{"id":4409,"date":"2007-06-20T23:26:11","date_gmt":"2007-06-20T23:26:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=4409"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=4409","title":{"rendered":"Much to Like in the Butterfly"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Too often a stable\u2019s dreams of greatness born from a graded stakes win early in a horse\u2019s career lead to disappointment when she is unable to repeat the feat.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The connections of today\u2019s winner may have reason to expect better.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = \"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office\" \/><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = \"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags\" \/><st1:country-region><st1:place>Georgia<\/st1:place><\/st1:country-region>\u2019s Grade 3 Butterfly Futurity has a strong history of attracting fillies with great futures.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Last year\u2019s winner, Battle Cruiser went on to a third in the Breeders Bowl Juvenile Filly and led most of the Bluegrass Oaks before giving way.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Second place filly Katherineofaragon just won the Black Middle Flower Stakes, and Rahy World also just won a Grade 3 sprint.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">The 2005 winner, Groomed to Romp, recently won the Grade 3 Ferry Dust.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The first two runnings of the Butterfly attracted seven future millionaire fillies.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>2002\u2019s winner, Land Slam, went on to capture the Breeders Bowl Juvenile Filly and multiple other graded stakes.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">This year\u2019s entries look formidable.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>They already account for six stakes wins, including two graded wins, early in the two-year-old racing season.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Here is a look at the field:<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><STRONG><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">HENNY ANNA(KY)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/SPAN><\/STRONG>(WOODMAN x HENNESSY x OGYGIAN) bred and trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">crandy<\/I><\/B> (5%)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Odds: 13-1<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Early speedster was gobbled up by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Al Forest<\/B> last time after leading most of the way.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She will be joined in her quest for the early lead by three others in here.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Five of the past six winners of the Butterfly won their prep race, and none have gone off at more than 10-1 odds.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She\u2019s been making steady progress, but she\u2019ll have plenty of excuses for not winning.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=2><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><st1:place><st1:PlaceName><STRONG><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">IMBRIUM<\/SPAN><\/STRONG><\/st1:PlaceName><STRONG><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\"> <\/SPAN><\/STRONG><st1:PlaceType><STRONG><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">BASIN<\/SPAN><\/STRONG><\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place><STRONG><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">(JPN)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/SPAN><\/STRONG>(DEEP IMPACT x DANEHILL x RED RANSOM) bred and trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">thebandit<\/I><\/B> (18%)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Odds: 8-1<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Freshman sire Deep Impact is getting many chances with highly regarded dam sires, such as with this one.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This filly is perfect after one try against a full residency restricted field where she was able to rally from last to first in a bold move.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The jump in class is huge, but it\u2019s hard to fault a perfect record.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The <st1:place><st1:PlaceName>Imbrium<\/st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType>Basin<\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place> is a huge crater on the moon caused by a Deep Impact.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Well named, BigKev.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=3><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><st1:City><st1:place><STRONG><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">LEXINGTON<\/SPAN><\/STRONG><\/st1:place><\/st1:City><STRONG><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\"> BABE(ARG)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/SPAN><\/STRONG>(IBERO(ARG) x EXUBERANT x SUMMING) bred by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">lasix<\/I><\/B>, trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">nagrus<\/I><\/B> (15%)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Odds: 72-1<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">A win in a maiden claiming race, followed by a second in an undistinguished field of five, did not impress the oddsmakers as she makes this class jump.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Also working against her is that her times in the two races were not good compared to the rest of this field.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In her favor are her connections \u2013 Graywolf stables have won this race twice before, in 2002 and 2003.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=4><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><STRONG><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">QUICKPLAY(NY)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/SPAN><\/STRONG>(FAST PLAY x WHAT A PLEASURE x TUDOR MINSTREL) bred and trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">ywhisper<\/I><\/B> (15%)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Odds: 8-1<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Sire hasn\u2019t had a graded winner in the past five crops, but that may change today.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She comfortable handled a full field three weeks ago in her lone start.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She earned a speed figure that day that ranks second in this field.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Normal improvement in her second start makes her a major player in this race.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=5><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><STRONG><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">RUBY GLOOM(TUR)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/SPAN><\/STRONG>(STRIKE THE GOLD x STORM CAT x AFLEET)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>bred and trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">beamerback<\/I><\/B> (8%)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Odds: 10-1<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">She\u2019s been closing but coming up short in recent starts.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The slightly longer distance here may help.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Like some of the others in the first half of the field, she tries to overcome this race\u2019s history of favoring fillies coming off wins.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Ruby is but one for four, and that one win was against an owner restricted field.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She faces a larger and better field today than she\u2019s seen recently.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=6><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><STRONG><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">THEIR PEGASUS(KY)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/SPAN><\/STRONG>(FUSAICHI PEGASUS x COASTAL x SECRETARIAT)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>bred and trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">bowlerboy<\/I><\/B> (6%)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Odds: 8-1<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">She rallied smartly last time to break her maiden and earn a speed figure that puts her in contention.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Dam had one listed stakes win in 87 starts.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Daughter looks likely to surpass that record.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She\u2019s making nice progress; it\u2019s dangerous to ignore her.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=7><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><STRONG><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">STORMLEAR(MD)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/SPAN><\/STRONG>(FANTASTICAT x STORM BOOT x LEAR FAN)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>bred by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">stoneface<\/I><\/B>, trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">xssessivx<\/I><\/B> (8%)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Odds: 14-1<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">This one is no stranger to long odds: She broke her maiden at 13-1 and followed that with a Grade 3 win at 25-1 against colts.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She owns the field\u2019s highest speed rating and, while it doesn\u2019t mean a lot this time of the year, she\u2019s rated number two in the division.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Barn parlayed that ranking into securing the services of <st1:country-region><st1:place>Georgia<\/st1:place><\/st1:country-region>\u2019s dominant jockey.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>All that and 14-1.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In both of her races she\u2019s led every step of the way, and she will be challenged for the early lead here, and we don\u2019t know how she\u2019ll handle that, but she looks to be a great candidate to be the first true longshot to win the Butterfly.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=8><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><STRONG><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">SARACEN(KY)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/SPAN><\/STRONG>(STORM CAT x MR. PROSPECTOR x BUCKPASSER)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>bred by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">temp1<\/I><\/B>, trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">dixiedotco<\/I><\/B> (26%)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Odds: 4-1<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Debuted in a six filly listed stakes and won like the 2-5 choice she was.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Low odds are based more on her breeding than her history, but what does that matter?<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It\u2019s hard to find fault with either.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Led every step of the way.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Should be fun to watch the battle for the early lead.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=9><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><STRONG><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">MISS HENNYPENNY(KY)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/SPAN><\/STRONG>(HENNESSY x A.P. INDY x MISWAKI)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>bred and trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">simond2<\/I><\/B> (14%)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Odds: 6-1<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">This one also exits a graded stakes win that has given her a number four ranking in the division.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>There\u2019s an awful lot to like in this filly.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She\u2019s been rallying in shorter races and faces a certain speed duel ahead of her.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Her only loss came when she was second in a nice allowance race against the boys.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She\u2019s been showing steady improvement.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It\u2019s hard to argue against her.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=10><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><STRONG><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">DEMONIC PRESENCE(KY)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/SPAN><\/STRONG>(VICTORY GALLOP x MINESHAFT x POLISH NUMBERS)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>bred and trained by <B><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">taicheska<\/I><\/B><SPAN style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\"> (14%)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Odds: 10-1<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">She was second last time against an evenly matched stakes field.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She\u2019s been earning speed figures that are competitive here, too.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Her only knock seems to be that those figures just aren\u2019t growing.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She\u2019s certainly eligible to make the sudden improvement she would need to win this.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I was going to downplay this filly\u2019s chances, but just look at Shamran\u2019s picture in his stables\u2019 page.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Go, Demonic Presence!<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=11><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><st1:State><st1:place><STRONG><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">AL<\/SPAN><\/STRONG><\/st1:place><\/st1:State><STRONG><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\"> <\/SPAN><\/STRONG><st1:place><STRONG><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">FOREST<\/SPAN><\/STRONG><\/st1:place><STRONG><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">(KY)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/SPAN><\/STRONG>(GOOD REWARD x <st1:place>DANZIG<\/st1:place> x A.P. INDY)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>bred and trained by <B><I>zielissimo<\/I><\/B><SPAN style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: bold; mso-bidi-font-style: italic\"> (14%)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Odds: 6-1<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: bold; mso-bidi-font-style: italic\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: bold; mso-bidi-font-style: italic\">Good Reward is a son of Storm Cat and is getting nice dam sires to work with in his freshman crop, and he\u2019s been doing very well with them.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Despite this one\u2019s great record, she is only his fourth highest earner.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Al Forest is three for three, taking the natural progression from maiden to allowance to listed and now to graded.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Speed figures have been improving right along with the class levels.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Much to like.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: bold; mso-bidi-font-style: italic\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=12><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><st1:place><st1:City><STRONG><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">JUEGO<\/SPAN><\/STRONG><\/st1:City><STRONG><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\"> <\/SPAN><\/STRONG><st1:State><STRONG><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">DEL<\/SPAN><\/STRONG><\/st1:State><\/st1:place><STRONG><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\"> FUEGO(AUS)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/SPAN><\/STRONG>(ENCOSTA DE LAGO (AUS) x UNBRIDLED x BOLD RULER)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>bred and trained by <B><I>jackworld <\/I><\/B><SPAN style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: bold; mso-bidi-font-style: italic\"><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN>(11%)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Odds: 10-1<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: bold; mso-bidi-font-style: italic\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: bold; mso-bidi-font-style: italic\">After just missing in two maiden races, barn sent this one to a grassy stakes and she won.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Her speed figure actually declined in that race, and that may explain the decision to return to dirt.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Class rise seems ambitious considering her speed figures, but this early in their career, horses can make dramatic improvement.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: bold; mso-bidi-font-style: italic\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=13><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><STRONG><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">PERLA DEL SUR(FL)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/SPAN><\/STRONG>(TOO MUCH BLING x SMOKE GLACKEN x LEVEE DANCER)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>bred and trained by <B><I>dscreetcat<\/I><\/B><SPAN style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: bold; mso-bidi-font-style: italic\"> (17%)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Odds: 29-1<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: bold; mso-bidi-font-style: italic\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: bold; mso-bidi-font-style: italic\">Suppose you had a filly who won her maiden debut and followed that up with an allowance win and a stakes win.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I suppose you would try graded company next, right?<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>All that sounds very reasonable.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>What isn\u2019t reasonable is assigning that filly 29-1 odds.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It\u2019s true that her figures are a bit light, but that might be explained by the off tracks she\u2019s been running on.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She was the longest odds filly in her last win, so no reason to ignore here either.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: bold; mso-bidi-font-style: italic\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: italic\">Summary:<\/SPAN><\/B><SPAN style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: bold; mso-bidi-font-style: italic\"><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>As usual, I have no idea who will win.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I like Quick Play, Their Pegasus, Stormlear, Saracen, Miss Hennypenny, Al Forest, and Perla del Sur.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Which means you should choose among the others, if you want to win.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>For the record:<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Stormlear, Al Forest, Miss Hennypenny.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: bold; mso-bidi-font-style: italic\"><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/I><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Race History Portends Great Futures<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":432,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4409","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4409","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/432"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4409"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4409\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4409"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4409"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4409"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}