{"id":2412,"date":"2006-05-10T22:41:23","date_gmt":"2006-05-10T22:41:23","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=2412"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=2412","title":{"rendered":"Now&#8217;s Their Chance"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">With trainers of the top three year old fillies aiming their charges to peak for last weekend\u2019s Bluegrass Oaks, the number ready for this Saturday\u2019s graded stakes is limited.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = \"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office\" \/><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = \"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags\" \/><st1:State><st1:place>Maine<\/st1:place><\/st1:State>\u2019s Grade III Great Fiddle Sticks Handicap attracted an eight filly field, and just as in the past two years, none possess a graded win \u2013 in fact, the field possess but a handful of in-the-money finishes in graded stakes.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This presents a great opportunity for some lightly raced filly to ascend the class ratings.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The field today is very competitive, with several promising sorts.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The winner this Saturday will try to avoid the fate of the winners of the last two runnings of the Great Fiddle Sticks, who have thus far not won a second graded stakes.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Longshot hunters will have to look elsewhere, as the morning line odds don\u2019t exceed 6-1 for any filly in the race.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Here is a look at the field:<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Lenny14<\/I><\/B> (21%) trains the favorite <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Lifeshaft <\/B>(Mineshaft x Lyphard) in her stakes debut.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She owns the highest speed figure in the field: a 97 earned last time as she pretty much exhausted her conditions.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>All three wins have come at 8 furlongs; she tired in her only longer try.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Needs to avoid a speed duel with the outside filly \u2013 otherwise the race is hers to lose.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Mineshaft has produced 11% stakeswinners.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>7-2<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=2><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Silent Rush <\/B>(Cat Thief x Forty Niner) is one of the four fillies tied for longest odds at a mere 6-1.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She had a monster stakes win as a two year old in the Creepy Prospector when she got loose on the lead, and that has encouraged trainer <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Rman<\/I><\/B> (9%) to keep trying some ambitious placings.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She will be relieved not to see anything like No Apagues La Luz or Biter Hollandia in here, but she can\u2019t be happy to see Quilty, who beat her last time.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>6-1.<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=3><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Quilty<\/B> (Galileo x Roberto) managed the trip from North Korea to West Virginia for her stakes debut just fine last time, winning the Oblivious S. Stakes.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In her last couple races, she has learned to rate, and that style should fit well in here with a looming speed duel among the favorites.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>We also like how her speed figures have been improving lately.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">SeniorBarn<\/I><\/B> (13%) appears to have bred her with turf in mind, but she has taken to the dirt.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The barn makes a last minute entry into this. 5-1.<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=4><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><st1:place><st1:PlaceName><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Dixie<\/B><\/st1:PlaceName><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"> <\/B><st1:PlaceType><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Park<\/B><\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place> (Dixieland Band x Gone West) finished second in the Grade II Walnut Tree Stakes shortly after breaking her maiden as a two year old.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Trainer <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Ashworth<\/I><\/B> (19%) has kept her in graded stakes ever since, but she hasn\u2019t been able to repeat the performance.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She has earned enough stakes point doing that to attract the top jockey in G Giant (27% in 2006).<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><st1:place>Dixie<\/st1:place> has been trying to mount rallies from well off the pace and hasn\u2019t really come close as a three-year-old, but she has been facing better and if she is to win a graded stakes, this is her chance. 5-1.<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=5><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Queen of <\/B><st1:country-region><st1:place><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Mali<\/B><\/st1:place><\/st1:country-region> (Kingmambo x El Prado) has finished in the money in five of her eight routes, and is coming off a rallying second as the favorite in the Kelly Bubble Special.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">CMS424<\/I><\/B> (13%) trained filly has yet to hit a 90 speed figure, but likes the distance and always seems to be around at the end.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>6-1.<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=6><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Capoeira<\/B> (Theatrical x Sadler\u2019s Wells) has seven finishes in the money in nine sprints, but only one for four in routes.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>That one time came last time, though, in the five-filly Saddle Tetecate Stakes.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Crafty trainer <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Noia<\/I><\/B> (19%) could give a clinic in how to find the right spots for your horse.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The barn in closing in on 200 wins.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>When she fires, Capoeira does it from just off the pace.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>6-1.<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=7><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\">As a two year old, <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Fantasmic<\/B> (Unbridled\u2019s Song x <st1:City><st1:place>Seattle<\/st1:place><\/st1:City> Slew) went for the lead on every try, winning her first two races.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Trainer <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Alphonso<\/I><\/B> (11%) has tried to teach her to relax in her three year old races, with mixed results.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She owns a third in the Grade III Myocardial Infarction and a couple fourths. <SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN>The last pair of races both came on just two weeks\u2019 rest.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The seven week freshening since then indicates that was just too much, and that perhaps she had more talent than the 87 speed figure last time indicates.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>If the seven week freshening has put her back on track, she figures to be a major factor here.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>6-1.<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=8><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\">What would a graded stakes be without an entry from the Super stables?<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">I\u2019ve Met Barb<\/B> (Empire Maker x <st1:place>Danzig<\/st1:place>) returns to stakes company after three allowance races.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Super30<\/I><\/B> (17%) trainee picked up two seconds and a win in those last three races, proving that she likes the distance.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Jockey K Hennessy is in a tough spot.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He has a filly that can rate, but letting Lifeshaft get an uncontested lead doesn\u2019t look appealing, and no one else looks like they can run with her early. 9-2.<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt 0.25in\">Morning Line Selections: 1-8-3-4<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt 0.25in\">Timmn\u2019s picks:<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>1-3-7-8<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt 0.25in\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt 0.25in\">To comment: timmn@hotmail.com<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A Filly Will Get Her First Graded Win<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":432,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2412","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2412","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/432"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2412"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2412\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2412"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2412"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2412"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}