To steal a line from the Pet Shop Boys, I Got the Brains, You\u2019ve Got the Looks Lets Make Lots of Money<\/i>.\u00a0 Okay, so maybe I am giving myself too much credit, but I certainly handicap better than I look, and even though that\u2019s still not saying much, it is the only side of the phrase I can I can associate myself with.<\/p>\n
Breeder\u2019s Cup<\/b> Day is upon us, and with just a little too much time on my hands, I can\u2019t help but to add my Two Cents with my selections for both days.<\/p>\n
Now for the disclosure… The views expressed herein are solely the responsibility of the author and should not be interpreted as an intent to influence or persuade your betting choices.\u00a0 Trust me, if you have read my BTB<\/b> articles over the years or been to the track with me, then you are aware that I couldn\u2019t pick a winner in a Match Race.<\/p>\n
FRIDAY<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n BCJvTfSprL1000K Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n Is this even a BC race?\u00a0 Juvenile turf Sprint?\u00a0 Million Dollar purse and not even Graded status.\u00a0 Well, I have to pick one here so…Maybe a Show bet on the morning line 20-1 shot Stillwater Cove<\/b> might be my play here.\u00a0 This Filly took a length lead in the stretch after pushing suicide fractions in the One Mile G1 Natalma<\/i> LTO before giving way late.\u00a0 I\u2019m not sure this gal wants to be rated, but Irad<\/i> seems to have a better idea of how to handle this filly, who just might be too fast for these.<\/p>\n BCJvFlTf-G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n Fillies exiting the G2 Miss Grillo<\/i> stakes have done well in the Juvenile Fillies Turf.\u00a0 Chad Brown<\/i> pretty much has owned this race over the last few years.\u00a0 When you do the math, 1+1= Newspaperofrecord<\/b>.\u00a0 Not convinced?\u00a0 Watch a replay of the Ms Grillo<\/i>.\u00a0 This race provides a great opportunity as a single slot for you Pick-3\/4 players.<\/p>\n BCJuvFil-G1 Tito’s Handmade Vodka Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n Restless Rider<\/b> has the homefield advantage and was proclaimed as \u2018the best filly I ever trained\u2019 according to Kenny McPeek<\/i>.\u00a0 Bellafina<\/b> crushed a G1 field at Santa Anita in her last start, a track where 4 of the last 6 Juvy Fillies have exited.\u00a0 Serengeti Empress<\/b> won the G2 Pocahontas<\/i> over this very track by an eye popping 19 lengths.\u00a0 Trying to settle on one of these three is a remedy for disaster.\u00a0 Another race where I prefer to make a Show bet on a longshot, this one Cassies Dreamer<\/b>, who might have been the best horse in the G1 Spinaway<\/i> after a troubled trip and should appreciate two turns.<\/p>\n BCJuvTrf-G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf <\/span><\/b><\/p>\n The Euro\u2019s have pretty much owned this race, particularly Aidan O\u2019Brien and jockey Ryan Moore who have won four.\u00a0 That said… Anthony Van Dyck<\/b>.<\/p>\n BCJuvnle-G1 Sentient Jet Breeders’ Cup Juvenile<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n Considering the girls ran faster fractions in the G1 Alcibiades<\/i> than the boys and the time of the race was equal to the boy\u2019s time in the G1 Breeders Futurity<\/i> on the same day at Keeneland, I\u2019m going to toss all horses that exited the G1 Breeders Futurity<\/i>.\u00a0 This leaves horses exiting the G1 Champagne<\/i> and G1 American Pharoah<\/i>.\u00a0 Complexity<\/b> and Game Winner<\/b> where impressive winners respectively and are going to take the most interest at the betting windows, so I\u2019d rather focus on different options in this race.\u00a0 Code of Honor<\/b> has a troubled trip in the Champagne<\/i> to finish second while Gunmetal Gray<\/b> had to overcome a bobbled start to finish second to Game Winner in the G1 American Pharoah<\/i>.<\/p>\n SATURDAY<\/b><\/p>\n BCFMSprt-G1 Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n One of the top prep races for the Filly and Mare sprint has been the G2 TBA Stakes<\/i> at Keeneland.\u00a0 I am giving the edge in tis race to Golden Mischief<\/b> over Chalon<\/b> because she sits the better trip, has a win over Churchill, and has won a race at this distance.\u00a0 I\u2019m really splitting hairs here between these two horses that finished only a head apart in the G2 TBA<\/i>.<\/p>\n BCTrfSpt-G1 Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n I am taking the \u201chorse for course\u201d approach to the Turf Sprint.\u00a0 Despite getting the perfect trip to finish 2nd<\/sup> LTO in the G2 Woodford<\/i> at Keeneland, I am making Will Call<\/i> my top selection.\u00a0 He is two for two over this course and has been working out here since August.\u00a0 Vision Perfect<\/i> intrigues me here based on his victory over Bucchero<\/i> and Pay Any Price<\/i> back in March. I\u2019m tossing out his race in the G3 Turf Sprint<\/i> where he went off the favorite against Will Call<\/i> and Bucchero<\/i>.\u00a0 I am also keeping an eye on the tote board for Ruby Notion<\/i> who likes the Churchill Turf Course. I\u2019m always on board for a Show wager in a BC field.<\/p>\n BCDirtMi-G1 Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n Short and sweet…Firenze Fire is the best miler in this field for my money.<\/p>\n BCFMTrf-G1 Maker’s Mark Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n California horses don\u2019t fare very well in the Filly and mare Turf nor do Aidan O\u2019Brien<\/i> horses, so I will ignore those entries in this race.\u00a0 This race has become Chad Brown<\/i> vs. Europe over recent years and both Brown<\/i> and O\u2019brien<\/i> come here with both barrels loaded.\u00a0 The G1 Flower Bowl<\/i> has always been a key prep for the Filly and mare Turf, putting Brown\u2019s<\/i> Fourstar Crook<\/b> at the top of the list; of course, she has to beat Brown\u2019s<\/i> star in this division Sistercharlie<\/b>.\u00a0 I\u2019m hoping to find a big price on Santa Monica<\/b> for an across the board \/ Show longshot play against the favorites.<\/p>\n BCSprint-G1 TwinSpires Breeders’ Cup Sprint<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n As one of my top plays on the day, I\u2019m taking my shot on Limousine Liberal<\/b>.\u00a0 First of all, he loves this racetrack; secondly, I didn\u2019t think it possible that in a five horse field, a jockey like Jose Ortiz<\/i>, arguably the best in the country, could run a horse into so many blind switches during a stretch run as he did in the G2 Phoenix LTO<\/i>.<\/p>\n BCMile-G1 Breeders’ Cup Mile<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n The G1 Shadwell Turf Mile<\/i> has always been a major prep for American based horses in the Breeders\u2019 Cup Mile, but in watching a replay of that race I am left uninspired.\u00a0 Sir Michael Stoute<\/i> enters two horses in this field Expert Eye<\/b> and Mustashry<\/b>.\u00a0 My plan is to use both horses in Pick 3\u2019s in races 6-7-8, 7-8-9, 8-9-10.<\/p>\n BCDistaf-G1 Longines Breeders’ Cup Distaff<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n The G1 Cotillion<\/i> has been a major prep race for the Distaff, but I\u2019m not telling you anything you don\u2019t already know about Monomoy Girl<\/b> and Midnight Bisou<\/b>.\u00a0 Can they be compromised racing against the likes of Abel Tasman<\/b> and other older horses of this kind…absolutely…so if I am going to bet a horse out of the G1 Cotillion<\/i>, why not Wonder Gadot<\/b>.\u00a0 As crazy as that sounds, she was quite impressive when beaten only a half-length to Monomoy Girl<\/b> in the G1 Kentucky Oaks<\/i> in May over this very racetrack.<\/p>\n BCTurf-G1 Longines Breeders’ Cup Turf<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n Keeping it simple, the Euro\u2019s own this race.\u00a0 Enable<\/b> owns the Euros, well, all but one.\u00a0 For Pick-3 and Pick-4 players this might be your only single slot on the day.\u00a0 Waldgeist <\/b>needed a roadmap to navigate from the back of the pack in the Arc but may still only be second best.<\/p>\n BCClasic-G1 Breeders’ Cup Classic<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n Before there was Justify<\/b>, there was McKinzie<\/b>.\u00a0 What might have been had not an injury prevented him from facing Justify<\/b> in the Triple Crown.\u00a0 Time for a curtain call.<\/p>\n While betting Pick-3\/4\u2019s in races like these can be a costly proposition, there are a few races provide an opportunity to single slot a few horses.<\/p>\n I think Enable<\/b> provides that opportunity in the Breeder\u2019s Cup Turf<\/i> and will allow you to spread out in the preceding and following races.\u00a0 Also, Expert Eye<\/b> and Mustashry <\/b>are two runners from Sir Michael Stoute<\/i>, so it is more of a bet on the trainer than it is either horse.\u00a0 I also like McKinzie <\/b>in the Classic<\/i>.<\/p>\n My Pick 3\u2019s might look something like this…<\/p>\n Expert Eye<\/b> and Mustashry <\/b>with\u00a0All<\/b> with\u00a0Enable<\/b><\/p>\n Then All<\/b> with\u00a0Enable <\/b>with\u00a0McKinzie<\/b><\/p>\n Most people that have been to the track with me know that I am not adverse to making a Show Bet, especially in Breeder’s Cup races where the races are as competitive as the fields are large.\u00a0 This provides a great opportunity to cash in on some generous show prices.\u00a0 Don’t get caught having a longshot close out your exacta\u00a0 and not have the other half.\u00a0 Back up those longshot plays, you’ll be surprised how high those Place and Show prices can get.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Good Luck<\/p>\n trot<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" To steal a line from the Pet Shop Boys, I Got the Brains, You\u2019ve Got the Looks Lets Make Lots<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":443,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47216","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47216","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/443"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=47216"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47216\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":47233,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47216\/revisions\/47233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=47216"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=47216"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=47216"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}