{"id":2669,"date":"2006-06-19T12:08:25","date_gmt":"2006-06-19T12:08:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=2669"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_99","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=2669","title":{"rendered":"Speed Study Series &#8211; Issue 1"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">One of the most intriguing changes to the sim over the past couple of years has been the lowering of speed figures.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>For those of you that are new (anyone who started playing less than 1.5 years ago, or November of 2004, fall into this group), back in 2004 speed figures were getting out of hand.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Horses were commonly running higher than 120 speed figures, something which is rare in the real world.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In an attempt to make the sim more realistic, Mike Wallace decided to lower these numbers.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He used a gradual process, which would end with the desired result 180 days (6 months) later.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>What we are left with is race times that are comparable to the days of old, but speed figures which are much slower.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In 2000, a 1 mile turf run at <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = \"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags\" \/><st1:country-region w:st=\"on\"><st1:place w:st=\"on\">Japan<\/st1:place><\/st1:country-region> for 4yo+ in 1:34 could yield a 120 speed figure.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Nowadays, the same 1:34 time at the same distance and track might only yield a 113 speed figure.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Such was the case in the Kasuda Yinen Mile, a race I covered for the BTB three weeks ago, when Enough Knock won the race with a 120 speed figure in 2000, and Xtremely A Fan won the race, in the same time, with a 113 speed figure.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It made me ask the question \u2013 which one was actually faster?<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Which of those two holds the stakes record?<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = \"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office\" \/><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">I started a study looking into the relationship between speed figures and times in order to calculate which time was actually faster.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>But that didn\u2019t go very well.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>So I decided to try the next best thing \u2013 e-mail Mike.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I was not expecting an answer, as I figured this kind of information would be private to the game.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I was shocked to receive a return e-mail a short while later, with all sorts of interesting information about speed figures.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>They answer some of the hottest issues of our time.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Based on all of this new information, it seems only fitting to use it.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Over the rest of the summer (during the BTB\u2019s vacation), I will use the new speed data to compare some of the older greats to some of the newer monsters.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Wondering where <st1:place w:st=\"on\"><st1:PlaceName w:st=\"on\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Horseshoe<\/B><\/st1:PlaceName><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"> <st1:PlaceType w:st=\"on\">Bay<\/st1:PlaceType><\/B><\/st1:place>\u2019s 2005 Horse of the Year campaign matches up with those of previous years?<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Whose BB Classic was better, <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Call of the Wild II<\/B> in 2005 or <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Mine Forest<\/B> in 2001?<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Who holds the Bluegrass Derby Stakes Record?<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Was <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">I Seek U<\/B>\u2019s Triple Crown win the result of an amazingly fast horse, or a weaker three-year-old crop?<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Where do the current top horses rate in comparison to those in the Sim Hall of Fame?<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Before all these questions can be answered, a couple of basic notes have to be made.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">The first disclaimer, as well as breaking news in the sim, is that speed figures are not necessarily all comparable.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>For those of you out there who say \u201cwow\u2026my 2 year old ran a 75 speed figure to break his maiden, and this stakes was won with a 71.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I would have won that race if I entered it,\u201d you are not necessarily correct.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u201cTimes and figures can differ slightly even from race to race on the same card at the same distance,\u201d Mike said in an e-mail.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u201cI actually readjust the bias a bit before each race.\u201d<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This is a fact that many people, myself included, did not realize.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The statement shows that there actually is a track bias within the sim, and tracks may actually play slightly differently for every race run.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>One day, <st1:place w:st=\"on\"><st1:State w:st=\"on\">Kentucky<\/st1:State><\/st1:place> could be speed-favoring, while another day it could benefit the closers.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The fact that different tracks have different biases also makes it slightly complicated to compare individual speed figures and race times, if they are not under identical conditions.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">The second biggest difference between newer races and older races has to do with the jockeys.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u201cI\u2019ve made the jockeys a bit smarter over the years (especially the good ones and the experienced ones)\u2026The jockeys do a much better job now than they did in the past of saving as much horse as they can without flubbing the race,\u201d Mike said in the e-mail.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This statement confirms one of the hottest issues currently on the message board \u2013 is there a benefit to selecting jockeys?<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>By getting one of the top jockeys to ride your horse, you can count on the fact that the jockey is good, and will save as much of your horse as possible.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>While it may not mean a stellar speed figure in one specific race, it may mean a better race in upcoming performances, and possibly a longer and better career.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>However, with this effect, direct comparison of speed figures may not be completely accurate in determining the best horse.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Just because one horse ran a 113 speed figure and the other ran a 112, it doesn\u2019t mean that the 113 is necessarily the better horse, or even that it ran a better race.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">So what does all of this mean?<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Well, it\u2019s simple.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Welcome to the Speed Study Series, a series of BTB articles spanning every possible angle of analyzing race speed figures.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This will be an interactive column; if you have something you would like to see covered, head to the BTB Message Board and find the topic labeled \u201cSpeed Study Series Suggestions\u201d.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Post what you want to see, whether it is a comparison of 2 horses, a specific comparison of 2 races, an analysis of a horse career, or anything else you can think of that you would like to see.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Then check back later that week, and hopefully I will have done analysis on your topic.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>If not, expect that it will be available in the near future.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">The biggest part of this study, however, will be the final column of the summer \u2013 a comprehensive list of every graded stakes record holder.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This will be a daunting task, but it is underway, and should be completed in the timetable allotted.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Included in that article will be the biggest scoop the game\u2019s creator has ever given the Black Type Bugler \u2013 Actual code from the Sim itself.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Here\u2019s a sneak preview of what is yet to come.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The record holder of the <U>Kasuda Yinen Mile<\/U>, as mentioned above, is <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Xtremely A Fan<\/B>, in a time of 1:34 (113.001 speed figure).<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Enough Knock<\/B>\u2019s speed figure from 2000 would be equal to a 112.15 speed figure, slower than the 2005 running.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">If that doesn\u2019t appeal to you, maybe this will.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The <U>Bluegrass Derby<\/U> record is currently held by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Tower Storm<\/B>, winner of the 2002 running, in a time of 2:01.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>For more in depth analysis of this race, look out for a future issue of this series.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">But until then, sit back and enjoy the analyses that can be done with this data.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Stay tuned for the first official column, looking at a comparison the two greatest years of two of the greatest horses in Sim history \u2013 2005 Horse of the <st1:place w:st=\"on\"><st1:PlaceName w:st=\"on\">Year<\/st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceName w:st=\"on\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Horseshoe<\/B><\/st1:PlaceName><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"> <st1:PlaceType w:st=\"on\">Bay<\/st1:PlaceType><\/B><\/st1:place><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"> <\/B>and 2001 Horse of the Year <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Joe Cayenne<\/B>.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>And welcome, one and all, to the <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\"><U>Speed Study Series<\/U><\/I><\/B>.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Bryan (shagfarms) can be reached at <A href=\"mailto:TripleCrown@suscom.net\">TripleCrown@suscom.net<\/A>, or through the BTB section of the Sim Message Board.<\/P><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The beginning of an in-depth look into speed figures past and present<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":384,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2669","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2669","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/384"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2669"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2669\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2669"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2669"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2669"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}