{"id":3213,"date":"2006-10-26T23:46:19","date_gmt":"2006-10-26T23:46:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=3213"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=3213","title":{"rendered":"Suicidal Pace in the Harry Carey"},"content":{"rendered":"

A firm turf course promises to greet this year\u2019s field in the seventh running of the Grade III Harry Carey Memorial for three year olds and up going a mile.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Harry Carey was a silent film actor who starred in many westerns.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Many in Illinois<\/st1:place><\/st1:State> are aware there was another famous person named Harry Caray.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This race is not about him.<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

Highlights of past Harry Careys include a win by likely Hall of Famer Daneye<\/B> in 2002, and back-to-back wins by stakes record holder Dom Tendencies<\/B>.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Those two and Ardal<\/B> all won this as three year olds. It is clearly late enough in the year that three year olds are no longer at a disadvantage.<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

The preferred running style has clearly been to run on or just off the lead.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The only exception was last year when a wet turf course favored the late running Twice Told Tale<\/B>.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The race has not been kind to longshots.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Five of the six winners have been the first or second choice of the shrewd Illinois<\/st1:place><\/st1:State> bettors. <\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

Keep all that in mind as you consider the field:<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

  1. Novice trainer Rebel65<\/I><\/B> <\/I>starts with the common challenge for all new stables: a barn full of equine ailments and limitations.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>They got a third placing with their first try with Windora<\/B> (Frisky Dan x Doulab) and appear to be overly optimistic with this seven year old who is past his prime.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>All of Windora\u2019s successes have come in dirt sprints, and he may still be competitive in claimers there.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Barn had a second choice with this one \u2013 a listed stakes that came up with a small field.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Too bad this race did not fill.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Everyone wishes good luck to this new owner.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>98-1.<\/LI><\/OL>

    \u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

    1. Looking to overcome the early speed bias of this race, crack trainer Correction<\/I><\/B> (28%) brings one that can surely do it.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Gold Inferno<\/B> (Seeking the Gold x Nureyev) has two Grade II wins in his last three starts and has never been sharper.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Seldom do you see one close as furiously as this one three weeks ago in the Utah Breeders Bowl Mile.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>A deserving favorite.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Barn makes its 1,000th<\/SUP> start this weekend and is on pace to earn 2,000 breeding points this year.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Jockey leads the rider standings by a scant five wins.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>4-1.<\/LI><\/OL>

      \u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

      1. Awesom O<\/B> (Awesome Again x Danehill) has three wins in five turf routes against three year olds and tries graded company for the first time.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Speedster has been fading after early duels for trainer Lopo87<\/I><\/B> (18%), and there will be plenty gunning for the early lead here.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Took a real step up in speed figures last time to a number that figures to be competitive here.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Barring a bounce, this longshot can get a piece of this.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>17-1.<\/LI><\/OL>

        \u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

        1. Baracuda Waltz<\/B> (Not Impossible x Woodman) is one for 13 this year and has finished in the back half of allowance fields in his last two.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>There was a seven week gap between those races, so we assume Caar<\/I><\/B> (8%) thought he needed a freshening and then used the last race as a prep for today.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He\u2019s never run a speed figure over 95.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>That doesn\u2019t bode well.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>31-1.<\/LI><\/OL>

          \u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

          1. Miter Saw<\/B> (Not for Love x Seattle Slew) saw a mite better last time against some of the best three year olds in the Jockey Club Classic, including To Die For, where he ran a respectable fourth for trainer BobtheHat<\/I><\/B> (10%).\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This field has only one three year old rated in the top twenty (To Die For, whom he beat) and only one older rated in the top fifty.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He\u2019s got five wins in nine turf routes.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Will be trying to close late.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>12-1.<\/LI><\/OL>

            \u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

            1. Government Listing <\/B>(Smart Strike x Dixieland Band) has gotten off to sizeable leads in each of his last three turf miles, but the Tegan<\/I><\/B> (12%) trained three year old has been fading late.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Today he figures to be pressed for that lead, so it\u2019s hard to optimistic that he\u2019ll make all eight furlongs.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>On the other hand, he\u2019s been going against better last two outings.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>13-1<\/LI><\/OL>

              \u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

              1. If the race history favors early speed, and the early speed looks suspect, how about one that can sit just off the pace?\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Sin Dance<\/B> (Sinndar x Nashwan) is a lightly raced four year old from the Iant8<\/I><\/B> (15%) barn.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He has a perfect four for four record in turf miles, a running style that makes all kind of sense here, and steps up in class only to find a graded field with nine runners rated 140th<\/SUP> or worse.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Serious challenger.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>15-1.<\/LI><\/OL>

                \u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

                1. Yowza<\/B> (Pine Bluff<\/st1:place><\/st1:City> x A.P. Indy), from the crafty 8BallFarms<\/I><\/B> (16%) stable, is another who can sit just behind the early leaders and pick up the pieces if the pace falls apart.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He\u2019s a consistent runner with nine good races in eleven turf routes.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Would not be a surprise.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>8-1.<\/LI><\/OL>

                  \u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

                  1. Champ\u2019s Bro<\/B> (El Prado x Affirmed) has seven win in ten turf routes for high percentage trainer Hoshaba<\/I><\/B> (25%).\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He\u2019s an early runner who doesn\u2019t back down from a challenge.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Picked up his first stakes win last time in a listed affair, and this barn doesn\u2019t enter races it doesn\u2019t think it can win.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Step up in class looks more then manageable.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>5-1.<\/LI><\/OL>

                    \u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

                    1. GOP Sweep <\/B>(Forestry x Blushing John) wired an accomplished field in his stakes debut last time and steps up to try graded stakes here for trainer ETS4<\/I><\/B> (10%).\u00a0 <\/SPAN>One more that adds to the early speed and one more that doesn\u2019t back down from a challenge for that lead.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Barn has been very cautious with him, giving him plenty of time off between races.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>There is no truth to the rumor that he is changing his name to GOP\u2019s Weep after November 7th<\/SUP>.\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>8-1.<\/LI><\/OL>

                      \u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

                      1. Largely due to his wire to wire win in a Grade I stakes three months ago, To Die For<\/B> (Theatrical x Seeking the Gold) advanced to be the number eleven ranked three year old.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The Zewango2<\/I><\/B> (18%) trainee has been having trouble maintaining his early pace recently, finishing out of the money in his last two.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The furious early pace that seems likely here will not be kind to him.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He has finished behind Miter Saw and Government Listing in his last two starts.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He does pick up the services of a very talented jockey, and he\u2019s been rested for five weeks.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>We\u2019ll see if that helps.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>11-1.<\/LI><\/OL>

                        \u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

                        1. Trainer Pompeya<\/I><\/B> (26%) was able to wait until Thursday afternoon to sign up K\u2019s Okkasion <\/B>(Seeking the Gold x Nijinsky II) for this race.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>As so often happens, the stable may have found a placement it can win.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This one finished ahead of a lot of graded winners last time when he finished third in the Posh Purse Stakes.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He\u2019s a closer in a race full of early speed, yet he does not fall too far behind.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>A repeat of his last performance looks good enough here.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>9-2.<\/LI><\/OL>

                          \u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

                          1. Merry Mex<\/B> (Deputy Minister x Gone West) never threatened K\u2019s Okkasion, much less the winner, in the Posh Purse.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This GradeOne<\/I><\/B> (22%) trained colt has an interesting pattern of alternating races where he finishes in the money and then out of the money.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The pattern says this race is in the money.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Jockey won this race last year.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>7-1.<\/LI><\/OL>

                            \u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

                            Morning Line: 2-12-9-13<\/P>

                            Timmn\u2019s Picks: 2-8-12-7<\/P>

                            \u00a0<\/SPAN><\/o:p><\/P>

                            \u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

                            \u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

                            No, the Actor. Not the Baseball Guy<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":432,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3213","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3213","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/432"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3213"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3213\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3213"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3213"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3213"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}