The Tommy Rum-Scull \u2013 9 furlongs on Dirt<\/b><\/p>\n
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The newest addition to TT Day was named after one of the Conglomerate trainers \u2013 Big Tommy Harrison after last years Trainers Trophy Day.\u00a0 The moment came about from a prank played on Big Tommy thinking we were all sculling glasses of rum and coke, but little did he know that unlike the rest of us having one shot of rum and 7 parts coke, his glass had one part coke and 7 parts rum.\u00a0 It\u2019s fair to say that there were 2 things determined that day \u2013 Big Tommy although quiet for the rest of the day can handle his alcohol, and that drink spiking has a future after much negative publicity.<\/p>\n
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I\u2019m super excited for this race it genuinely looks to be the quickest race of the day, with each stable having genuine winning chances.\u00a0 Lets check them out<\/p>\n
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Minty and Lollipop: This fine colt from Juan De Conte at the Cartel was bred purposefully to gain entry into the KY Derby at late notice.\u00a0 With everything needing to go perfectly in order to qualify he started off like a small town on fire going 2 from 2.\u00a0 It didn\u2019t go pear shaped after that point but he definitely went on the slide and other than 2nd<\/sup> in an ungraded stakes he didn\u2019t place in his next 5 runs.\u00a0 When all hope looked lost for TT Day he was brought back to 9f and exploded with a 110 sp winning his alw by 4 lengths.\u00a0 He hasn\u2019t reached the same class as others in this race but I assure you when the whips are cracking he\u2019ll be right there.\u00a0 On the up and can win<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Double Dissolution: If it was a single dissolution it wouldn\u2019t be giving me headaches but this one is double the trouble.\u00a0 Starting his career as a mediocre turf horse, Aggulotto was understandably distraught seeing his life savings invested in the breeding getting washed away.\u00a0 But then a change in surface and he exploded, winning 4 of his next 7, and starting as a 20\/1 long shot for the KY Derby he absolutely motored home to finish second and narrowly miss the win.\u00a0 I can\u2019t put a finger on what has happened since but he\u2019s fallen away, albeit in graded company, even trying back on turf last start.\u00a0 Is he needing the 12f or will he snap out of his funk? He is the one of the class horses in the race and that might be enough. \u00a0Class above and will go close<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Five Lions:\u00a0 Previewing this is like playing tinder in Sweden, you can\u2019t get a bad one.\u00a0 This is no exception, Deyoto has here an absolute beauty and along with the horse previous, holds a class edge above all others.\u00a0 A multiple group winner including the group 1 february stakes, Five Lions is a superstar of not just the AC but the wider sim.\u00a0 He will lead, there is no doubt about that, and he is the quickest horse, there is no doubt about that, but all his super runs have been at no more than 8.5f, so here is the doubt.\u00a0 If the race was a mile I wouldn\u2019t even bother writing this review, but we\u2019ve seen so far that after the mile mark he starts to fade.\u00a0 Will the back markers nail him on the line or will he open up too big a lead? He will be in this right to the final metres.\u00a0 The one to beat<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Dale:\u00a0 It\u2019s insulting to the top 3 horses to have this colt running.\u00a0 Trained by captain nog of the Cartel, he has had a recent switch to dirt with improved results, but needs more time and maturity.\u00a0 Not in this at all<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Listentomeleonard: Another absolute speedster from the Empire.\u00a0 They say patience is a virtue, but when it takes 5 wins to get a crack at something higher than alw then patience is an understatement.\u00a0 This one is difficult to rate, he\u2019s obviously a gun, posting sps up to 114 at his peak, however when he ticks over 8.5f there\u2019s signs of slowing, but not by heaps.\u00a0 3 starts back he posted a 108 at 9f in an ungraded stakes, missing by only \u00be of a length, but then next start at 10f in an alw dropped to 96 sp losing by 12 lengths.\u00a0 Being one of the back markers he\u2019s right in this, he has the ability but can he produce his best? Definite place chance, still can win<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Mount Midoriyama:\u00a0 Rated by his trainer Deyoto as his best chance, he can definitely run.\u00a0 Originally bred for turf, his best is definitely on dirt, which has included an ungraded stakes win in The Frequent Flyer, which is ironic because he\u2019s not.\u00a0 He has since run in graded company coming close on several occasions but that was nearly 6 months ago.\u00a0 I feel like he would benefit greatly by losing the nuts, I\u2019m sure there will be much dilemma within the stables as to what to lose first the nuts or the head.\u00a0 I think his best is at 9f it\u2019s just that he might have peaked back in May.\u00a0 Include in the multiples<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Big Caese:\u00a0 The big fella from the Cartel (Juan) improved out of sight with a gelding operation 3 months ago.\u00a0 His last run on dirt however was nearly 9 months ago and it\u2019s difficult to see him figuring here.\u00a0 With Zabeel and redoute\u2019s choice in the breeding I expect him to really get going in the next couple of years, I think he\u2019s just a bit immature for this but will benefit from the experience.<\/p>\n Not this year<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Can\u2019t Hurt to Flirt:\u00a0 Wowee Aggulotto the tricksy little hobbitses where have you been hiding this one?? Should be renamed to Anne Frank.\u00a0 4 wins and 4 placings from 9 starts has this boom colt absolutely champing at the bit to get out there.\u00a0 Below the class of the top rated horses but on the up and running consistently quick sectionals, including a 111 sp win in July, blitzing his opposition and backing it up with a 4 length win.\u00a0 Slight query on the distance, not because he\u2019s struggled at it but because he has never run in on the fast dirt.\u00a0 I expect him to jump well and go to the lead, he has some strong opposition up front but will back himself to compete.\u00a0 Looks the goods and must include in the main chances<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Golden Reef:\u00a0 After fading in the Miss Timoshenko Mile last year, he is a huge beneficiary of the new race.\u00a0 Deyoto has a super consistent and impressive horse, producing monster efforts back in the first half of 2016 with a 116 in ungraded stakes company, which would usually be enough to win.\u00a0 He\u2019s a group runner although not quite at that class to win, but super competitive with a 3rd<\/sup> in the group 2 Star Athlete Handicap.\u00a0 A switch to turf last start will give him a bump for this race, and the class drop will be huge for him.\u00a0 In any other year I\u2019d have him as a lock for top 3, he\u2019s just in some awesome company and I need to give it some more thought.\u00a0 Super, go well<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Ahoi hoi:\u00a0 Juan De Conte setting him out for his first run on dirt, appears to be making up the numbers, couldn\u2019t possible compete with his group level comrades, will likely see him fight for an early lead, but will struggle to hold on<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Selfish Pursuit:\u00a0 This is an interesting one by Aggulotto, 4 wins from 5 dirt starts has it screaming with ability.\u00a0 It has been an interesting prep, 4 wins on the trot to June (last 3 at 10f), then barely sighted since, just the one run in august losing by 18 lengths over 10.5f.\u00a0 I suspect the 9f will suit him to a tee, but can\u2019t see him placing purely from a class point of view.\u00a0 Expect him to finish 4th<\/sup>-6th<\/sup>, and be wary of him in years to come<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Spider Venom:\u00a0 Ripping colt from champion lodge.\u00a0 The more I preview this race the more it\u2019s becoming the one I\u2019m most looking forward to.\u00a0 An interesting career to date with 4 dirt starts to kick off his career showing nothing special, followed by the next 7 starts on turf and looked like it belonged in Big Tommy\u2019s stables.\u00a0 I\u2019m not sure what\u2019s more surprising at this point, that the switch back to dirt yielded 3 super impressive wins and a super quick second from it\u2019s next 4 starts, or the fact that the executioner himself had the patience to persist after an initial 1 win from 11 starts.\u00a0 Whatever happened it was for the best for deyoto as this colt gives him a genuine chance at winning, and look out next year he could be anything.\u00a0 Bloody exciting colt could win at expected long odds.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Bam Bamm: From owner Bam Bam himself trained by Juan De Conte, last years Vic mem definite entrant has had just the one dirt start, posting a decent 101 sp, but fading late.\u00a0 It\u2019s difficult where to place the colt, I\u2019m feeling backward of midfield but just a great effort by the Cartel to support their owners.\u00a0 Prefer others<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Eternal Torment:\u00a0 Very average horse from the Empire, or should I say WAS an average horse.\u00a0 Aggulotto in a moment of frustration got the scissors out and turned the whole career of this now gelding around with a quick snip.\u00a0 Couldn\u2019t run to save itself, living up to it\u2019s name until last start after the operation posting a 107 sp winning easily.\u00a0 I\u2019d be very surprised if he fired a shot amongst this company, but stranger things have happened.\u00a0 Expect him to finish mid-field but will go onto bigger things next year with the new streamlined underside<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Universal Master:\u00a0 Exceptional breeding by Deyoto and the Cartel price check says $$$.\u00a0 After attempting the spring prelude but failing badly, he\u2019s back to where he belongs on dirt, and at the right distance.\u00a0 There\u2019s something about him that\u2019s saying superstar somewhere, it\u2019s just a matter of finding where.\u00a0 He wont run top 3 in this, in fact he may not finish, but if Deyoto has the patience (doubtful) I think there could be something sensational about him in a couple of years.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n The Guz Man:\u00a0 Impressive breeding that has failed to deliver for Captain Nog and the Cartel.\u00a0 It was decided that to match the 2 big stables then the Cartel had to spend some money, but in a failed attempt they decided strategy rather than cash was best, and this nag who is still a maiden is purely making up the numbers.\u00a0 Nope.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Stanley Ibcus:\u00a0 The only filly in the race but definitely not the worst.\u00a0 An alw in May saw her quickest run at 110 but hasn\u2019t won since.\u00a0 She would be favourite in a dirt race for the girls but first time running in open company and she\u2019ll battle away.\u00a0 Great effort by Aggulotto to get the filly there but I suspect she may be scratched last minute.\u00a0 Will find this too tough.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Voadkyn:\u00a0 Deyoto has a very consistent colt here, impressing in an ungraded stakes in July with a 115 sp.\u00a0 Is quick enough to go with any of them but huge doubts having not won since 2014, so while I can\u2019t see him causing an upset I expect him to finish 6th<\/sup>-8th<\/sup>, which in this field is a great effort<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Flynn:\u00a0 A late entrant here for Aggulotto, another one that in any other year would be right amongst the chances, posting consistently high sps between 105-109, but not up to this class, not having won since January.\u00a0 If he was on the bachelorette I don\u2019t think he\u2019d be considered for a rose.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Turkey Night:\u00a0 Great effort for Big Tommy to get a runner for his namesake race.\u00a0 Posted a 90sp as a pb last start but serious consideration will need to be given to the schedule with Turkey Night likely to be rounding the turn as the next race are in the gates<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Well that does it for this blockbuster, I expect this to be the closest finish for the day, throw a hankerchief over about 9 of them at the finish line, now for my tips:<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Box Trifecta \u2013 Five Lions, Double Dissolution, Can\u2019t Hurt to Flirt, Minty & Lollipop, Spider Venom<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" The Tommy Rum-Scull \u2013 9 furlongs on Dirt \u00a0 The newest addition to TT Day was named after one of<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":202,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[4,2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39521","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39521","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/202"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=39521"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39521\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":39530,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39521\/revisions\/39530"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=39521"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=39521"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=39521"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}