{"id":150,"date":"2005-07-28T12:34:24","date_gmt":"2005-07-28T12:34:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=150"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=150","title":{"rendered":"Favorite Swingshift Sal talking Smack in the Classic Turf Division"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><P class=MsoBodyText style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">This writer has been around the block a few times, and I\u2019ve been around the SIM long enough to remember the days when the residencies ruled: everyone who was someone was someone in a residency.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Well, it seems we\u2019re back in the renaissance of the residency.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The DelPenn vs. GR Simsters Smackdown is upon us, and the quality of the fields at both Delaware and Pennsylvania this week reflects the health of the residencies.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>For my part, I\u2019m back in the older males turf division, where I\u2019ve been most of this year, covering what (for once) looks to be a competitive event.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Free of the hulking presence of Allied Assault, Sunnybank Memorial, Rain God, and Bristol Rovers, who tend to turn otherwise competitive races into one or two horse affairs, the up-and-comers have a chance to shine, and perhaps send a message to the big four that they\u2019re out there, ready to make a late-season charge into division prominence as we approach the Breeders\u2019 Bowl.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>So, the stage is set: 10 furlongs, over the lawn.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>$250,000 and some pretty prestigious bragging rights to the winner, and the residency where the winner is housed.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>On to the contenders:<\/P><P class=MsoBodyText style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">\u00a0<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = \"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office\" \/><o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoBodyText style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Tepid 5\/1 favorite <B>Swingshift Sal<\/B>, trainer by <I>click<\/I>, leads the way in this field.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He\u2019s ranked 8<SUP>th<\/SUP> in the turf classic division, and is quite the 10-furlong specialist: prior to his dull 3<SUP>rd<\/SUP> place showing last time out at 12 furlongs, he had run up consecutive victories in the Kinsho Kho Classic (G2) in Japan, followed up with the prestigious Prince Of Whales Stakes (G1), where his desperate late rush got him to the wire just a head in front of the field.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Jockey S. Camp will be on board, and while he\u2019s not the talk of the town, he\u2019s having one of the better years of his career, and gets quite a horse for today\u2019s contest.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He should have Swingshift Sal stalking the pace, and if he gets loose at the top of the stretch, he\u2019ll be full of run coming to the wire.<\/P><P class=MsoBodyText style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">\u00a0<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoBodyText style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Close behind in the wagering are a pair of 6\/1 shots, <B>Doggie Walacki <\/B>and <B>Top Jimmy<\/B>, trained respectively by <I>theagakhan<\/I> and <I>sdmf2<\/I>.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Doggie Walacki has a formidable closing kick, but lately its been leaving him just a little short.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Sporting a 2-1-1 record from his last five starts, it is encouraging that those two wins have come at 10 furlongs and 10.5 furlongs, and his only three losses have come in GI company.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>One of those GI races, the Little Guppy Classic, saw him \u00bc length the better of Swingshift Sal, as the two filled the 3<SUP>rd<\/SUP> and 4<SUP>th<\/SUP> positions.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>His speed figures suggest he belongs with this group, though he\u2019ll be hoping that over 10 furlongs, the pace is a little hotter than what he\u2019s been seeing at 11 and 12 furlongs, making that closing kick that much better.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoBodyText style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">\u00a0<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoBodyText style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Top Jimmy, meanwhile, comes out of the same race as Doggie Walacki, where he finished 7<SUP>th<\/SUP> (to Doggie Walacki\u2019s 4<SUP>th<\/SUP>).<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>His previous effort saw him miss by only a head after a desperate closing charge in the G2 King George BB Stakes in Canada, which snapped a 3 race win streak that had started with his first foray onto the turf.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It mystifies this writer why he hadn\u2019t been on turf all along, seeing as he is sired by Arc winner Peintre Celebre, but he has found a home on turf and if he is of this class, he will have a big say in the outcome.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He has yet to find success against the elite of his division though, and 11.6% jock L Salisbury will have to coax every last ounce of energy out of him to drive him past Swingshift Sal in the stretch if he is to come home a victor.<\/P><P class=MsoBodyText style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">\u00a0<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoBodyText style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Next at 8\/1 is the intriguing <B>Stormy<\/B>, from the barn of trainer <I>stretch<\/I>.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Primarily a dirt runner, he is 8: 0-2-2 over the lawn, but being by Pulpit, it would seem he could run a corker over this surface, and having not tested the green in 2 \u00bd years, he must be accorded another shot, especially if one considers speed numbers on turf that have often topped 110, which would bring him home first in this race.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Slightly more troublesome than the lack of success over the lawn, however, is the fact that his average speed figure this year seems to have dropped nearly 15 points from his peak last year: at age 6, making his 55<SUP>th<\/SUP> start, Stormy may have lost a step, and it will be a tall order for him to hit the board in this race, barring a miraculous revival and newfound appreciation for the grass.<\/P><P class=MsoBodyText style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">\u00a0<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoBodyText style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Also at 8\/1 is <B>Grimnosh<\/B>, who would seem to have slightly better chances for trainer <I>knightmare<\/I> than does Stormy.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He\u2019s a speedy, battle tested son of Gold Legend, and while he hasn\u2019t found the wire first as of late, he\u2019s consistently picked up a check in top-notch company.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He\u2019ll be on the bridle straight off the start, and jockey W. Williams will have him freewheeling on the lead the whole way.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>If he can get far enough out early, or slow the pace considerably once clearing the field, he could take them wire-to-wire.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The alternative scenario is obvious: should he be hooked early, he will be running on fumes as the formidable closers in this field lick their chops turning for home.<\/P><P class=MsoBodyText style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">\u00a0<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoBodyText style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">One of those horses that may hook Grimnosh is 12\/1 longshot <B>Abyss<\/B>, from the barn of <I>afc2<\/I>.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>A speedy son of Sadler\u2019s Wells, he should stay all day, and will be intent on keeping Grimnosh honest on the lead.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It appears as though he has more depth and stamina than Grimnosh, but his speed numbers put him a cut below, so if the pace is slow, Grimnosh will have the edge, but if the pace should quicken, it will be Abyss who is left to test his class against the closers when Grimnosh\u2019s stamina gives out after 8.5-9 furlongs.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoBodyText style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">\u00a0<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoBodyText style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Afc2 has a 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP> shot in this race with 13\/1 shot <B>Harvester Of Eyes<\/B>, and its possible that he\u2019ll be using Abyss to force the pace and hoping that this one can pick up the pieces late.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He\u2019s a deep closer with a lot of back class (he was a GI winner last year), but his previous 3 efforts leave a lot to be desired: speed numbers in the 80\u2019s will see him trailing home mid-pack, and he is in desperate need of a return to the form that saw him running 100+ just five starts back.<\/P><P class=MsoBodyText style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">\u00a0<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoBodyText style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Also at 13\/1 is <B>Otto Rock(IRE)<\/B>, who despite ridiculous placement last out going just 6 furlongs after prior races at 11, 12, and 10 furlongs, remains a solid threat.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I covered this horse for the South Is King Stakes (G1), where he ran honestly in pursuit of Allied Assault but came up 3 \u00bc lengths short, and I\u2019m a big fan of his abilities.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He strengthened his credentials with a G2 win over 10 furlongs in his subsequent race, and if one is willing to forgive his sprint debacle and assume he\u2019ll be able to stretch out again without issue, he must be afforded a huge chance for trainer <I>sunkitten<\/I>, especially at his odds.<\/P><P class=MsoBodyText style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">\u00a0<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoBodyText style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><I>Lopo87<\/I> sends out 14\/1 shot <B>Fantastic Lyphard<\/B>, who steps into the race after two consecutive victories at the distance in allowance company.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>While this may be an easier spot than most to test stakes company in this division, he won\u2019t have it easy and will need plenty of racing luck to pick up a check.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><I>Pg51<\/I> sends out 17\/1 <B>Anderson Top<\/B>, a talented runner but also an old campaigner on the downside of his career.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Inconsistency seems to be the rule for horses making their 50<SUP>th<\/SUP> start, and if he runs to the 100 he threw 2 starts back, he can compete for the win.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>If he runs to the 82 he threw in his last outing, he can compete for last place.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>A big question mark.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><B>Dispensation<\/B>, and 18\/1 shot for trainer <I>miraloma<\/I>, seems better than the odds indicate, though he is lacking in stakes experience.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>His running style may hurt him as well, as he\u2019ll be part of the pace set by Grimnosh and Abyss.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>That kind of pressure on the early lead may doom him as he tests stakes competition for the first time, but he does seem to be coming into his own on the turf as a 4 year old.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoBodyText style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">\u00a0<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoBodyText style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><I>Strstables<\/I> sends out 30\/1 shot <B>Secretary Sakhee<\/B>, who can run mid-90 speed numbers with regularity but may be a cut below stakes quality at this point in his career.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The former claimer is on the up-and-up, but may need some time to get there.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Lastly, <I>tihsho<\/I> sends out <B>Distorted Bluff II<\/B>.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He is 77\/1, and is that way for a reason.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>With only $38,000 in earnings, he has no divisional ranking.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>His last race saw him thrashed in an $11,200 allowance, and excluding a 92 two starts back in an allowance victory, his 5-start speed figure average is a mere 78.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Needs a return ticket to allowance company where he can be successful.<\/P><P class=MsoBodyText style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">\u00a0<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoBodyText style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">So there you have it!<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Grimnosh, Abyss and Dispensation set up the pace.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Swingshift Sal, Doggie Walacki, Top Jimmy, and Otto Rock come after him as the field turns into the stretch.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It\u2019s racing at its finest: older horses, on the turf.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>No superstars, no standouts, just a slugfest in which at least 12 of the horses have a legitimate chance to hit the board.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Saturday at noon, the anticipation will be over.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>One of these will be laying the smack down, and this writer sure wouldn\u2019t miss it for the world.<\/P><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>DelPenn vs. GR Simsters Smackdown!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":369,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-150","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/150","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/369"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=150"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/150\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=150"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=150"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=150"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}