{"id":2277,"date":"2006-04-27T21:27:55","date_gmt":"2006-04-27T21:27:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=2277"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=2277","title":{"rendered":"Jockey Picks Long Shot"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-tab-count: 1\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>We are in that magical lull before the official start of the strawberry season here in Maine, and there is not much to do around town except speculate about jockeys.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Questions abound coming into this week\u2019s Mellow Breeze Handicap, a Grade II mile run on the dirt for a field of ten three-year-old fillies.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Much talk surrounds jockey G. Giant in particular, who has a history with two fillies here, is riding neither, and will be seen Saturday astride the long shot.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = \"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office\" \/><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-tab-count: 1\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Varying reports can be heard around the stables, and no two seem to be the same.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Some say that Giant refused to ride for either of the two owners he has worked with previously, both of whom were begging for on bended knees.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Still others are adamant that he has a history of disobeying instructions and using up good runners, and have it straight from the owners that they wouldn\u2019t let him ride their mounts if he paid them.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>One rather precocious stable boy hinted at some unpleasantness involving several trainers\u2019 daughters.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-tab-count: 1\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Giant could not be reached for comment, although he would probably suggest that we get on with it and look at the fillies in the race.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-tab-count: 1\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In the inside position is <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Conga Line<\/B>, <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">super11<\/I>\u2019s Congaree filly who comes off a disappointing 8<SUP>th<\/SUP> place finish in the American Cat Stakes.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>G. Giant had the ride in that race, and the poor finish in that race may be the reason why he has reportedly been barred from entering the Super Stables (reports on this could not be confirmed) much less have another ride on this filly.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This will be <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Conga Line<\/B>\u2019s first try at a route race; she has previously won at 7 furlongs so the extra distance may not upset her too much.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Although it wasn\u2019t enough, she did improve to a 90 speed figure in her last start and looks to improve again.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She goes off at 9\/1, this time with N. Gunn aboard.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-tab-count: 1\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Breaking second will be <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Praslin<\/B>, a Tapit filly who won her last start in a 7.5 furlong allowance.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Bucephalus<\/I>\u2019 entry also improved to a 90 speed figure in that start, but it remains to be seen whether she can carry that over a distance.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She finished second in a mile stakes run at two.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This was followed up with an 11<SUP>th<\/SUP> place finish, also at a mile, but <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Praslin<\/B> may have been thrown off by the mud that day.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She has shown her ability to lead or rate depending on her jockey\u2019s commands (and shipping in from the west keeps her above the hotbed of New England jockeys).<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The handicappers put her at 10\/1.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-tab-count: 1\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In the third spot we find <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Genna Lou Hoo<\/B>.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This daughter of Rahy is coming of a struggle through the slop in the GI lool Oaks where she finished 6<SUP>th<\/SUP>.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Even without the mud, she seems to prefer a mile over the mile and a sixteenth in that race, and so hopes to improve here.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She ran a 98 to come home 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP> in the GII South Dakota Oaks for <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">marilyn847<\/I>, so we know she can run at this level.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Genna Lou Hoo<\/B> is ranked 37<SUP>th<\/SUP> in the dirt classic division, but has already run six times this year and often with only a two week break; she may be losing some steam.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>At 3\/1, many people have confidence that she can pull off another one.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-tab-count: 1\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In the fourth position is <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">theleague<\/I>\u2019s <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Broadway Angel<\/B>, a nice looking daughter of Vindication who won last month\u2019s Louisiana Oaks.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Her last two starts have been for a 4<SUP>th<\/SUP> and a 5<SUP>th<\/SUP>, so she may be having trouble recovering from that victory.<B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Broadway Angel <\/B>has done everything asked of her to this point, winning both at distances up to 9.5 furlongs and at the Grade II level.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She is the 27<SUP>th<\/SUP> ranked dirt classic filly and the favorite in this race at 7\/2.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-tab-count: 1\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Breaking fifth is <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Cinematic<\/B>, <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">topicountc<\/I>\u2019s Seeking the Gold filly who had her first graded start five weeks ago and finished third.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This filly has really improved at three, which may have been helped along by her switch to dirt.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Cinematic<\/B> has done better in sprints in the past, but is still improving so it is far too early to have her pegged as a sprinter.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She goes off at 7\/1.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-tab-count: 1\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In the sixth spot is <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Exile On Main St<\/B>, the pretty brown filly who seems to have caused G. Giant so much trouble.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He rode <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">super18<\/I>\u2019s filly three times, including her first win, but does not have the mount this week.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Instead, G. Speck has the reins for the daughter of Thunder Gulch.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Exile On Main St<\/B> won her last start, a mile allowance, with a 96.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She has improved at three, but has only tried stakes races twice with a 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP> and a 7<SUP>th<\/SUP> to show for them.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This will be a step up for her, so it is understandable that her stall has been declared off-limits to reporters (or to me, anyway, according to that stable boy).<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She is currently 7\/1.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-tab-count: 1\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Starting seventh will be <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Sin Bin<\/B>, a daughter of Kingmambo who comes off a 5<SUP>th<\/SUP> in the Jack Razing Stakes.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Super25<\/I>\u2019s entry won three in a row coming into her three-year-old season, including her maiden win, but her two recent stakes starts have been a 3<SUP>rd<\/SUP> and 5<SUP>th<\/SUP>.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Sin Bin<\/B> is another filly for whom this race will be a step up.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Her career had a slow beginning, as she ran a 54 in her first start, but these fillies are still too young to label with any certainty.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>At 10\/1, people seem to be cautious here, but anything can happen.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"mso-tab-count: 1\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/B>In post position eight we find the filly who may be behind all the trackside commotion.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Warbager<\/B>, a daughter of War Emblem, seeks to redeem herself after a disappointing 9<SUP>th<\/SUP> in the Grade III We Get Signal Stakes.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Despite the recent misstep, <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">b4rca<\/I>\u2019s filly will be piloted by G. Giant.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>With a 28% win rate he could potentially ride any filly in this field, so why <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Warbager<\/B>?<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Although she has yet to run above a 90, she has managed to win both sprints and routes and both dirt and turf races.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She may not be able to handle the graded company, but her connections apparently have great faith in this 14\/1 long shot.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-tab-count: 1\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In post nine we have <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Territorial T<\/B>.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Ted<\/I>\u2019s filly recently won the Virgin Bubble Stakes after struggling in several graded attempts, but no one should forget that this Indian Territory filly is the 44<SUP>th<\/SUP> ranked dirt classic filly.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN>She has only sprinted once, being more comfortable in routes such as this one, although she was beaten by 17 lengths in the We Get Signal Stakes.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Territorial T<\/B> is 8\/1.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-tab-count: 1\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>On the outside is <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Quality Material<\/B> by Elusive Quality.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Varsitytwo<\/I>\u2019s filly had her first disappointment in a while when she came home eighth in the lool Oaks last time out.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The poor finish in that start could be explained by the sloppy track, but <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Quality Material <\/B><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN>will have improve a lot in order to run in this race.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She has had solid runs so far, including a win in a 9 furlong stakes, but has yet to impress in a graded start.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She is at 9\/1 odds.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-tab-count: 1\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Whether jockeys have spurned owners, or owners spurned jockeys will be a discussion for the ages.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In the meantime, <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Broadway Angel<\/B> looks to be a winner in this race, but don\u2019t count out the still improving <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Cinematic<\/B>.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Sin Bin<\/B> may also prove she is ready in this race, and there is always the possibility of a long shot coming through in the end.<\/P><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Swirling Rumors Keep Mellow Breeze Handicap From Being Mellow<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":170,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2277","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2277","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/170"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2277"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2277\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2277"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2277"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2277"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}