{"id":44882,"date":"2018-03-26T16:19:52","date_gmt":"2018-03-26T20:19:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=44882"},"modified":"2018-03-26T16:19:52","modified_gmt":"2018-03-26T20:19:52","slug":"the-breeding-puzzle-solved-not-likely","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=44882","title":{"rendered":"The Breeding Puzzle – Solved? NOT LIKELY!"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Dingo333\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 My Answer to My Breeding Dilemma<\/span><\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

Thank you to Spinround and Ivanyamil, who took the time to respond to My Breeding Dilemma. With so many new authors submitting so many fine articles to the BTB the only drawback is that an article doesn’t stay very long on the main page. Therefore this follow up article is coming a little sooner than I originally planned. Of the 10 matings we came out with 10 healthy babies (7 colts and 3 fillies). They were all sent to the track to compete in MSW races ranging from 5 to 6 furlongs. The surface selected for each was based on my (probably flawed) preference based on their breeding.<\/span><\/p>\n

The following table will show the pairings I selected and how each baby faired on their debut appearance along with my planned next start for each<\/span><\/strong>. <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Mare 1.<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nPHANTOM CYCLONE<\/a><\/span><\/td>\nSire C. Creachadoir (IRE)<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Offspring<\/span><\/td>\nSCREACHING CYCLONE<\/strong><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/td>\nCOLT<\/span><\/td>\n\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1st Start
\n<\/span><\/td>\n		MSW 28100 (Local)<\/span><\/td>\nDeauville – France Turf 6f
\n<\/span><\/td>\n		SP 50.443<\/span><\/td>\n8th Beaten 7 3\/4 L<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Plan<\/span><\/td>\nRun back at same distance on Turf, set at 60% on Jockey select<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a0Mare 2.<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nCRAFTY CANYON<\/a><\/span><\/span><\/td>\nSire F. Lord of the Dance<\/strong><\/span>
\n<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Offspring<\/span><\/td>\nLORD OF THE CANYON<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nCOLT<\/span><\/td>\n\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1st Start<\/span><\/td>\nMSW 22500 (Local)
\n<\/span><\/td>\n		\u00a0Ohio – USA Dirt 5.5f
\n<\/span><\/td>\n		SP 51.371
\n<\/span><\/td>\n		12th Beaten 8 L
\n<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a0Plan<\/span><\/td>\nSwitch to Turf same distance
\n<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a0Mare 3.<\/span><\/strong><\/span>
\n<\/span><\/td>\n		SNEAKY CYCLONE<\/a><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n\u00a0Sire H. Sea Prince<\/strong> <\/span>
\n<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a0Offspring<\/span><\/td>\nSNEAKY PRINCESS<\/span><\/a><\/strong>
\n<\/span><\/td>\n		\u00a0FILLY<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a01st Start
\n<\/span><\/td>\n		MSW 45000 (Local)
\n<\/span><\/td>\n		\u00a0Arkansas – USA Dirt 5.5f
\n<\/span><\/td>\n		SP 64.321
\n<\/span><\/td>\n		\u00a01st won by 1 1\/2 L<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a0Plan<\/span><\/td>\nRun back in Allowance NW1x or NW2L 6 to 6.5f
\n<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a0Mare 4.<\/strong><\/span>
\n<\/span><\/td>\n		VIGNEMALE <\/a><\/span><\/td>\nSire B. Cat’s Diablo
\n<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a0Offspring<\/span><\/td>\nCOLLECT THE VIG<\/span><\/a><\/span>
\n<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n		FILLY<\/span><\/td>\n\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a01st Start
\n<\/span><\/td>\n		MSW 45000 (Local)<\/span><\/td>\n\u00a0Maryland – USA Dirt 5.5f
\n<\/span><\/td>\n		SP 56.712
\n<\/span><\/td>\n		\u00a05th beaten 2 3\/4 L
\n<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a0Plan<\/span><\/td>\nRun back same distance and surface – look to see if improves
\n<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a0Mare 5.<\/span><\/strong>
\n<\/span><\/td>\n		SCAR GAL<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/td>\n\u00a0Sire G. Redwood (GB)<\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a0Offspring<\/span><\/td>\nAXE SCAR<\/span><\/a>
\n<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n		\u00a0FILLY<\/span><\/td>\n\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a01st Start
\n<\/span><\/td>\n		MSW 45000 (Local)<\/span><\/td>\n\u00a0New Zealand – Turf 6f
\n<\/span><\/td>\n		SP 63.409
\n<\/span><\/td>\n		\u00a01st won by 1 L<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a0Plan<\/span><\/td>\n\u00a0Run Allowance NW1x or NW2L same distance and surface – set Jockey 90%
\n<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a0Mare 6.<\/strong><\/span>
\n<\/span><\/td>\n		CLEAR AMERICA<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/td>\nSire E. Hidden City<\/strong><\/span>
\n<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a0Offspring<\/span><\/td>\nHID IN CLEAR SIGHT<\/strong><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/td>\nCOLT<\/span><\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a01st Start<\/span><\/td>\nMSW 56200<\/span><\/td>\nNew York – USA Dirt 6f<\/span><\/td>\nSP 61.512<\/span><\/td>\n8th beaten 5 1\/4 L<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a0Plan<\/span><\/td>\nRun back same distance and surface – check for improvement<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Mare 7.<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nCLASSIC CYCLONE<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/td>\nSire G. Turtle Bowl (IRE)<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Offspring<\/span><\/td>\nTURTLE IN A SPIN<\/span><\/strong><\/a><\/span><\/td>\nCOLT<\/span><\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1st Start<\/span><\/td>\nMSW 50600 (Local)<\/span><\/td>\nJapan – Dirt 6f<\/span><\/td>\nSP 57.073<\/span><\/td>\n8th beaten 6 3\/4 L<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Plan<\/span><\/td>\nChange to Turf same distance<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Mare 8.<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nGOLFBALL RENEE<\/a><\/span><\/td>\nSire A. Alcorano (BRZ)<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a0Offspring<\/span><\/td>\nSTRAIGHT DRIVE<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/td>\nCOLT<\/span><\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a01st Start<\/span><\/td>\nMSW 33700 (WET TRACK)<\/span><\/td>\nIllinois – USA Turf 5.5f<\/span><\/td>\nSP 53.373<\/span><\/td>\n6th beaten 6 3\/4 L<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a0Plan<\/span><\/td>\nRun back same surface and distance – DRY track<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a0Mare 9.<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nROYAL TRISTRAM<\/span><\/a><\/td>\nSire I. The Lumber Guy<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a0Offspring<\/span><\/td>\nTRYST IN A FOREST<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/td>\nCOLT<\/span><\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a01st Start<\/span><\/td>\nMSW 56200<\/span><\/td>\nCali – USA Dirt 5f<\/span><\/td>\nSP 57.234<\/span><\/td>\n8th beaten 5 1\/4 L<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a0Plan<\/span><\/td>\nRun back same distance change to Turf<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a0Mare 10<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nKEPLER DANCER<\/span><\/a><\/td>\nSire D. Duke of Marmalade \u00a0 <\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a0Offspring<\/span><\/td>\nBREAKFAST DANCER<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/a><\/td>\nCOLT<\/span><\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a01st Start<\/span><\/td>\nMSW 50600 (Local) (WET)<\/span><\/td>\nIreland – UK Dirt 6f<\/span><\/td>\nSP 57.375<\/span><\/td>\n5th beaten 8 1\/2 L<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a0Plan<\/span><\/td>\nChange to Turf same distance DRY Track<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Well after their 1st runs it was the 3 girls who came to the fore, with 2 wins and a 5th place netting the stable SIM$54,900 and more importantly 110 Breeding Points which is approx. 30% of the 342 BP’s the 9 cheaper youngsters cost, a return I am extremely happy with after 1 round of starts. Of the 6 boys none returned any SIM$ or BP’s that is definitely a very disappointing result, but as ever I am optimistic that some will improve 2nd time out (yeah right sure they will). The big plan going forward is to use BP’s made from this stable during 2018 to breed at least 19 youngsters early 2019 utilising my current stock of mares plus some I have claimed and will retire at the end of this year.
\n<\/span><\/p>\n

The 10th horse in our stable Breakfast Dancer\u00a0did manage a check for $1012 for his 5th place finish and 10 BP’s but has a long way to go to recover the 424 BP’s he cost. Hopefully a dry track and a change to Turf will bring an improvement at his next start. All BP’s earned by Breakfast Dancer will be used to find a sire to mate with a mare I choose in early 2019 (cost of the mare will be covered by YDR credits or accumulated BP’s). This should give us 2 full stables of 2 year olds next year that will be utilised in the same manner going forward.
\n<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

I would certainly appreciate any comments on both the matings I chose (good or bad all opinions welcome). Also, if you have any ideas or comments on my forward plans for these youngsters please feel free to make your thoughts known. The plan going forward is to publish ongoing progress reports after each round of starts with plans for their next race shown. With a planned 7 to 8 week minimum break between starts this should be easily done. The only thing I can see that would change that would be if one of these youngsters actually turns out to be more than expected and is held back with longer spacing between runs, and gets out of sequence (a problem I would love to have).
\n<\/span><\/p>\n

Cheers <\/span><\/p>\n

Linton <\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 My Answer to My Breeding Dilemma Thank you to Spinround and Ivanyamil, who took the time to respond<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":24692,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44882","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44882","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/24692"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=44882"}],"version-history":[{"count":20,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44882\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":44905,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44882\/revisions\/44905"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=44882"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=44882"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=44882"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}