{"id":1569,"date":"2006-01-26T23:28:04","date_gmt":"2006-01-26T23:28:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=1569"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=1569","title":{"rendered":"You Can&#8217;t Touch These"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">This week\u2019s feature race is the sixth running of the $150,000 Grade III Ouchy Nips Special.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This year\u2019s edition is dominated by fillies and mares trying to move up in the ranks.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>And while they all look deserving, only one top twenty runner is here, and few have been able to run the kind of routing speed figure it has always taken to win this race.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>That makes it a very good race to handicap.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\"><\/SPAN>\u00a0<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Here is a look at the field:<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = \"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office\" \/><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Splash and Go<\/B> (Touch Gold x Mr. Prospector) has finished in the money in 12 of her 14 dirt routes, winning half of them.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She has also been in the money in both of her graded efforts.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Her last, a close sixth in the seven furlong Super Bargain Challenge, was a disappointment, but a return to a route justifies the co-favoritism for the <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Shockwave6<\/I> (13%) trainee.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She should be a bit closer in the early fractions today and that should help.<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=2><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\">The lightly raced filly <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Leavingonajetplane<\/B> (Runaway Groom x Devil\u2019s Bag) began her career with three quick wins, but the <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Urso<\/I> (13%) trainee found the going tougher when she tried graded company.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She ran away from an allowance field of three year olds seven weeks ago and tries graded stakes again.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Understandably, she lost to number one rated Swift Kick in the Bingham Stakes, but that one proved to be no match for Daylight T a couple weeks ago. Still, she\u2019s four of eight and improving.<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=3><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Wortud<\/I> (13%) made an almost-last minute nomination of <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Beta Cat<\/B> (Miswaki x Storm Cat).<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Despite her seven for 12 record in dirt routes, her top 25 ranking, her easy win in the ungraded Near Until Freak last time, her excellent jockey, her strong speed figures, and her record of a win and a third in three graded races, she has been assigned morning line odds of 9-1.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Go figure.<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=4><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Marabou Destiny <\/B>(Dubai Destination x Summer Squall) started her career with three wins and a graded stakes third as a two year old.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>But since then, she has only one speed figure greater than 96, and her last two tries in graded company have resulted in just shy of 40 total beaten lengths.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Trainer <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Marabou<\/I> (11%) is hoping the recent improvements shown in allowance company will continue here.<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=5><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Northerly Nicole <\/B>(Dynaformer x Sunday Silence) showed as a three year old that she could run with older, winning the Commanche Tempest last time and beating half the fields in the Grade II King Classic and the Hollabd House Memorial.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>A repeat of her classy second in the Grad III Annie Oakley two races back would make this <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Skirom<\/I> (16%) trained filly a serious threat here.<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=6><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Spinning Nines<\/B> (Spinning World x Forty Niner) boasts the top speed figures, gets the top jockey who is off to another hot start in 2006, an ace trainer in <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Gorgeous<\/I> (26%), and is the morning line co-favorite.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The only knock is that her success has all been in sprints, but Spinning World has sired several top routers, so it might not be much of a knock.<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=7><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Desfly\u2019s Giant<\/B> (<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = \"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags\" \/><st1:place>Giant\u2019s Causeway<\/st1:place> x <st1:place>Danzig<\/st1:place>) has a third in two graded efforts.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She has also run some quick sprints in two of her last three.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Trainer <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Dessie<\/I> (11%) hopes she can carry that over to her return to two turns.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Jockey Bonkowski won this race last year.<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=8><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\">Veteran mare <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Golden Millenium<\/B> (Mtoto x Dancing Brave) gets a lot of respect in the morning line as the third choice at 5-1.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She does from time to time pop some nice speed figures \u2013 her top figure of 114 dominates the field \u2013 but only one of her nine wins came in a stakes, and she never finished better than sixth in four graded tries.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Daylight T\u2019s earnings per race are almost six times that of the <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Scotgrey <\/I>(8%) trained mare.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=9><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\">Thirteenth ranked <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Daylight T<\/B> (Daylami x Majestic Prince) scored an upset win in the Grade I Fair Warning last time, and a repeat of that performance would make her the one to beat here.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Highbreed<\/I> (9%) trainee has a pattern of alternating good races and bad races, however.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Should that continue, expect a bounce.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>(That sounded just like an economist\u2019s forecast: She will run fast this race, unless she runs slowly.)<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><OL style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0in\" type=1 start=10><LI class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in\">Star of the <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">42ndStreet<\/I> (18%) stable, <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Blessed Realm <\/B>(Elusive Quality x <st1:place>Danzig<\/st1:place>) has a couple of graded seconds, but they came two years ago.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Her four wins last year came in allowance company.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Finished more than 10 lengths behind Northerly Nicole last time.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Jump in class is an unexpected move from an accomplished barn.<\/LI><\/OL><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Morning line: 1-6-8-9<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Timmn\u2019s picks: 6-3-5-9<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">\u00a0<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">To comment, contact timmn@hotmail.com<\/P><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ouchy Nips Requires Careful Handling<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":432,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1569","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1569","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/432"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1569"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1569\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1569"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1569"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1569"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}