The second leg of the first ever series of triple crown races sponsored by the EWC residency, and for residency members only, is rapidly approaching.\u00a0\u00a0 Several of the horses in the first round will be coming back for this second round and there are a set of other horses entered looking to be spoilers.\u00a0\u00a0 This race shifts to the Maryland track with the EWC Derby occurring in Ohio.\u00a0\u00a0 The Ohio race was run on an off track (labeled Good) and this race has a 90% chance of precipitation and it will most likely be awful conditions.\u00a0\u00a0 Here’s our field:<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
NOT IN CHARGE owned by Neonshadow (Post 4 \u00a0 13\/1)<\/p>\n
This is the horse that the bettting crowd doubted in the EWC Derby.\u00a0 In that 20 horse field, he had the 6th highest odds at 21\/1.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 He was a bit lazy leaving the gate, dropping into the 14th position by the first call.\u00a0 He lost 3 lengths heading to the halve, but somehow moved up three spots to 11th as other horses started to toss in their hats.\u00a0\u00a0 As the third call approached, Not in Charge started to make a charge and had advanced from 9 off the lead and sliced that in half to just a bit over 4 lengths and was now running fourth.\u00a0\u00a0 He just kept flying as he ran through the stretch, making his way to the lead in the final furlong and winning by 3\/4 of a length.\u00a0\u00a0 A solid career best speed of 102 was recorded and he earned his 3rd career win in 8 starts.\u00a0\u00a0 He is the live one for the residency’s triple crown and wears the target that all other runners are looking to score a bullseye upon.\u00a0 The wet track may have helped him in the Deerby effort and it looks like he’ll get it again.\u00a0\u00a0 The second leg could be all his.<\/p>\n
MALIBU WEEKEND owned by Pmill3 (Post 2 \u00a0 7\/1)<\/p>\n
The front runner in the EWC Derby is back and is hopeful the speed will last this time.\u00a0\u00a0 He had no problem in the Derby in taking command of the field, quickly breaking out of gate number 4 and benefited greatly with the inside post.\u00a0 By the first call, he had scored just over a three length solid lead on the field.\u00a0\u00a0 He paced himself well to the half, extending the lead by another stride.\u00a0\u00a0 Spinning around the turn, the field was advancing and the lead narrowed to about two lengths.\u00a0 Several horses caught up and ran past Malibu Weekend and the speedster ran out of fuel, finishing sixth a good eight strides off the winner.\u00a0\u00a0 The race was a tough one and the foes seemed to be a bit much for this guy.\u00a0 He’ll probably fire off to the front again in the Jewel, but I’m afraid the end results may be the same.<\/p>\n
MISS EQUADOR owned by Kashbarn\u00a0 (Post 11 \u00a0 5\/1)<\/p>\n
The 9\/1 third choice in the EWC Derby was off her game as she faced the boys for the first time.\u00a0 She usually starts races on the tail end of the field but this time she got out quicker and was positioned a mid-field 10th out of the 20 runners by the first call.\u00a0 She moved up a slot by the half but this gal who loves to blow things up in the last quarter just fizzled.\u00a0 She ran flat in the second half of the race and finished fifth to get some minor purse spoils but was 8 off the winner and was not a threat.\u00a0 She’s back and the poor outing could have been the early positioning closer to the front or the weather conditions.\u00a0 Could also be she wasn’t in the best of shape for this one.\u00a0\u00a0 She’s back for another try and not sold that improvement is in the cards as the track will most likely be wet again.<\/p>\n
READY FOR SEATTLE owned by Sjmeola\u00a0 (Post 9 \u00a0 6\/1)<\/p>\n
After showing success in a series of 5 listed stake\/grade races, and scoring a record of 2-1-2, Ready for Seattle entered into the EWC Derby and was anything but ‘ready’.\u00a0 A typical slow start came his way in the Derby as he ran in the 18th spot in the first quarter of the race. \u00a0 Not much changed until the second half of the race when he moved up to the ninth spot by the three-quarter pole, cutting his field position in half but not picking up any meaningful ground as he was 9 lengths off the leader. \u00a0 He would finish the race nine back at the wire and conclude in the 7th position. \u00a0 A disappointing outing for a runner that had the stake experience heading into the residency Derby.\u00a0 There is a likelihood the fowl weather effected his run and the weather conditions don’t look any better for this race.<\/p>\n
BRIDLEDINI owned by Millerfarm\u00a0 (Post 3 \u00a0 6\/1)<\/p>\n
This filly faced the boys for the first time in the EWC Derby and the 14\/1 runner left all but the winning male behind her.\u00a0 Sure, there were 20 horses in the field with 5 being fillies.\u00a0 That means the other 15 were males and she beat 14 of them as she finished second behind winning Not in Charge.\u00a0\u00a0 She was a well positioned 9th in the early running and was able to move up two slots by the half.\u00a0 She took off from there picking up 5 strides on the leader and sitting third as the field worked its way down the stretch.\u00a0\u00a0 She was able to briefly obtain the lead and was overtaken by the winner in the final furlong.\u00a0\u00a0 The distance is a tad shorter this time and this girl has revenge in her blood.\u00a0 She cannot be ruled out.<\/p>\n
BLOFELD’S SONG owned by Cuetec\u00a0 (Post 10 \u00a0 9\/1)<\/p>\n
A colt who had hit the board in all of his 6 starts saw this streak come to a conclusion in the EWC Derby.\u00a0\u00a0 Running more than 6 flanks for the first time he was spotted a decent position of fifth for most of the race.\u00a0\u00a0 He sat there until the final quarter of the race and offered nothing when asked to make a move coming off the final turn.\u00a0 Blofeld’s Song shuffled back and finished eighth in the race and was 10 strides off the winner.\u00a0 The weather may have played a roll in the race as it was off-track conditions which is expected to reoccur in the EWC Jewel.\u00a0 I think it may be more related to the distance being more than what he is comfortable with.\u00a0 The Jewel has slightly less distance but not that big of a change (1\/2-furlong) to have a meaningful impact.<\/p>\n
TSR’S SUPERNOVA owned by Tstack (Post 1 \u00a0 13\/1)<\/p>\n
Skipping the EWC Dereby, this daughter of Tapit comes out of game mare TSR’s Ready Star who is a G3 winner.\u00a0 Supernova is one of two entrants in the field with 14 starts and has a record of 4-3-2. \u00a0 She has raced in 8 listed\/graded races and has hit the board three times with a pair of seconds and a third. \u00a0 Otherwise he has been on the board in each non-stake race with a record of 4-1-1.\u00a0 Her last start was in the G2 Manhattan District Stakes at 7 furlongs where she was the front runner and a good portion of the field passed by her in the stretch and she finished 6th but notched a career best speed of 96. \u00a0 This will be her first start of more than a mile, of which she raced only once at a mile and had a mid-filed placing. \u00a0 Stake racing has been a tough class for her to compete within and this time it will be even tougher as she deals with a field that includes the men. tough.<\/p>\n
LOGIC OF ILLOGIC owned by Sjmeola\u00a0 (Post 12 \u00a0 10\/1)<\/p>\n
This gelding is one of the lightest raced horses in the field with only five career starts. \u00a0 He’s a scratch bred out of the breeding line of Classic Empire x Halo x Northern Dancer. \u00a0 His career started this past November where he was beat by a neck in his debut followed by a third in his second start, tiring after cutting the fractions. \u00a0 The maiden was broken in his third start where he sat back off the front end and was able to move forward in the stretch to gain the win. \u00a0 Moving up to a mile, his speed exploded to 100 in March as he brought home his second straight victory. \u00a0 His last start was with NW3L in allowance company and sat 6th throughout the race. \u00a0 He moves into his first stake race and he has potential of scoring a win if he can replicate that fine run in March.<\/p>\n
LAMELLAR owned by Atthewire\u00a0 (Post 6 \u00a0 9\/1)<\/p>\n
This colt returns to the residency’s triple crown series of races and is hopeful of leaving with a win.\u00a0 In April, he pulled off a second in an allowance NW2L with a career best speed of 97. \u00a0 That speed number was replicated in the EWC Derby.\u00a0 Lamellar found a decent spot running some three lengths off the pace setter by the first call in the second spot.\u00a0 He held this position through the second and third calls. \u00a0 He did move past the front runner in the stretch, but that came after two closers had already passed by him.\u00a0 Lamellar finished third in the Derby, five lengths off of winning Not in Charge and second place finisher Bridledini.\u00a0 I expect he will put in another fine effort but whether or not he can hold off the two horses that beat him may be a brutal task.<\/p>\n
FLAGSHIP KILLER owned by Marky4577 \u00a0 (Post 7 \u00a0 13\/1)<\/p>\n
The son of Uncle Mo skipped the EWC Derby and makes his stake debut in the residency’s Jewel race.\u00a0 He’s a scratchbred that carries Capote x Forty Niner on the tail end of the breeding line.\u00a0 He has a record of 1-1-2 in six starts with the last two at a distance of a mile.\u00a0\u00a0 In March he finished second in a seven horse field with a 93 speed and almost two back from the winner.\u00a0 Improvement in his last start in mid-April where he faced a full field of 14 with a speed bump up to 98\u00a0 and finishing third by pretty much the same distance as the March race.\u00a0\u00a0 His speed numbers have enhanced in every start and I have a feeling he desires a bit more distance.\u00a0 Flagship Killer gets just that in this race and if he finds a liking to a track that is probably going to be wet, he could steal this race.<\/p>\n
AWKWARD BEGINNINGS owned by Sjmeola \u00a0 (Post 5 \u00a0 10\/1)<\/p>\n
A consistent horse in listed stake races, Awkward Beginnings has a stake record of 2-3-0 in six races.\u00a0 All five of his first\/second finishes came in turf races.\u00a0 The only off the board race came in the EWC Derby, his first dirt race.\u00a0 He generally likes to be near the lead in the early running and got off sharply in the Derby racing in the third spot by the first call.\u00a0 But things turned awkward very quickly as he steadily lost ground as the race progressed.\u00a0 Moving around the final turn, he had faltered back to 13th and the stretch run provided no help as he finished 18th. \u00a0 This was his first race going more than 6.5 furlongs so the distance probably had an impact but more likely the switch to the dirt was not agreeable, especially the wet conditions.\u00a0 Nothing really changes for this race and the outcome may likely support the turf as a better place to run.<\/p>\n
HARD RUN RONNIE owned by Jm23stable\u00a0 (Post 13 \u00a0 22\/1)<\/p>\n
A big undertaken awaits this colt who is sired by Hard Spun.\u00a0 Nailed tothe Cross is the 5 time winning mare that is mother to this entrant and she has nine children with on listed stake winner.\u00a0 Hard Run Ronnie has 14 trips over the track with a record of 3-5-2.\u00a0 It took 7 starts for him to break his maiden and it occurred when he dropped out of MSW to maiden claimers last November.\u00a0 Since then, he has raced exclusively in the claiming class and is now onto his fourth owner. \u00a0 He has finished on the board in each of his races within the claiming class and for Jm23stable, has a win and a third in the two starts for his new owner, spitting out a career best speed of 90 in his last run at 7 furlongs.\u00a0 He takes a huge jump up into the stake class and his speed numbers will be hard pressed to reach that of his foes.\u00a0 He’s raced twice at a mile back in his maiden days and lost ground in both of those late in the race.\u00a0 Things not adding up well for this race.<\/p>\n
BLUEKIN owned by Denovo \u00a0 (Post 8\u00a0 26\/1)<\/p>\n
A filly who is seeking to break her maiden came up empty in her try in the EWC Derby where she entered the gate at 44\/1.\u00a0\u00a0 She left the chute very slow and dropped to the 19th spot.\u00a0 Despite moving up two spots by the third call, she had drifted back to some 14 lengths off the leader.\u00a0\u00a0 She managed to finish 13th and 17 strides off the winner.\u00a0 Picking up positions is a good thing but not gaining on the leader is even worse.\u00a0\u00a0 This was a disappointment as she marked a speed of 84 which was a dropoff from the 92 and second place finish from her start leading into the Derby event.\u00a0\u00a0 She’s back for the EWC Jewel event and will be running the 9.5 furlongs where she notched her best speed.\u00a0 It still looks doubtful that the maiden will break in this race but there is a chance she can show some improvement off the Derby race.<\/p>\n
PROMISE DA DO owned by Crawf68\u00a0 (Post 14 \u00a0 40\/1)<\/p>\n
A maiden colt who is sired by Noble’s Promise with 6 time winning Zippy\u00a0 Da Do Da as the game mare.\u00a0 This is one of six children out of the mare and two have become allowance winners. \u00a0 Promise Da Do has finished twice in his six races with the first coming on the dirt in March, 2018 in his debut race.\u00a0 He’s been off the board ever since then until his last start, which was a year after his debut in March 2019 where he dug in hard and made up several lengths in the last quarter of the 9 furlong race to land in third and bumped his speed up to 92, a career best. \u00a0 This came when he traded the dirt for the turf surface. \u00a0 Promise does look like he will favor longer distance and his speed numbers have been growing since taking on distance of a mile or more.\u00a0 He moves back to the dirt and I think improvement will follow.\u00a0 Still, he leaps into the stake contest without breaking the maiden which looks to be a hinderance.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
I believe the oddmakers got it wrong in this race in making Miss Equador the favorite. \u00a0 They ignored Not In Charge’s fine effort on the off-track and 8\/1 odds are appealing and he will be my top choice and will be on his way to the residency triple crown.<\/p>\n
Brideldini had a strong effort in the EWC Derby finishing behind my top choice and she will be right back with another good run.<\/p>\n
Logic of Illogic has improved considerably when moving up to the mile distance.\u00a0 He adds on more distance and could add more improvement.\u00a0 Potential upsetter.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
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