{"id":4761,"date":"2007-09-20T03:42:25","date_gmt":"2007-09-20T03:42:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=4761"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=4761","title":{"rendered":"Lake Bemidji Tipped in Lady\u2019s Long Turf Sprint"},"content":{"rendered":"

The World Cup brings the turf fillies and mares to Ohio, and the second race of the superb program is race eleven, with the running of the World Cup Ladies Long Turf Sprint<\/I> over seven furlongs on a firm surface. As in the preceding event, a field of twelve will fight it out for the half million dollar purse. Shaping as a most even event, the oddsmakers could not find an outright favorite, and seven of the dozen runners are at single figure prices in early markets. Lake<\/B><\/st1:PlaceType> Bemidji<\/st1:PlaceName><\/B><\/st1:place> and A.P. Geisha<\/B> head the betting at 4\/1. Ranger Charlie<\/B> and Lost My America<\/B> are next at 6\/1. Then Give Me Reasons<\/B>, 8\/1, Mirari\u2019s Wake<\/B> and Firsttime<\/B> at 9\/1.<\/P>

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We\u2019ll work through the field in racebook order:<\/P>

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Trevianna<\/B> exits from the coveted inside barrier as this three year old filly chases her seventh win at her seventeenth racetrack appearance. She began her racing career on the grass, winning a maiden and two stakes races as an early two year old. Her third in the G3-Booker T. Handicap<\/I> at her next outing was to be a minor pinnacle as her form gradually dropped off. Switched to the dirt for five runs, she wired a couple of allowance fields, before returning to the grass where her solid form gives her an outside chance of featuring in this race. A daughter of Tale Of The Cat<\/I> from bellissimo\u2019s \u2018exclusive\u2019 stakes placed broodmare Sima Blanca LC (Dixieland Band \/ Mill Reef)<\/I>, she\u2019s already far superior to the two prior offspring of the dam. Although she\u2019s generally failed to live up to her earlier promise, she\u2019s showing signs of returning to top form. A natural leader, she\u2019ll be prominent for a good way, and if left to an easy run, may take some catching.<\/P>

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Lake<\/B><\/st1:PlaceType> Bemidji<\/st1:PlaceName><\/B><\/st1:place> jumps from 2 and as the top qualifier for the event automatically earns enormous respect. The best recent pointers to her ability are a pair of classy black type wins within her five latest outings. In May she scampered over the Illinois<\/st1:place><\/st1:State> seven furlongs to take out an ungraded stake in 1.21.8, returning a speed figure of 107. Two starts later, this time in the G3-Boon Turf Stakes<\/I>, she flew from the clouds in the stretch to record the narrowest of victories, after giving the leaders nine lengths head start. Overall she\u2019s won 16 from 37 and banked just shy of $2 million. Not a bad return for a $20k claim just over two years ago. Her career highlight came with last December with victory in the G1-The No Respect Blitz<\/I> and a couple more Grade 1 ITM\u2019s prove that she\u2019ll have no class worries. ajr15<\/B> has had a mammoth run from this scratchbred daughter of Miswaki \/ Danzig \/ Damascus<\/I>. She shares the top rung in the betting market and Lake Bemidji<\/B> deserves to be the measuring stick this week.<\/P>

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Stall 3 is the starting slot for Brabasong<\/B>, a hugely talented three year old filly who has been stretched out in recent starts, despite boasting a sprint record of six wins and a second from seven runs. There\u2019s certainly nothing too shabby in her recent route formguide, given that it includes one graded and two ungraded victories, plus a grade 2 second and a couple of ungraded ITM\u2019s. But let\u2019s look at her sprinting record. Granted, it is all two year old form, but two graded wins, two stakes wins and one minor blemish is impossible to fault. Brabasong<\/B> is a daughter of Unbridled Song \/ Brabata <\/I>(Sadler\u2019s Well\u2019s \/ Mill Reef<\/I>). She\u2019s the third, and clearly most talented, foal of brabant<\/B>\u2019s Grade 1 placed, eight time stakeswinning, exclusively owned mare. We\u2019ll find out this week if sprinting is still her strong suit, but if it is, you\u2019re not likely to be able to find this extremely generous price available again for a long time.<\/P>

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Drawn in barrier 4 is Pushover<\/B>, the second and lower-ranked entry from the philpy<\/B> yard. She\u2019s a three year old worthy of a bit of consideration despite her lack of racing at anywhere near this level. Lightly raced with the just the nine starts under her belt, she won a stakes race at two, before doing the bulk of her three year old racing at allowance level, and until last start, exclusively on the dirt. It\u2019s that most recent allowance run which indicates she may have snuck in under the bookmakers guard here, and may be a better chance than the 25\/1 freely available in the market. It\u2019s impossible to totally dismiss a horse with a 100% record on the surface, and although the time was modest, the opposition contained plenty of talent, with the first five home all having previous black type success. Pushover<\/B> is a scratchbred daughter of Tale of the Cat \/ Deputy Minister \/ A.P. Indy<\/I>. She may well defy her name, so not exclude her from your chances.<\/P>

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From gate 5 emerges Ranger Charlie, <\/B>the veteran of the field at seven years, but with a modest total of just twenty eight races on her formguide. Her most recent successes have both been at this distance but on the dirt, and she\u2019s a bit of unknown quantity here, as it\u2019s only in her two most recent outings that she\u2019s changed surfaces. Both of her grass races were in black type events, both returned triple digit speed ratings, and her run two starts back when third in the G3-Boon Turf Stakes<\/I> would show that she\u2019s worthy of serious consideration. The oddsmakers have shown her plenty of respect, offering only 6\/1, and although this is her first tilt at Grade 1 racing, her current form shows that she\u2019s earned the shot. She\u2019s is a daughter of Forestry <\/I>from Billy\u2019s Slew<\/I> a grade 2 placed daughter of Danzig \/ Lyphard<\/I>. The mare is a billy<\/B> \u2018exclusive\u2019 and Ranger Charlie<\/I> is the best performed of her four progeny to date. She\u2019s not without some sort of chance.<\/P>

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Mirari\u2019s Wake<\/B> has drawn 6 and takes on the older brigade here for the first time after establishing herself firmly among the elite of her peers. A winner of eight of her fourteen runs to date, she\u2019s no stranger to black type opposition, having scored five ungraded victories prior to her career best so far, victory in the G3-Ain\u2019t No Bugs On Me<\/I> three starts back. Minor Question marks remain on a couple of points. Her only \u2018off the podium\u2019 finish of the year occurred in her only tilt at Grade 1 racing, the three year old G1-Smackdown III<\/I>, but she was fourth there, just two lengths from the winner. sender<\/B> has done a masterful job thus far with the scratchbred daughter of North Light \/ Carson City \/ Dynaformer <\/I>guiding her bank account to more than half a million dollars. Mirari\u2019s Wake<\/B> may well tackle the pole marker for the early lead, so tactics will be interesting. Her last start, close up third in the G3-Blonde and Freckled Handicap<\/EM> should have her perfectly primed for this, and 9\/1 looks enticing for a filly racing in great heart.<\/P>

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Druj\u2019s Best<\/B> draws 7. She\u2019s a three year old daughter of Kings Best<\/I> from Princess April <\/I>(El Gran Senor \/ Mr. Prospector<\/I>). Princess April<\/I> was a lightly raced winner of three from nine. Her five progeny to date include To Mega Therion<\/I>, a stakes placed son of With Approval, Informer<\/I>, a stakes placed son of Dynaformer<\/I> and Khlysti\u2019s Best<\/I>, an unraced son of King\u2019s Best<\/I>. Why so much about the family? Sadly, it\u2019s difficult to become enthused about the chances of the filly in question this week. She\u2019s a competent allowance quality runner who failed at her only previous sprint run, and has yet to record a triple digit speed rating. On the plus side, she has won three of her last six, but this is a huge jump in class. I think you may have slid one under the radar in the previous event, Jerry<\/B>, but I don\u2019t think I\u2019m being overly harsh to suggest she\u2019s just making up the numbers here. Now watch her make a fool of me :-).<\/P>

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Give Me Reasons<\/B> lines up in barrier 8 as this highly experienced five year old returns to graded racing for the first time since her early two year old days. A Grade 3 winner at two, most of her successes came at allowance level until five starts back when she once again saluted in an ungraded stake. She\u2019s still capable of turning in the odd triple digit performance, but doesn\u2019t do so often enough to inspire great confidence against this quality of opposition. Now a veteran of forty starts, a dozen wins have seen her bank in excess of $430k. Give Me Reasons<\/B> was bred by sending stakeswinning filly A.P. Czar (A.P. Indy \/ Czaravich)<\/I> to Silver Deputy<\/I>. mkracing2<\/B>\u2019s mare is the standout of her five issue to date, but sadly, I cannot give you too many reasons why Give Me Reasons<\/B> should appear among the main chances. A good jockey and an impressive stakes win five starts back in Italy<\/st1:country-region><\/st1:place>, but overall I think the bookies are being mean, offering just 8\/1. I\u2019ve been wrong plenty of times before.<\/P>

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From 9 comes Firsttime<\/B>, a three year old Grade 3 winner which has returned triple digit speed ratings at each of her last three. She may have bitten off a bit too much last start, when connections set her against the older mares in the G1-Sharon and Roys Gold Cup<\/I>, and the fact that she\u2019s faded in both starts against the older brigade is of some concern. Balancing that is the undeniable fact that her most recent run, the second in the open age division, was far superior to the first, she wasn\u2019t all that far away and can only have benefited from the experience. Firsttime<\/B> is a moderately bred daughter of Slew\u2019s Pot of Gold \/ Crafty Prospector \/ Tabasco Cat<\/I> and she\u2019s already repaid her modest creation costs. With nearly $300k in the bank from just fourteen starts, owner \/ breeder lookout<\/B> still has plenty to look forward to. She’s won six and finished on the podium in eleven of her fourteen starts. She\u2019s generally racing in a consistent and high quality manner. She\u2019s getting closer with experience at the top level, will be ridden by a master jockey and she\u2019s certainly worth plenty of thought here.<\/P>

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Mode<\/B> alights from gate 10 and since being switched to the grass two starts back she\u2019s added lengths to her ability. Her first seven starts on the dirt were more than handy, earning over $100k, as she picked up 2 ungraded victories plus a couple more ITM\u2019s. However, to assess the lightly raced three year old filly\u2019s chances this week, our best guide comes no further back than her most recent outing. Four weeks ago she lined up against the open aged female brigade for the first time. Granted, it was an ungraded event, but she covered the seven and a half furlongs in 1.28.4, returning a 107 speed figure, a repetition of which will put her right in the mix here. A scratchbred daughter of of Smarty Jones \/ Danzig \/ Secretariat<\/I>, Mode<\/B> is set to give owner \/ breeder philpy<\/B> a great sight this week. The 10\/1 looks good value, she has the services of a quality rider and looks to have a very bright future.<\/P>

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Gate 11 is the starting position for Lost My America<\/B>, a four year old winner of 10 from 25, a multiple stakeswinner who regularly returns triple digit speed figures. Prior to her last outing she appeared to struggle a tad when promoted to graded competition, but that last run may well have been a turning point, and will be the focus of the serious assessors as they contemplate this event. That run was clearly not lost on the oddsmakers, who have ranked her a 6\/1 chance here. The G2-Pepperton Mile<\/I> saw her finish third, less than three lengths from the winner, giving her best indication yet that she is genuine graded quality. A scratchbred daughter of Montjeu \/ Capote \/ Irish River<\/I>, she faces her greatest challenge here this week. She likes to race on the pace, but has proven she can win by taking a sit, so expect her top-ranked rider to slot her in behind the leaders and settle for a final charge. Trainer \/ breeder eddie72<\/B> has every right to expect Lost My America<\/B> to be right there at the business end.<\/P>

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The outside gate will be occupied by A.P. Geisha<\/B>, a mare still racing in great heart as she lines up for the fortieth time here. Two starts back in Ontario<\/st1:State><\/st1:place> she recorded a resounding victory in the G3-Scuzzy South Stakes<\/I>, stopping the clock at 1.09.5 and returning a 106 speed figure. That was win number 19. She\u2019s never far away, and at this time last year owner \/ breeder sera<\/B> prepared her to string five black type wins together. That was part of a twelve race patch where she won seven and ran second in another four. The series culminated in her career highlight to date, victory in the G2-Prancing Ferry Stakes<\/I>, and to see the scratchbred daughter of A.P. Indy \/ Forty Niner \/ Danzig<\/I> go one better here would surprise nobody. Drawing twelve may not suit her, as she likes to lead and has a couple of speedsters drawn inside, but she\u2019s been installed as 4\/1 equal for a very good reason. She\u2019s a very good mare. <\/P>

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Summary:<\/U><\/B> \u00a0<\/SPAN>The top ranked horse in race qualification is Lake<\/B><\/st1:PlaceType> Bemidji<\/st1:PlaceName><\/B><\/st1:place>, and I think she represents good value at 4\/1. I\u2019m tipping her to win. There could well be surprises in a very tough race, so we\u2019ll look for value in the placing selections. Mode<\/B> ran a 107 last start, equal highest speed rating on the past performance form page and 10\/1 looks great value, so I\u2019m putting her in second. Mirari\u2019s Wake<\/B> is consistent, and looks way over the odds, so she\u2019s tipped third. Brabasong<\/STRONG> is possibly the best value runner in the event and I may regret not finding room for her in the top three. Trevianna, Firsttime<\/B> and Lost My America<\/B> could all run big races without surprising. Pushover<\/B> is better than her price suggests. Ranger Charlie<\/B> and A.P. Geisha<\/B> are both real chances, but I\u2019d want better odds to support them, while Give me Reasons<\/B> will surprise me if she wins and Druj\u2019s Best<\/B> will surprise me if she doesn\u2019t run last.<\/P>

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Tough Long Sprint has Favorites at 4\/1<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":261,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4761","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4761","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/261"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4761"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4761\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4761"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4761"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4761"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}