{"id":390,"date":"2005-08-26T00:56:47","date_gmt":"2005-08-26T00:56:47","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=390"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=390","title":{"rendered":"Mississippi’s Crafty Dancer Stakes"},"content":{"rendered":"

Overview: The \u201cCrafty Dancer Memorial\u201d Stake, a 7 1\/2 furlong event, contested over a Mississippi turf course that has been rated \u201cgood\u201d due to heavy rains earlier in the week, hasn\u2019t deterred a quality field of nine colts and horses featuring LAFLY\u2019s Flyphard\u2019s Event as 9\/5 favorite and LIP\u2019s Real Deal Squeal as the 5\/2 second choice. Between them, Flyphard\u2019s Event and Real Deal Squeal have amassed over 2,500,000 in earnings and a whopping ( 22 ) Stakes victories between them.\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/P>

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The field:<\/P>

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PP-01\u00a0 <\/SPAN>KNICK KNACK <\/SPAN><\/B>\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN>( 29\/1 ) Trainer BOOKWORM \u2026 Jockey E. Witter ( .091 )<\/P>

Class Rating: 8.35<\/SPAN><\/B>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Speed Rating: .517<\/SPAN><\/B><\/P>

Training: ( 4 ) weeks since last race Allow ( 4th )<\/P>

Overview: \u00a0<\/SPAN>Still eligible for Allowance nw\/2x conditions makes it very unlikely that Knick Knack will be able to take what would amount to a quantum leap up the class ladder here. Also he\u2019s another that does his best work late in the stretch, looks fit and ready and should use this race as a nice tuneup to begin his move up the Allowance Condition rung.<\/P>

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PP-02\u00a0 <\/SPAN>FLYPHARD’S EVENT <\/SPAN><\/B>\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN>( 9\/5 )\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Trainer LAFLY \u2026 Jockey N. Bagel ( .114 )<\/P>

Class Rating: 5.43 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/SPAN><\/B>Speed Rating: .802<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P>

Training:\u00a0 <\/SPAN>( 2 ) weeks since last race 70,000 Stake ( 1st )<\/P>

Overview: It\u2019s really hard to pick against this \u201coutstanding\u201d four year old by Event Of The Year. Flyphard\u2019s event has ( 13 ) Stake wins in his ( 33 ) race career and has been a model of consistency, however it looks like trainer Lafly is rolling the dice bringing Flyphard\u2019s Event back after only ( 2 ) weeks rest. He\u2019s going to have to chase Ed\u2019s Fergulch LC early and the question is will he have enough left the last ( 2 ) furlongs.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Prediction ( 4th<\/SUP> )<\/P>

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PP-03\u00a0 <\/SPAN>POLITICAL STORM <\/SPAN><\/B>\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN>( 7\/1 )\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Trainer IANT \u2026 Jockey B. Orazio ( .170 )<\/P>

Class Rating: 5.78\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/SPAN><\/B>Speed Rating: .273<\/SPAN><\/B> <\/P>

Training:\u00a0 <\/SPAN>( 8 ) weeks since last race 75,000 Stake ( 9th )<\/P>

Overview: I would like Political Storm\u2019s chances a lot better if there were a bit more early speed here, as it stands he\u2019s going have to rally late and pass a lone speed and two very classy stalkers to win the Crafty Dancer and I really think that\u2019s too tall an order. However I do like this horses chances off the eight week layoff of \u00a0<\/SPAN>coming in fresh and picking off any of the front runners that fades, so I like his chances of getting a nice slice of this purse. Prediction ( 3rd<\/SUP> )<\/B><\/P>

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PP-04\u00a0 <\/SPAN>METAL DETECTOR II <\/SPAN><\/B>\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN>( 9\/2 )\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Trainer OZSTEVE \u2026 Jockey D. Prentice ( .122 )<\/P>

Class Rating: 5.78<\/SPAN><\/B> \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Speed Rating: .083<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P>

Training: ( 2 ) weeks since last race 50,000 Stake ( 4th<\/SUP> )<\/P>

Overview:\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Two things prevent me from selecting Ozsteve\u2019s Metal Detector II to grab a slice of this purse, first he lacks any real early speed so he will more than likely trail the entire field early and looking over his past performances it looks like he needs another furlong to hit his best stride, also he\u2019s packed a grueling six races into the last twelve weeks of racing and that\u2019s gotta take a toll. A model of consistency, if Metal Detector II finishes 3rd<\/SUP> or 4th<\/SUP> it wouldn\u2019t totally surprise me, I just think he needs a little freshening <\/P>

Rest.<\/P>

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PP-05\u00a0 <\/SPAN>ED’S FERGULCH LC <\/SPAN><\/B>\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN>( 14\/1 )\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Trainer BESTEDS \u2026 Jockey P. Bower ( .103 )<\/P>

Class Rating: 7.27\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/SPAN><\/B>Speed Rating: 1.076<\/SPAN><\/B><\/P>

Training: ( 5 ) weeks since last race 50,000 Stake ( 9th<\/SUP> )<\/P>

Overview: Longshot with these as this field is probably the best this four year old son of Ferdinand has ever faced. However there\u2019s several things in his favor to indicate he may run the race of his career. First he\u2019s the fastest gate breaker in this field and should have the early lead, whether he can withstand the pressure remains to be seen, but he is well-rested and it looks as if trainer Besteds has spotted him pretty well here. I\u2019m going to go out on a limb and say he hangs tough on Saturday.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Prediction: ( 2nd<\/SUP> )<\/B><\/P>

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PP-06\u00a0 <\/SPAN>RADICAL DUDE <\/SPAN><\/B>\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN>( 27\/1 )\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Trainer AROUSET \u2026 Jockey<\/st1:PlaceName> U.<\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place> Sanders ( .102 )<\/P>

Class Rating: 7.78\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/SPAN><\/B>Speed Rating: .379<\/SPAN><\/B><\/P>

Training: ( 2 ) weeks since last race Allowance ( 3rd<\/SUP> )<\/P>

Overview: Last win was vs. 2,500 claimers, hasn\u2019t run in a stake since week 2321 and is running in his 5th<\/SUP> race in seven weeks, seems like a recipe for disaster. Radical Dude did make a nice move in an Allowance here in Mississippi<\/st1:place><\/st1:State> last race, against a decent group of runners, but looks mismatched here. \u00a0<\/SPAN><\/P>

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PP-07\u00a0 <\/SPAN>SINO RED STORM <\/SPAN><\/B>\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN>( 17\/1 )\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Trainer SPEED \u2026 Jockey F. Oates ( .096 )<\/P>

Class Rating: 7.60<\/SPAN><\/B>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Speed Rating: .150<\/SPAN><\/B><\/P>

Training:\u00a0 <\/SPAN>( 2 ) weeks since last race Allowance ( 4th )<\/P>

Overview: Likes to rally late and has ( 12 ) finishes in the money in ( 19 ) starts, makes Sino Red Storm a tough horse to rule out, however the ( 4 ) year colt out of Crowning Storm hasn\u2019t fared well in any of his three Stakes tries so far in his career, and there\u2019s no reason to believe he will in this tough crowd. Looks like a very useful Allowance\/High Priced Claimer.<\/P>

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PP-08 \u00a0<\/SPAN>THE LAWNMOWER MAN <\/SPAN><\/B>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN>( 6\/1 )\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Trainer DEVILSCASA \u2026 Jockey B. Oliver ( .100 )<\/P>

Class Rating: 5.65<\/SPAN><\/B>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Speed Rating: .788<\/SPAN><\/B><\/P>

Training:\u00a0 <\/SPAN>( 2 ) weeks since last race 70,000 Stake ( 6th )<\/P>

Overview: Under different circumstances I would probably like Devilscasa\u2019s The Lawnmower Man in this race, he should be able to settle in 3rd<\/SUP> or 4th and track the early speed and he also fits the conditions nicely with the 3rd<\/SUP> best class rating, so he\u2019s certainly capable of winning with these. However the Crafty Dancer will be The Lawnmower Man \u2018s fifthrace in nine weeks and that is an awfully tough schedule to keep sharp, so I\u2019m going to pass on Lawnmower Man here.<\/P>

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PP-09 \u00a0<\/SPAN>REAL DEAL SQUEAL <\/SPAN><\/B>\u00a0<\/SPAN>( 5\/2 )\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Trainer LIP \u2026 Jockey F. Power ( .164 )<\/P>

Class Rating: 5.10<\/SPAN><\/B>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Speed Rating: .611<\/SPAN><\/B><\/P>

Training:\u00a0 <\/SPAN>( 4 ) weeks since last race Allowance ( 1st )<\/P>

Overview: Looks like the race really sets up well for this five year old veteran, he\u2019s the class of the field and the overall lack of real speed in this field should allow Real Deal to sit in the Garden Spot 3rd<\/SUP> \u2013 5th<\/SUP> early tracking the leaders where he seems to do his best work. I also like the fact that trainer Lip used an allowance to tune Real Deal up for this and the four week spacing should find the multiple Stakes winner at his peak.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Prediction ( 1st<\/SUP> ).<\/o:p><\/B><\/P>

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Race Preview:<\/B> They\u2019re going to have to catch Ed\u2019s Fergulch LC, if he can control the pace and keep Flyphard\u2019s Event behind through ( 4 ) furlongs (no easy feat), he\u2019ll be tough to beat, however I still think when the smoke clears Real Squeal Deal will have an ideal trip and have enough class to overhaul Ed\u2019s Fergulch or Flyphard\u2019s Event. <\/P>

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Keys to Class Rating: <\/B>The lower the number the better the CLASS rating.<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

Keys to Speed Rating: <\/B>The higher the number the better the \u201cEARLY\u201d speed.<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Mississippi\u2019s Crafty Dancer Memorial attracts Flyphard\u2019s Event and Real Deal Squeal!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":400,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-390","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/390","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/400"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=390"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/390\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=390"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=390"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=390"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}