stakes winners, none have yet achieved graded stakes success. \u00a0However, 4 are graded stakes placed, 1 in a turf sprint, 1 in a dirt sprint, and 2 in dirt miles (though the crop as a whole strongly favors dirt sprints). Much life Speightstown\u2019s own racing career (and his real life 6.53 AWD), his sim foals are dirt sprinters, with 71% of earnings on dirt and 64% in sprints.\u00a0 Brains Around Town is the first foal from 7yo mare Brains And Brawn.\u00a0 Brains And Brawn was a winner of 7 races in her 37 race career, which was spent mostly at the allowance level.\u00a0 She did, however, manage to run 3rd<\/sup> in the 2015 Louisiana Oaks-G2<\/span> at 8.5f on the dirt.\u00a0 That 8-9f dirt range was where she spent most of her career, and she cracked a 110 SP twice at that distance.\u00a0 The Speightstown x Smart Strike cross is not a common one, most likely due to the 3×3 inbreeding to Mr. Prospector.\u00a0 But that combination does imply a ton of speed.\u00a0 Only 1 other horse shares the S x DS combo from the last 4 years, and that horse is a 2yo that ran 3rd<\/sup> at 6f in his debut last week.<\/p>\n

Expectations<\/span>: Brains Around Town is a filly that likes to sit a couple of lengths off the lead and then move later, which shouldn\u2019t be a problem in this field.\u00a0 She seems to have figured something out recently, as her last 2 races have been her best to date, and she gets another \u00bd furlong in today\u2019s race.\u00a0 She\u2019s a strong contender, the only concern is that she hasn\u2019t faced quite as strong opponents as some of today\u2019s competitors.\u00a0 But that\u2019s not a real reason to knock her.\u00a0 Legitimate.<\/p>\n

Watch Level<\/span>: High<\/p>\n

#5 – Brianna\u2019s Eyes<\/b> (Eye on Jacob x Brianna\u2019s Speed [Brilliant Speed x Kingmambo]) \u2013 Owned by dpcd1<\/i> \u2013 11\/1<\/p>\n

Race Record<\/span>: 4:3-0-0; $53,823<\/p>\n

Race History<\/span>: Brianna\u2019s Eyes\u2019 modest breeding has led to a cautious racing schedule.\u00a0 Held until her 3yo season, she debuted in January at 6f on the turf in a Brazilian local race, where she dueled for the lead but lost, tiring to finish 4th<\/sup>.\u00a0 All she\u2019s done since she switched to the dirt is rattle off 3 straight wire-to-wire victories.\u00a0 The first, at 5f in an Argentinian local race open to colts and fillies, saw Brianna\u2019s Eyes set the pace and never look back, earning a 74 SP.\u00a0 Her coming out part was in a 6.5f NW1x next time out, where she again set the pace and drew off to win by 1-1\/2 lengths, earning a career high 90 SP.\u00a0 She came back to the track 6 days later in a hot race at 6.5f and again dusted the competition, earning an 82 SP and winning by 2 lengths.\u00a0 Brianna\u2019s Eyes gets the biggest test of her career here, as she stretches way out to 9.5f and takes on this NW4L company.<\/p>\n

Pedigree<\/span>: Eye on Jacob is not an easy horse to find information on.\u00a0 This son of A.P. Indy won 2 of 9 career starts, both at the 8.5-9f range, and entered stud in Peru in 2013; according to the Thoroughbred Racing Commentary Global Rankings, Eye On Jacob is currently the #235 ranked sire with 2 G1 wins this year.\u00a0 In the sim, however, he didn\u2019t become a sire until 2018, so Brianna\u2019s Eyes is one of 2 horses in his freshman sim class.\u00a0 She is the only winner, so there\u2019s not much we can tell thus far.\u00a0 Brianna\u2019s Eyes is the 2nd<\/sup> foal from 8yo mare Brianna\u2019s Speed, a winner of 8 races in her 33 race career.\u00a0 A sprinter through-and-through, Brianna\u2019s Speed was a 2 time stakes winner at 5.5f on the dirt.\u00a0 She didn\u2019t seem to pass much of that talent down to her first foal, who picked up his only win in 7 career starts in a $35K maiden claimer at 4.5f on the turf.\u00a0 There\u2019s not much to say about the Eye of Jacob x Brilliant Speed cross, as Eye of Jacob only has 7 foals in the sim (and only 2 are older than 2).<\/p>\n

Expectations<\/span>: Brianna\u2019s Eyes is a bit of a conundrum for race handicappers today.\u00a0 She\u2019s definitely a pacesetter; the fact that she\u2019s been able to set the pace at anywhere from 5-6.5f means that she\u2019s got real early speed.\u00a0 But she\u2019s never tried anything close to this distance in her career.\u00a0 Her mother was a sprinter, though her father was a two-time winner in routes and is a son of A.P. Indy.\u00a0 She has also never faced this level of competition, having faced mostly local or hot competitors.\u00a0 So she\u2019ll get a test here.\u00a0 Is she up to that test?\u00a0 We\u2019ll have to see.<\/p>\n

Watch Level<\/span>: Medium<\/p>\n

—<\/p>\n

So there\u2019s your very short field of 5 for today\u2019s race.\u00a0 There is going to be a battle upfront early between sprinting pacesetter Brianna\u2019s Eyes<\/b> and routing burner Bazynaeon<\/b>.\u00a0 They\u2019ll duel for the lead early and I wouldn\u2019t be surprised if it was neck and neck (I\u2019m not even going to guess on which one would have the lead; the one who\u2019s usually 1-2 in front in a sprint, or the one who\u2019s usually 5-8 in front in routes).\u00a0 Behind them will be Smiling Empire<\/b>, followed by Brains Around Town<\/b>, and then WAY behind them early will be Bringer of Chaos<\/b>.\u00a0 But to me, the combination of the class drop and this pace duel sets up perfectly for Bringer of Chaos.\u00a0 Therefore, I\u2019m gonna guess that the race goes: (1) Bringer of Chaos<\/b>; (2) Smiling Empire<\/b>; (3) Brains Around Town<\/b>; (4) Bazynaeon<\/b>; (5) Brianna\u2019s Eyes<\/b>.\u00a0 But who knows?!<\/p>\n

Other Races to Watch This Weekend:<\/span><\/p>\n

1)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Maryland \u2013 Alw NW3L @ 8.5f<\/a><\/p>\n

2)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Arizona \u2013 Alw NW4L @ 8.5f<\/a><\/p>\n

3)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 California \u2013 Alw NW3L @ 6.5f<\/a><\/p>\n

4)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 New York \u2013 Alw NW4L @ 9f<\/a><\/p>\n

5)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Ohio \u2013 Alw NW3L @ 9.5f-T (Fillies)<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

First, a quick recap of last week\u2019s race.\u00a0 I finally got a pace prediction wrong, as I didn\u2019t think that<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":384,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[230,229,240],"class_list":["post-49072","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews","tag-3yo","tag-future-stars-series","tag-oklahoma"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49072","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/384"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=49072"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49072\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":49078,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49072\/revisions\/49078"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=49072"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=49072"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=49072"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}