Untitled Document<\/title><\/head><body><\/p>\nThe GIII Cryogenics Juvenile<\/strong>, a mile dirt race for the 2yos at Montana, has drawn an interesting field.\u00a0 We have the only still-in-training offspring of that excellent racemare One Sky, we have the #11-ranked 2yo in the dirt classic division, we have two multiple-graded winners, we have one undefeated colt.\u00a0 Mostly what we have is a full field of 14 very very good 2yos who all want those 32 stakes points awarded to the racewinner so they can maybe make a bid for the biggest race of the year – the Breeders Bowl Juvenile<\/strong>.\u00a0 The $150k purse isn’t too shabby either.<\/p>\n\u00a0<\/p>\nThis is the sixth running of the Cryogenics Juvenile.\u00a0 The record time is 1:35.4, set last year by funster’s<\/em> Depravity.\u00a0 <\/strong>History says each successive running tends to be a bit faster than the last, and there are some very fast colts in this year’s field.\u00a0Might we be looking at a new track record?<\/p>\n\u00a0<\/p>\nNote: All rankings referred to below are for the colts dirt classic division.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\u00a0<\/p>\nPost 1 will briefly host sportoking’s<\/em> Separated At Birth<\/strong>. The Distorted Humor colt started his career in style with 3 straight victories (MSW, allowance, listed stakes) before faltering his his last 2 start at the graded level.\u00a0 Despite breaking his win streak, he still picked up a 4th and a 5th in those 2 starts, so has yet to go home empty-handed, and he is still showing an improvement in speed figure.\u00a0 His last start was the GI Kentucky Horsemen Juvenile over a mile, which he lost by about six lengths but did post a lifetime high 84SP.\u00a0 He’s currently ranked #95 in the division, so the BB is a longshot, but possible with a stellar performance in this race.\u00a0 The wins all saw him close to the pace, but he was jostled further back in his losses, indicating he needs to stay near he lead for a fighting chance. <\/p>\n\u00a0<\/p>\nPost 2 features simond4’s<\/em> Tiz A Tornado<\/strong>.\u00a0 He’s one of the more experiences racehorses as he makes start #7.\u00a0 The Tiznow colt broke his maiden at 5 furlongs, earned a third in an allowance, went straight into stakes company (where he won at 5.5 furlongs), ran fifth in another stake, earned third against a tough field in the Smackdown, then was second last out in the GIII Little Tree Stakes.\u00a0 This will be his first time routing.\u00a0 Despite the lack of experience at the distance, I like this guy.\u00a0 Even in his losses he’s ben hanging tough at the end rather than fading into oblivion down the stretch.\u00a0 Pedigree says he should relish the distance, and performances to date don’t contradict.\u00a0 Unless jockey R Grant has a few tricks up his sleeve, watch for Tiz A Tornado to be stalking the pace. <\/p>\n\u00a0<\/p>\nBreaking from post 3 will be Tophatter(GB)<\/strong>, a good-looking son of Millenary who appears to be majorly improving at just the right time. Tophatter started his career under the guidance of trainer tenwhisper<\/em> in dirt sprints, which he was pretty good at (a win and a second) but didn’t really seem to love.\u00a0 A switch to the grass produced a third,\u00a0 but again Tophatter didn’t seem entirely happy.\u00a0 So, back to the dirt, this time at the mile, for his last 2 starts. Finally, something Tophatter loved.\u00a0 He won a nw1x allowance in Dubai with an 81SP, then followed it up last start with an 86-SP win in an Irish listed stake.\u00a0 It’s rather surprising he’s at 24-1 odds, because I would expect perhaps a 90+ performance from this colt if he stays to form.\u00a0He can close from way back, or he can sit much closer to the pace; the versatility makes him dangerous.\u00a0\u00a0 Currently ranked #20 in the division, he needs a win to get a BB berth.<\/p>\n\u00a0<\/p>\nLegendary Pegasus<\/strong> (his name, not his title) will start from post 4. Snappa5’s<\/em> Fusaichi Pegasus colt has had a very logical training and racing schedule.\u00a0 Start short, and gradually stretch out.\u00a0 He broke his maiden at first asking at 5.5. furlongs, and ran second by just a length in the GII Vermont BB Juvenile at 6. Last time out he tried 7 furlongs in the GI Hoserhead and finished 5th albeit just under 3 lengths out.\u00a0 The pattern of losing by successively greater distances worries me, but that’s not that uncommon for horses who need more ground, and Pegasus has been improving SP-wise at every start (he posted an 85 in the Hoserhead). He’s got the speed to be in the mix at the wire.\u00a0Expect him to go for the lead as he did very effectively in his debut win.<\/p>\n\u00a0<\/p>\nBigkev’s<\/em> Persian Lyric(IRE)<\/strong> starts from post 5. The Peintre Celebre colt is the only undefeated starter, with a maiden win and a pair of listed stakes wins to his credit.\u00a0 Ranked #57, Lyric is making his first route start.\u00a0 I suspect he may trip up his perfect record in this one, as his running style shows him typically gunning for the lead and just barely holding off closers.\u00a0 Last start at 7 he held on by just a head; against a bigger field of better horses at a longer distance, one must question his ability to stay the distance. Still, his pedigree says longer is possible, and he has managed to keep a perfect record thus far. <\/p>\n\u00a0<\/p>\nBlack Jack Blues,<\/strong> set to break from post 6, is among the highest ranked in the field at #16.\u00a0 Trainer blackswan<\/em> is staring a possible BB bid in the face and knows it. From four lifetime starts, BJB is undefeated sprinting but a poor performance in his route debut last time out in the GI Kentucky Horsemen Juvenile broke a perfect record and could not have made his trainer confident in the Came Home colt’s talent. When the colt gets his way, he’s a frontrunning speedball.\u00a0 He made the lead in the KyH Juvie, but by the half-pole was completely done.\u00a0 Rumor has it BJB has been spending a lot of time galloping to build stamina; if he’s in shape he could be a real factor.\u00a0 He should easily get the lead, but how long he’ll keep it is a question.<\/p>\n\u00a0<\/p>\nTrainer Camry<\/em> has his Awesome Again colt Awesome Force <\/strong>in the right place at the right time, and that’s not just post 7.\u00a0 It took the horse three tries to break his maiden, but he finally did in an NWRC-restricted maiden.\u00a0 That was promptly followed by a one and a half length win in a listed stake in Nebraska, and last time out AF took on graded in the GIII Pea Patch.\u00a0 Despite the second-place finish, AFF’s connections had to be thrilled; the colt show every indication of appreciating more ground as he gets it, and at this rate will be in perfect position for the BB if he can get in.\u00a0 The #21 ranking says it’s possible with a win here. AF can close from the clouds or from more a midpack position, so he’ll be sitting back and letting the speedballs burn themselves out while waiting for the right time to strike. Avery good shot to win.<\/p>\n\u00a0<\/p>\nPost 8 will feature Catapulted<\/strong>, a Fantasticat colt trained by theatrical<\/em>. The colt has had some success sprinting (his record is 5: 2-2-1) but has yet to try a mile plus.\u00a0 He gets that chance here.\u00a0 Luckily he looks like he’ll probably like it.\u00a0 Last start Catapulted tried 6.5 furlongs in the GIII Closest Friends; he was closing well to run third by just a length and a half. The mile may suit him very well.\u00a0 He has good speed figures (including a high of 87 in that GIII) and a good chance to do quite well. <\/p>\n\u00a0<\/p>\nIt just wouldn’t be a normal graded juvenile race without a T horse in the field.\u00a0 This one must be normal, then, as pick6<\/em> sends forth Well Played Ted(IRE)<\/strong> from the 9th post. Well Played has just one win from 4 starts, but his other 3 races resulted in a pair of seconds and a third.\u00a0 That third was from his last start in the GIII Pea Patch at a mile; he lost by almost 4 lengths and was clearly tiring. As his daddy is Theatrical, the distance should prove no great obstacle for this colt, and perhaps in the last 5 weeks he’s been trained for increased stamina to prevent that exhaustion from setting in at the wrong moment.\u00a0\u00a0 His SPs are solid (earned a a lifetime-high 87 in the Pea Patch) and looks to generally be a good horse.\u00a0 May not win, but will likely pick up a piece of the purse.\u00a0\u00a0 Ranked #37 in the division, a win here would not be enough to seal a BB berth, but it would help make the case for one. <\/p>\n\u00a0<\/p>\nPost 10 features a colt with some history.\u00a0 Five Skies(IRE)<\/strong>, trained by gallorette<\/em>, is the fifth offspring of multiple-graded winning mare One Sky, and also the only one of One Sky’s babies still in training.\u00a0 Five Skies is by Giant’s Causeway, and looks to be the best yet from the One Sky dynasty. In 3 starts he has a maiden win, an allowance loss by a quarter-length, and a win by a nose in an 8.5 furlong listed stake.\u00a0 The SPs earned are generally a few points lower than the best of the field, but the excellent bloodlines and very good ontrack performances make this colt one to watch closely as he matures.\u00a0Despite the colt having won sprinting, one must wonder if the mile will be too short for him to really shine. He’s ranked #33.<\/p>\n\u00a0<\/p>\nTrainer bloodrock<\/em> saddles horse #11, Indy Gold Jungle<\/strong>.\u00a0 The A.P. Indy colt wowed the racegoers in his first three starts with three straight wins (MSW, allowance, listed stake) but regressed last start in the GIII Closest Friends, losing by over 9 lengths and posting a not-so-good 73SP.\u00a0 IGJ is a speedster who will be challenging Black Jack Blues for that coveted position in front.\u00a0 Unfortunately he hasn’t yet shown he’s fast enough to wrest the lead away from Blues.\u00a0This is IGJ’s first route, and coming off that performance last time out he’s far from a must-bet position.\u00a0 Will need a big improvement to hit the board, but has earned the right to be here.<\/p>\n\u00a0<\/p>\nPost 12 will hold the field favorite, Non Negative<\/strong>. The A.P. Indy colt is trained by mook<\/em>. Double N is on the cusp of locking up a BB spot by virtue of his #11 ranking, but the points he would get by winning this race sure wouldn’t hurt. NN has the highest SP in the field (he earned a 92 in winning the GIII Pea Patch at a mile).\u00a0 If he can back that up with a win here, it’s be hard to say he’s not one of the top juvenile sin the sim.\u00a0\u00a0 NN has a great closing kick and tends to win going away (as he’s done 3 times in 5 starts).\u00a0The morning line favorite, and my favorite.<\/p>\n\u00a0<\/p>\nThe #13 post will hold a puzzle.\u00a0 Grey Light<\/strong>, a son of Stroll trained by jjfalcon<\/em>, has a good record on paper (2 wins from 4 starts) but has yet to try stakes let alone graded, and has just one start over a mile, but that was on a good track rather than the fast he’ll get in this race.\u00a0 High SP of 74 (from that mile race) is 17 points lower than the best of the rest of the field. He sure has a challenge ahead to succeed in this one.\u00a0 But, with the babies you really have to take your chances where you can, and it’s possible we’ll look back at his form on paper after the race and ask ourselves why he wasn’t at better morning line odds.\u00a0His versatility (has won on the lead, and stalking) sure can’t hurt. <\/p>\n\u00a0<\/p>\nBreaking from the far outside will be the obligatory Super<\/em> entry, Bermuda<\/strong>.\u00a0 The Speightstown colt is the fourth offspring of the G-ranked mare Driving For Saint (and the second graded winner of those four).\u00a0 Bermuda won three in a row including a pair of GIIIs before disappointing in the GI Kentucky Horsemen Juvenile last out.\u00a0 Whether the problem was the distance or something else is unknown.\u00a0 After 5 weeks off, rumor has it Bermuda is in great health and ready to run. That should answer the distance question. In all of his wins, Bermuda stayed close to but not quite on the pace; it wouldn’t surprise if he used a similar tactic here.<\/p>\n\u00a0<\/p>\nIt’s so difficult to handicap juvenile races.\u00a0 So many 2yos are making huge leaps in maturity this time of year that handicapping them is almost a futile effort, and you might as well throw darts rather than try to seriously rank them. Still, I’ll take a stab at picking 4 colts to run in the top 3, with no claims as to order of finish. Non Negative<\/strong> stands shoulders above this field based purely of his last race.\u00a0 If he can duplicate it, he’s hard to beat.\u00a0 Awesome Force<\/strong> is improving steadily and should be around at the wire.\u00a0 Tophatter’s<\/strong> versatililty makes him a must-consider.\u00a0 Five Skies<\/strong> fills out my picks. He’s a colt with a bright future ahead.<\/p>\n<\/body><\/html><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Untitled Document The GIII Cryogenics Juvenile, a mile dirt race for the 2yos at Montana, has drawn an interesting field.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":21,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2957","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2957","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/21"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2957"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2957\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2957"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2957"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2957"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}

{"id":2957,"date":"2006-09-15T23:23:27","date_gmt":"2006-09-15T23:23:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=2957"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=2957","title":{"rendered":"2yos take on Cryogenics for rights to elusive BB entry"},"content":{"rendered":"