{"id":3036,"date":"2006-09-29T00:24:35","date_gmt":"2006-09-29T00:24:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=3036"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=3036","title":{"rendered":"Mopse: Brother, Can You Spare a  T?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">With half the field rated in the top twenty, the Grade I Mospe Cup has attracted its strongest field ever, and this <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = \"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags\" \/><st1:State><st1:place>New South Wales<\/st1:place><\/st1:State> feature race has a history of talented runners.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Five of the six winners have been millionaires, and three of its four retired winners have sired stakes winners.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = \"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office\" \/><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">With a win, favored <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Spare T(Ire) <\/B>would surpass the million dollar mark, but he would be the first favorite to win the Mospe.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">The Mospe has played fairly to all running styles \u2013 won by early runners its first two years, and by late runners the past two years.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Last year\u2019s winner, <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Manifest Destiny<\/B>, followed his Mospe with a close fifth in the Breeders Mile.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He owns three other graded wins and is currently ranked fourth among older turfers.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Here is a look at the field:<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Crimson Warrior<\/B> (Red Ransom x Sadler\u2019s Wells) picked up a Grade I route win as a two year old but his last graded route try saw the <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Dowelly<\/I><\/B> (14%) trainee finish well beaten by Spare T(Ire).<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He stretches out from longer sprints, where he\u2019s been showing late runs, to two turns.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>That might help, but a lifetime best 97 speed figure bodes caution where ten of his opponents have bested the century mark.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>16-1.<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=2><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Ollie\u2019s Gone<\/B> (Gone West x Lear Fan) has been rapidly rising in the three year old rankings.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In nine starts, he already has a Grade III win, an impressive second in an Equinics route, and five total wins.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>After his very fast win against a strong, if small, field including Hail Cesario last time, trainer <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Beamnreasn<\/I><\/B> (13%) ships down from the <st1:place>British Isles<\/st1:place>.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He\u2019s shown he belongs at this level, though he was beaten my Hail Cesario and Cryptotrick two races back and by Spare T(Ire) the race before that.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>8-1.<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=3><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Hail Cesario<\/B> (Seeking the Gold x Northern Dancer) broke his three race win streak last time in his loss to Ollie\u2019s Gone, but this <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Catahoula<\/I><\/B> (22%) trained colt looks ready to rebound.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He was five for five as a two year old, struggled a bit the beginning of his three year old campaign, but has been nearly unstoppable since his surprising second in the 2000 <st1:country-region><st1:place>Guineas<\/st1:place><\/st1:country-region>.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Seven wins in 12 turf route tries.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>6-1.<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=4><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Always Improving<\/B> (Trempolino x Silver Deputy) has beaten four horses in his last three tries in graded stakes, but <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Rhafo7<\/I><\/B> (11%) was happy enough with last time\u2019s second against a modest field in a listed route to try the return to top flight racing.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The Breeders Bowl Juvenile champ is coming off a ten week freshening, longest of his career.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He owns a top 14 rating, but it looks like his greatest glory is in his past.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN>Jockey won this race in 2001 aboard a longshot.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>17-1.<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=5><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Ride for Show<\/B> (Indian Ridge x Bold Bidder) has ridden her relatively modest breeding to much better than show finishes.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Unfortunately only one of her seven wins came in a stakes.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Flurgen5<\/I><\/B> (14%) trainee followed that win with an impressive win in a Grade II stakes.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Dismiss the following race because it was against older and the last, I suppose, because of the off track, and you\u2019re still facing the filly against boys angle.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She\u2019s tried it twice before, finishing third of five and first of four, but this looks tough.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In her favor, she likes to run early and there is not much early pace here.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>13-1.<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=6><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><st1:State><st1:place><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Vermont<\/B><\/st1:place><\/st1:State><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"> Victory<\/B> (Two Punch x Theatrical) has had a steady diet of graded stakes, 11 of his last 13 races have been at this level. <SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN>But none of those eleven starts ended in victory for the <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">WTAS<\/I><\/B> (16%) barn.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He\u2019s come close with several in-the-money finishes, especially in sprints.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He appears off form based on the last couple.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Would be a surprise.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>12-1.<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=7><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\">Trainer <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">TS1442<\/I><\/B> (11%) enters a pair, uncoupled in the betting pool.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Cryptotrick<\/B> (Cryptoclearance x Phone Trick) has tried graded stakes twice.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Two races back, he made a strong bid in the Grade II Sussex only to fade and lose to Hail Cesario by over six.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He is at his best when he can sit just off the early leaders and pounce late.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>That\u2019s a strategy that has worked in half of the Mospe\u2019s history, but this one doesn\u2019t look like it\u2019s going to set up that way, and his recent form, including a disappointing four length loss last time in an allowance, does not inspire confidence.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>10-1.<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=8><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\">TS1442\u2019s other entry, <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Silver Court<\/B> (Silver Ghost x Danehill), is coming off a pair of apparently very dull efforts, but they might not be as bad as they first appear.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He tried to participate in hot early paces both times and faded with the other early runners.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The pace here should not be that fast.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Three races back he was ahead of Spare T(Ire) by nearly two at the top of the lane, though that one corralled him easily.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Probably not the winner, his lone graded win came against a modest field, but he probably is an overlay at this price.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>14-1.<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=9><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">D.H.<\/B> (Roar x Shahrastani) tried a graded stakes for the first time last out.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It was not pretty.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Trainer <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Hillbilly<\/I><\/B> (7%) hopes for a lot of improvement off the experience.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Closer has a good record of finishing in the money and has a chance to delight trifecta players who select \u201call\u201d for third.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>17-1.<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=10><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Depravity<\/B> (Red Bullet x Deputy Minister) has only tried the grass twice, both times against older.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>His first try, two back, was a very nice second in a listed stakes where he gained about 80 lengths in the stretch.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Could not make that much headway in his graded try.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Trainer <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Funster<\/I><\/B> (20%) has to be disappointed to see the likely lack of a speed duel in front of this deep closer.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Funster is closing in on 250 wins.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I said 250 wins.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>6-1.<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=11><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\">Refuse to <st1:City><st1:place>Bend<\/st1:place><\/st1:City> is one of the most prolific sim-sires the past couple years.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He has 110 three year olds running.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Four of those are graded winners, including <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Devil\u2019s King <\/B>(Refuse to Bend x Cozzene).<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">SteveSutto<\/I><\/B> (14%) has trained him to show steady improvement over the past five races.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>King lost to three of these in his first race of the year, but has turned the tables on <st1:Street><st1:address>Silver Court<\/st1:address><\/st1:Street> most recently and looks very sharp off two straight wins.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Another with a stalking style.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>8-1.<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=12><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Luca Brasi<\/B> (Dixieland Band x Sadler\u2019s Wells) earned a 103 speed figure in winning for fun against allowance foes last time.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">CrazyJoe<\/I><\/B> (19%) stretches him out and moves him up.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He\u2019s tried routes twice.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Most recently he showed he wants no part of running a mile and a half (and who can blame him?).<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>But seven races ago he tried something close to this distance and ran better than in the races just prior and just after that.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Still lightly raced enough that stable is looking for the right surface\/distance for him.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Very fit, possibly at best distance, and an attractive price.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The only drawback for CrazyJoe is if this one falters, is it because of distance or class?<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>12-1.<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=13><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\">The longest price on the board goes to <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Hollow Sun <\/B>(Beat Hollow x Fantastic Light).<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>With four in-the-money finishes in his six route tries that may seem harsh, but the <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Favoritejj<\/I><\/B> (11%) trained colt looks like an easy throw-out based on speed figures.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>We don\u2019t like to throw out prices like this.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>We should note that in the only race where he got the early lead, he won.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He figures to get the early lead if he wants it.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>27-1.<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=14><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\">How many times in the first 13 reviews have we noted the entrant had been beaten by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Spare T(Ire)<\/B> (Theatrical x Danehill)?<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>We should have noted his record this year against this field is seven times he has beaten horses in here and once he finished behind one.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>We should also note his handling by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Super28<\/I><\/B> (18%).<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>They\u2019ve decided he\u2019s an eight furlong turf horse and for the twelfth time in thirteen races, he\u2019s running an eight furlong turf race.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Very steady runner is always tough to pick against.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Jockey won this race last year.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>5-1.<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Morning line: 14-3-10-2<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Timmn\u2019s Picks: 14-2-3-12<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(IRE)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":432,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3036","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3036","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/432"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3036"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3036\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3036"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3036"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3036"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}