{"id":2398,"date":"2006-05-05T23:54:05","date_gmt":"2006-05-05T23:54:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=2398"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=2398","title":{"rendered":"Creepshow, Pub Crawl, Spare T, more clash in classic 2,000 Guineas(G1)"},"content":{"rendered":"

Newmarket<\/STRONG>–\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0Forget about Kentucky, folks… this here’s the race!\u00a0 It’s the Grade 1 $350,000 2,000 Guineas<\/EM>,\u00a0classic Simster-style (uh huh!).\u00a0 And we have such a fabulous field of turf colts too….. eat your heart out Bluegrass state!\u00a0 <\/DIV>
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The 2,000 Guineas tests 3YO colts over 8 furlongs even.\u00a0\u00a0 In real life, it’s the 1st leg of the English Triple Crown.\u00a0 Here in the Sim though, there is no established Triple Crown for turf sophomores.\u00a0 Additionally, the Bluegrass Derby\u00a0upstages the Guineas races (and, fair to say, the Derby de English in June also looms large over the milers).\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0The Guineas then presides as pretty much a stand alone<\/EM> classic.\u00a0 <\/DIV>
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Last year’s extremely anticipated renewal saw the division’s earlybird\u00a0leader Niner Connection bring home the bacon.\u00a0\u00a0 ‘Niner\u00a0played the “challenger”\u00a0role versus\u00a0the “champion” (2004 Sim Eclipse 2YO Turf Colt champ General’s Chariot).\u00a0 Delightfully, we have a similar situation here with last year’s Eclipse champion Pub Crawl(IRE)<\/STRONG>\u00a0versus another testy foe:\u00a0\u00a0Creepshow(IRE)<\/STRONG>, winner of 3 of his last 4 Grade 1 races, including the Equinics<\/EM>.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/DIV>
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But that’s just the beginning of the story!\u00a0\u00a0 Twelve other contenders vie for the fantastic honor here at Newmarket.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 The course is firm.\u00a0\u00a0 The punters’ bets are in.\u00a0\u00a0 Time for raised champagne glasses in a historic salute to the 6th running of the Sim 2,000 Guineas<\/EM>.<\/DIV>
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Let’s\u00a0meet our heroes………<\/DIV>
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The Faves<\/U><\/STRONG>:<\/DIV>
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9\/2 – Creepshow(IRE)<\/STRONG> (lenny28):\u00a0\u00a0 Remember I said this guy was like Niner Connection?\u00a0 Well, in truth, he’s probably more like Manifest Destiny was at this point last year (9f winner).\u00a0 Creepshow(IRE) bloomed late last season, hitting the board on DelPenn Day.\u00a0 He’s since been on fire as a 3yo though around nine panels.\u00a0 The\u00a0Rock Of Gibraltar(IRE) son seemingly adores the extra ground, winning grades at Japan and New South Wales, and of course the 1 3\/16 miles\u00a0Equinics division.\u00a0 <\/DIV>
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OK, this is really funny:\u00a0 there were 3 Equinics races<\/STRONG> for\u00a03yo turf colts in February.\u00a0 Creepshow won the 9.5f one\u00a0with gorgeous ease.\u00a0 \u00a0Pub Crawl was supposed to win the 6f race, but he ran kind of even in his\u00a02006 debut.\u00a0 The actual miler <\/EM>race on Equinics day was impressively won by a colt named Cortez(IRE).\u00a0\u00a0Two weeks ago, both miler Cortez and 9f-10f stayer Creepshow met in the 1st 12f “Derby”:\u00a0 the Sydney Derby.<\/EM>\u00a0 All eyes on Creepshow, he looked like an absolute shoe-in….. but he lost, rallying rather mildly over the extra quarter-mile.\u00a0 The winner?\u00a0\u00a0 Miler Cortez(IRE).\u00a0\u00a0 <\/DIV>
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So, it’s a flip-flop.\u00a0\u00a0 Everyone’s earlybird stayer heir to Horseshoe Bay, Creepshow(IRE), cuts back to a mile.\u00a0\u00a0 Meanwhile, everyone’s earlybird Guineas<\/EM> favorite, Cortez(IRE), goes onward Saturday in the 2nd 12f “Derby” (Adelaide Derby<\/EM>) as the new “Horseshoe Bay” threat.\u00a0 Are ya with me?\u00a0 Ha!\u00a0\u00a0 <\/DIV>
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Totally see Lenny maybe trying 12f again — the Sydney wasn’t a bad race.\u00a0 But, then again, you might point to Deputy Minister as damsire, limiting true stayer 12f+ power in Creepshow.\u00a0\u00a0 But that’s down the\u00a0road though — I fully expect this colt to run well here if not for the win.\u00a0 Don’t panic if he only hits the board or so.\u00a0 It could be that he’s one of those 10f niche horses and there’s lots of great races in the Sim… maybe not celebrated, but they need stars!\u00a0 Windy City Turf Classic in August and the “twin” million dollar 10f events at the end of the year.\u00a0 This is a talented horse only\u00a0making his 8th start, so find his best distance.\u00a0 Top jockey A Craig in the irons.\u00a0 We’ll see how versatile Creepshow is in the Classic Turf division.\u00a0 <\/DIV>
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7\/1 – Pub Crawl(IRE)<\/STRONG> (stormborn):\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Out of odds-order, but I want to talk about the champion next!\u00a0 Haven’t spoken with Dan (Given) in a while, and just want to shout out that this is a great move, Dan!\u00a0 Last year’s Eclipse champ won the award on the strength of three Grade 1 wins from 7f-8f.\u00a0 He got caught late though just a tad in the Breeders Bowl’s 8.5f.\u00a0 <\/DIV>
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So, fast forward to 2006, tossing out the Equinics off the board finish.\u00a0 That race came after a huge layoff (mid-December through early Feb.), plus the yielding surface might’ve done in Pubby’s chances.\u00a0\u00a0 More importantly, Dan gets his colt to follow that effort up with a gritty 101 SP#<\/STRONG> photo\u00a0over 7.5f.\u00a0\u00a0 What a wonderful tough performance!\u00a0 \u00a0Even though he’s won a heap of dough around one-turn, I really think this El Prado(IRE) could be best as a true miler.\u00a0\u00a0 Four weeks rest — I just love his chances!\u00a0 So-so jockey, but I fully expect Pubby to\u00a0stretch his speed, adoring\u00a0the flat mile.\u00a0 A lot of true milers can’t show their best stuff with an extra sixteenth.\u00a0\u00a0 He’s really the sole\u00a0speed in this group too.\u00a0 He’s my pick to win the Guineas.\u00a0 Good luck, Dan.\u00a0 \ud83d\ude42\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/DIV>
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5\/1 – Spare T(IRE)<\/STRONG> (super28):\u00a0\u00a0 Totally stiff competition here from one of the super horses.\u00a0 This Theatrical(IRE) son\u00a0raced in good company at age 2 and kept knocking on the door.\u00a0 But, at age 3, wow!\u00a0 He was a solid 3rd to Cortez(IRE) in the Equinics mile race and followed that effort up with classy measure, taking the Chantilly Lace(G3)<\/EM>.\u00a0 Positvely bowled them over three weeks ago in a 101 SP#<\/STRONG> beat-’em-up listed event.\u00a0 <\/DIV>
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If there was a bit more speed in this race to challange Pub Crawl(IRE), then I’d definitely go with Spare T’s form.\u00a0 He’s on a roll.\u00a0 However, he’s a bit of a midpacker and you can even call him a closer too.\u00a0\u00a0 However, if the Super folks looked at this race and set their Jockey Settings, moving Spare T up in the pack (he pressed the pace a lot last year), then watch out.\u00a0\u00a0 I think he’s been a different horse though since running from off pace, thus he might get cooked if they do that.\u00a0 Gorgeous colt — we’re gonna hear more from him this year and perhaps as soon as this Saturday.\u00a0\u00a0 I’d take his price on the board though.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/DIV>
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In The Wings<\/STRONG><\/U>:<\/DIV>
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9\/1 – Ollie’s Gone<\/STRONG> (beamnreasn):\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Gone West son won the Kcusrocek(G3)<\/EM> in fine style LTO.\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0It was only his 6th career call to the post.\u00a0\u00a0 He had previously been a precocious dual-stakes winner and\u00a0placed 2nd to Creepshow(IRE) in the 9.5f division of the\u00a0Equinics<\/EM>.\u00a0\u00a0<\/DIV>
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Remarkable runner with reams\u00a0of upside.\u00a0\u00a0 Just how good is he?\u00a0 Six weeks rest into Saturday.\u00a0\u00a0 What a fabulous career-calling if he can break on through to the winner’s circle.\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0Major threat from off pace and a board showing would be more than honorable.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0Like his chances, but needs some speed to run at.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0Dangerous.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/DIV>
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9\/1 – Zanzabar(IRE)<\/STRONG> (peeps8):\u00a0\u00a0 Dracula(G3)<\/EM> winner adds graded credentials to this\u00a0deep field.\u00a0\u00a0 Galileo(IRE) son\u00a0could join Pub Crawl(IRE) out on the lead or sit back a bit behind pace.\u00a0 Green but imrpving all the time.\u00a0\u00a0 Worthy shot here and much better than odds indicate — he should be about 7\/1 or 8\/1.\u00a0\u00a0 <\/DIV>
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Can’t be discounted.\u00a0\u00a0 Will be tested in thorough duel up front.\u00a0\u00a0 If Pub Crawl doesn’t show up though, this guy is more than capable of taking this one wire to wire.\u00a0\u00a0 Threat.\u00a0\u00a0 <\/DIV>
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10\/1 – Drop The Bomb(GB)<\/STRONG> (mikehusker):\u00a0\u00a0 Longtime Sim player brings a Beat Hollow(IRE) colt to the table.\u00a0 Gorgeous colt picked up the miler groove towards the end of last season, winning in restricted company on DelPenn Day.\u00a0 Pretty fine style if I may say so too — versatile on or off the pace.\u00a0\u00a0 Tested 9f and 9.5f earlier on this season and with good results, hitting the board a couple of times.\u00a0 Wow, sassy youngster trying to find his superior groove.\u00a0\u00a0 Prepped versus listed company for the Guineas and the result was a workman-like 94 SP#<\/STRONG> 8f score.\u00a0 <\/DIV>
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Just how good is he?\u00a0 Certainly passes the class test and absolutely seems to have blossomed as a 3yo.\u00a0 Winless jockey though has to pilot ‘Bomb from behind the pace.\u00a0 Not without a chance if he can break on through.\u00a0\u00a0 Live “mild” longshot.\u00a0\u00a0 Keep an eye on this one!\u00a0<\/DIV>
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11\/1 – Michelangelo(IRE)<\/STRONG> (given2):\u00a0 \u00a0Dan’s 2nd entry is by Galileo(IRE).\u00a0\u00a0 Graded-placed at age 2, this colt’s been the bridesmaid in listed company in 3 of 4 sophomore starts.\u00a0\u00a0 Strong 100 SP# LTO from off pace.\u00a0 This guy needs pace to run at.\u00a0\u00a0 <\/DIV>
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Not as solid as Pub Crawl, but still a contender.\u00a0\u00a0 He’ll need a big run though to break on through with this group.\u00a0\u00a0 Worth a shot, but outsider with much to prove at this level.\u00a0\u00a0<\/DIV>
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13\/1 – Very Silver<\/STRONG> (acote):\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Runner-up to Always Improving in last year’s Breeders Bowl, Very Silver has been here and there at age 3.\u00a0\u00a0 Wasn’t anywhere near competitiveness\u00a0over\u00a09f versus Creepshow(IRE), but picked back up the best in the Miler Equinics<\/EM> (decent but even 6th from\u00a0off pace).\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0<\/DIV>
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Dominated a listed stakes afterwards over a mile, but hasn’t raced in 7 weeks since.\u00a0\u00a0 Always a talented stalker, but have the late blooming colts caught up with him?\u00a0\u00a0 Needs to run like gangbusters off the layoff.\u00a0 Top experienced jockey in the irons for the #4 ranked Turf Classic colt.\u00a0\u00a0 Not to be discounted breaking from the rail.\u00a0\u00a0<\/DIV>
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13\/1 – The Understudy(IRE)<\/STRONG> (sykesy):\u00a0\u00a0 Hard running Theatrical(IRE) colt makes 6th start already this season.\u00a0\u00a0Average freshman 2yo over the\u00a0lawn enjoyed stretching out to 9f, 9.5f, winning short field listed stakes.\u00a0\u00a0 Speedster well beaten over 10f and 12f (versus Creepshow in Sydney Derby<\/EM>).<\/DIV>
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My guess is that he’s better over middle distances.\u00a0\u00a0 Outside chance.\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0<\/DIV>
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The Longshots<\/STRONG><\/U>:<\/DIV>
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15\/1 – Inept Distortions<\/STRONG> (nocalbred):\u00a0\u00a0 Fresh off of a surprising 2nd in the Kcusrocek(G3<\/EM>), this Distorted Humor son has 6 weeks rest.\u00a0\u00a0 It was the best race of the closer’s career so far, missing by just a length with a 95 SP#<\/STRONG>.\u00a0 Love the progression in\u00a0SP#s and he definitely seems to appreciate a shorter trip.\u00a0<\/DIV>
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Keeps on improving with his royal bred female family to back him up.\u00a0\u00a0 Needs some pace to run at though.\u00a0 Yicky jockey to boot.\u00a0\u00a0 Can’t discount him for a breakout performance — it’s a true testament to the depth of this field.\u00a0\u00a0 Must run his absolute best.\u00a0\u00a0 Possible.<\/DIV>
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16\/1 – Andy’s Choice<\/STRONG> (gunsynd):\u00a0\u00a0 High Flyer(G1)<\/EM> winner last year was an eye-catching 4th in in the BB Juvy Turf, closing from way off pace.\u00a0\u00a0 Rainbow Quest son proved it was no fluke too, following the effort up with a roundabout 2nd on DelPenn Day.\u00a0 <\/DIV>
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Unfortunately, he hasn’t been the same at age 3.\u00a0 Granted 2 of his 3 starts came at 9f+ and his Gone West female family might better indicate stamina limitations.\u00a0\u00a0 Misentered LTO versus older horses, so toss that race right out.\u00a0\u00a0 He’s retruning to his High Flyer<\/EM> flat mile — can he turn his season around?\u00a0\u00a0 Difficult spot to do so, but classy colt.\u00a0\u00a0 Five weeks rest, breaks from far outside,\u00a0and good jockey.\u00a0 Flip a coin, but if he’s on target Saturday….. you can claim “back class” recovered as a serious vindication.<\/DIV>
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16\/1 – Gallant Dancer<\/STRONG> (coffee):\u00a0\u00a0 Dual-listed stakes winner by Sadler’s Wells tossed a clinker in the Craven(G3)<\/EM> two weeks ago.\u00a0 Hasn’t been able top translate his form to the graded level yet, but, in a ll fairness, drew a pair of off tracks which he clearly doesn’t like.\u00a0 Fine miler from about midpack or thereabouts.\u00a0\u00a0 <\/DIV>
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Has to pass the class test.\u00a0\u00a0 Can he handle this level?\u00a0 Worthy entry after 98 SP#<\/STRONG> score over 8.5f two starts ago.\u00a0\u00a0 Wildcard.\u00a0\u00a0 just don’t know if he’ll show up.\u00a0\u00a0 Decent jockey but two weeks rest might be cutting it close… or result in a superiorly sharp effort.\u00a0\u00a0 <\/DIV>
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16\/1 – Comiskey<\/STRONG> (eomer):\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Elusive Quality son played the staying game this year with mixed results.\u00a0 Closer started out fine enough, winning his initial black type bscore over 9.5f in listed company.\u00a0\u00a0Comiskey followed that fine form up with a gritty 3rd in Grade 1 company over the same distance, flying from the back of the pack.\u00a0\u00a0Had a rough\u00a0time LTO in the Sydney Derby(G1)<\/EM> though.\u00a0\u00a0<\/DIV>
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Solid colt trying to find his best course.\u00a0 Certainly bred for the Monster Mile <\/EM>by a world record holder.\u00a0 Pretty decent outsider here — always beware of runners cutting back in distance…. they’re capable of throwing huge SP#s when returned to their optimum distance.\u00a0 The jury’s still out though on whether or not this guy appreciate the mile, or perhaps 9f or so.\u00a0 Has some guts….. needs a big flashy turnaround here though.\u00a0\u00a0 Capable with a good jockey in the irons.\u00a0\u00a0<\/DIV>
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19\/1 – Hail Cesario<\/STRONG> (catahoula):\u00a0\u00a0 Classy 2yo who was a late blooomer last year.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Been all over the board at age 3 though.\u00a0\u00a0 0-for-4 in 2006.\u00a0\u00a0 Toss out dirt effort and 9f & 11f efforts.\u00a0\u00a0 Seeking The\u00a0Gold royal bred returns to his beloved short routes.\u00a0 <\/DIV>
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Even though he’s the longest shot on the board, this guy’s has the classy goods to play the spoiler.\u00a0\u00a0 Needs pace to run at up front.\u00a0\u00a0 Outside chance to turn it around but\u00a0Eclipse-winning trainer can get the job done.\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0<\/DIV>
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Snowchief’s Analysis<\/U>:<\/DIV>
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I really like Pub Crawl to take the Guineas wire to wire… that is, if he shows up.\u00a0 \ud83d\ude42\u00a0\u00a0 Extremely deep field all around with proven turf milers.\u00a0\u00a0 Totally believe Creepshow will run his race over this short distance — he’s a good one.\u00a0\u00a0 Andy’s Choice, Hail Cesario, Very Silver all have back class worthy of turning it around.\u00a0\u00a0 Spare T\u00a0is gorgeous<\/EM> in one word.\u00a0 Green Olllie’s Gone is one to watch.\u00a0\u00a0 Zanzabar might surprise if Pubby has a rough time.\u00a0\u00a0 Inept Distortions should enjoy this shorter trip.\u00a0 My oh my, the list goes on!<\/DIV>
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But I’m taking the champion here over\u00a0the hot horse, with the classiest devil to show.\u00a0\u00a0 I think they’re all well-placed here and fit for their run to glory.\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0<\/DIV>
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Win:\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Pub Crawl<\/DIV>
Place:\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Spare T<\/DIV>
Show:\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Creepshow<\/DIV>
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Good luck to all and Happy Derby Day!\u00a0\u00a0 Enjoy the 2,000 Guineas!\u00a0 <\/DIV>
\u00a0<\/DIV><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Equinics hero Creepshow versus Sim Eclipse champ Pub Crawl, 12 contenders for 3yo turf colts<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":396,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2398","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2398","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/396"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2398"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2398\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2398"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2398"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2398"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}