{"id":473,"date":"2005-09-02T13:34:04","date_gmt":"2005-09-02T13:34:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=473"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=473","title":{"rendered":"SLY GO LIGHTLY FACES OLDER FOR THE FIRST TIME"},"content":{"rendered":"

New York<\/B><\/st1:State><\/st1:place>–<\/B>The nine furlong, $500,000, Grade I, Princess Di Cap has attracted only seven entrants.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Many people would say that a field of seven in a Grade I race results in a dreary race.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Generally, in a small field, there is one dominate horse that easily wins the race as the other horses are just in the field to pick up the second and third place checks.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>However I don\u2019t believe that is the case in this race.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I believe that almost all the fillies and mares in this field of seven bring some interesting story lines to the table.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Almost all have a talent to win if certain things happen and all face potential pitfalls.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>For example, Sly Go Lightly<\/B> is facing older fillies and mares for the first time, Spooky Ballet <\/B>and favored A Gold City <\/B>run best at longer distances and Arc Over Danzig<\/B> is trying to show that she is still a class filly.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Who will conquer their demons and win the race?\u00a0 <\/SPAN>As always, Official Hong Kong Track Handicapper, Pete \u2018The Hatchet\u2019 Wang tries to sift the wheat from the chaff and provide the answer of how the race will play out.<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

PP1 Pick6\u2019s <\/I>West Fan Ted<\/B>(6-1, Er Anderson).\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u201cFirst let me say that I think this will be a crackerjack race, but this mare demonstrates a problem with this older mare division after the top twenty.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It just doesn\u2019t really exist.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Hit the board in a graded race and you will be ranked in the top thirty.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>West Fan Ted is rated 29th<\/SUP> in the division after not winning in at least her last eight races.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The last three times that she run in graded company she has finished 8th<\/SUP>, 7th<\/SUP> and 4th<\/SUP>.\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I say this not to say that she doesn\u2019t have any talent, (she does) but to show that the division is populated very thinly.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In her career West Fan Ted has raced forty-five times, won six races and has earned over $274,000.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Pick 6<\/I> did a nice job of switching her to the turf and regenerating her career.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In her last race she finished second in a flat mile allowance and earned a 98 speed rating in doing so.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Her best speed rating in her last four races is that 98.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Seems to run her best when she gets clear early.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She might have a chance to gain that early lead as she could be the only true early speed horse in the race of this distance.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>If she gains that early lead she might be able to control the pace and pull off the upset.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Unfortunately, looking at her most recent past performances, she seems to stop when racing beyond a mile.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Probably she will only earn a minor share of the purse.\u201d<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

PP2, Oberon\u2019s <\/I>Sly Go Lightly(Ire)<\/B>(7\/2, Lawton<\/st1:City><\/st1:place>).\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u201cThree year old daughter of Sligo<\/st1:PlaceName> Bay<\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place> is facing older fillies and mares for the first time in her career.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Often, we see a young filly intimidated by those older women and sometimes they have a few sub par performances until they overcome the issue.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Obviously the first time is always fraught with doubt, however if she handles this race well, then a trip to the BB Turf Distaff is probable.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Sly Go Lightly is having a terrific three year old season and career.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Lifetime, she is 11 of 15 and has earned over $905,000.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Currently she is ranked 8th<\/SUP> in the three year old turf division.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Oberon has done a terrific job of managing her career.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>A stalker, Sly Go Lightly has won six of her last seven races, which include two G3 wins and two G2 triumphs.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The only loss in the sequence was an uncharacteristically poor performance in the G1 Cremation Stakes.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Her best speed rating in this sequence came in her last race, the G2 Roberto Clemente Handicap, a race that she earned a 108 in.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Besides having the facing older mares for the first time situation, Sly Go Lightly is facing the \u201cI\u2019ve never really raced nine furlongs syndrome\u201d.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>A new distance is always a concern, but her breeding suggests that nine furlongs is within her range of ability.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Put her in your exotic box.\u201d<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

PP3, Bigbro\u2019s <\/I>Seattle Dixie<\/st1:place><\/B>(72-1, Seppy).\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u201cUsually I\u2019d skewer a horse like this in my preview, but I know the connections.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>How you doing Mike?\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Long time no see.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Need a Northfield<\/st1:City><\/st1:place> Sunday or Thursday.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Now Seattle Dixie is an interesting filly, way back in 2002 she won four consecutive races, topped off by a big G1 Movieland Starlet victory.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In 2003, as a three year old she raced twice in the early part of the year and then she went on the shelf until this year.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Her comeback has been less then stellar, as she has yet to break an 82 speed rating.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Current connections paid over $2.1 million for her in the auction.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>That\u2019s a lot of money.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This race marks the first time she has ever raced long on the turf.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She is zero for two when racing on the turf, but Ragtime Band is a descendent of Northern Dancer and the connections have pulled off big odd upsets before.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Personally I think Seattle Dixie has a possible future as a dirt sprinter.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I can\u2019t recommend using based on current form.\u201d<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

PP4, Apmccoy\u2019s <\/I>Spooky Ballet<\/B>(5-2, Foster).\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u201cDaughter Silver Ghost is ranked 28th<\/SUP> in the division.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Lifetime she has won fifteen of twenty-four and has earned over $527,000.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>A closer, Spooky Ballet is always a solid competitor.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In her last eight races she has dominated the allowance and minor stake fields, entering six and winning six.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In that time period, Spooky Ballet has only faced graded company once.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>That came in her last start in the G1 Eddie O Cap and she was a solid third.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Best speed rating in her last eight races is a 109 that she earned in a 9.5 furlong race.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>9.5 furlong is probably her best distance, but she is competitive at 9 furlongs.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Include her in your exotic wager.\u201d<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

PP5, Stevemunoz\u2019s<\/I> A Gold City<\/B>(9-5, Davis<\/st1:City><\/st1:place>).\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u201cThe early morning favorite is a daughter of Seeking The Gold out of an A.P. Indy mare.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Currently she is ranked 6th<\/SUP> in the division, but would rank higher if all of her races were in the classic distance division.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She, however successfully makes many of her starts in the long turf division.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In her career, A Gold City has made a lot of \u2018gold\u2019 for her connections.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She earned over $1.1 million dollars while winning ten of twenty-three races.\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In her last eight races this standout filly has a G1 score, was second and fifth in two other G1\u2019s and has a first and a second in G2 races.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Her best speed rating in that stretch was a 109 that she earned while going ten furlongs in the G2 Adrian Adonis.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>As mentioned, A Gold City does not usually race at this distance but she does have a stake win at the distance way back in the early part of her three year old career.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Generally A Gold City likes to be in front early, but she can rate off the early lead if necessary.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She is the horse to beat and the potential stretch battle between her and Sly Go Lightly gives me shivers.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Put her in your exotic box.\u201d<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

PP6, Bigdaddyp\u2019s <\/I>\u00a0<\/SPAN>Alle Alle Ava<\/B>(8-1, Child).\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u201cAlle Alle Ave<\/st1:address><\/st1:Street> is a five year old daughter of Krusenstern.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>As the daughter of a bargain bred, Alle Alle Ave<\/st1:address><\/st1:Street> has had a very nice career.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Lifetime, she has won 4 of 36 and has earned over $223,000.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Alle Alle Ave<\/st1:address><\/st1:Street>\u2019s last win came in a seven furlong allowance in week 2503.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Best recent speed rating at the distance is a 96 that she had in her last race.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In that race, a stake, she closed to be fourth.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She could earn a minor award.\u201d<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

PP7, Whirlaaway\u2019s <\/I>Arc Over Danzig<\/st1:place><\/B>(5-1, Gunn).\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u201cThe last of the major contenders.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Arc Over Danzig is a four year old daughter of Danzig<\/st1:place> out of a Seattle Slew mare.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In her career she has won seven of thirty-one and has earned over $805,000.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Her last win was at this distance eight starts ago.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Since that win she has struggled, but a change of tactics in her last race may have changed her fortunes and added a new dimension to her ability.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The race in question was the Grade I Cedora D stakes, a 9.5 furlong affair.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In that race, Arc Over Danzig uncharacteristically went for the early lead, gained it and almost held on for the big win, finishing second with a 98 speed rating.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In almost all her prior starts, she had never really gone to the top.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>An astute move from a crafty trainer to successfully \u2018shake up\u2019 a struggling horse.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The last horse to use in your exotic wager.\u201d<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

Thanks for the analysis Pete.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>All in all it should be a terrific race.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Until next time, may the racing Gods favor you.<\/o:p><\/I><\/P><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Princess Di Cap comes up light with only seven entrants<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":415,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-473","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/473","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/415"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=473"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/473\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=473"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=473"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=473"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}