{"id":1087,"date":"2005-11-04T14:01:33","date_gmt":"2005-11-04T14:01:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=1087"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=1087","title":{"rendered":"Looking For Gold: 20 To Contest the Colonel Prospector Emerald Stakes"},"content":{"rendered":"

Trainers of top milers find themselves in an awkward position as the racing calendar moved through the fall, often forced to try and stretch their charges out for a run at the Breeders\u2019 Bowl Classic or sharpen them up and refine their speed for a tilt at the Breeders\u2019 Bowl Sprint.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Not this year: one week after the Breeders\u2019 Bowl, those trainers with a little bit of foresight and the patience to avoid the white-hot spotlight from last week\u2019s extravaganza in New York<\/st1:State><\/st1:place> have found a race tailor made for them: $500,000 over a flat mile on the dirt in the Colonel Prospector Emerald Stakes.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The only twist?\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Literally and figuratively, the field is deep: on top of being top-quality, the race is one of the largest ever conducted at Ostend<\/st1:City><\/st1:place>, with twenty horses lining up in the gate.<\/FONT><\/P>

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The story of the race might be told by the odds: led by 6\/1 favorite Tete Galactic(IRE), there are only four horses in single digits, and only three at higher than 30\/1.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The oddsmaker apparently had a tough time separating these horses, but let\u2019s take a look at the field and see what can be seen:<\/FONT><\/P>

\u00a0<\/FONT><\/o:p><\/P>

Colonel Prospector Emerald Stakes<\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/SPAN><\/B>
Grade I
One mile
Fast Dirt
$500,000
All horses, 3 years old and up <\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P>

PP Horse ID Horse Owner Jockey Odds Comments<\/FONT><\/DIV>

1\u00a0\u00a0 17474\u00a0\u00a0 UNPRECEDENTED<\/STRONG> jockeymax J Van Dam 11\/1<\/FONT><\/DIV>
This onetime star returned to action earlier this year after a length layoff, and he looks better than ever. After an impressive late run secured him an allowance in only his 2nd start back, the G1 winner was moved to the barn of trainer jockeymax, who has fed him a steady diet of G1 races with remarkable success: after a 3rd in the G1 Delaware Handicap, he powered home a front running winner of the Bob Woodward Memorial, defeating eventual Breeders\u2019 Bowl Classic winner Call Of The Wild, but a dismal 7th in the Jockey Guild Gold Cup derailed a potential Breeders\u2019 Bowl bid, and we instead find him here in Ostend over the mile trip, which, regardless of whether he guns for the lead or comes from off the pace, should be very much to this one\u2019s liking, especially considering the Nureyev x Raise A Native in the bottom of his pedigree. From the inside post, look for him to be running out for the lead early, and just trying to hold off the closers. He does need a dramatic turnaround in order to shrug off his last race, so he\u2019s far from a sure-thing to run back to his best form.<\/FONT><\/DIV>

2\u00a0\u00a0 28656\u00a0 MCCRIRICK(IRE) <\/STRONG>7thheaven B B Thornton 82\/1<\/FONT><\/DIV>
Three year old colt is competitive in allowance races, but seems ambitiously placed here.<\/FONT><\/DIV>

3\u00a0\u00a0 48536\u00a0\u00a0 HIGH RAISER <\/STRONG>wiz4 F Trossard 8\/1<\/FONT><\/DIV>
This son of Aptitude is right at home racing over a flat mile, but he hasn\u2019t yet shown that he\u2019ll appreciate this type of company. He\u2019ll have company at the front end, and three times in his last four, he\u2019s been reeled in late by allowance horses: I\u2019m suspect of his ability to hold off a classy closer in a G1 race, and with such a large field, there will be plenty of horses willing to take a shot at catching this one. Not likely to break through here.<\/FONT><\/DIV>

4\u00a0 28040\u00a0 OICHE NOLLAG(IRE)<\/STRONG> jafeica Ga Thom 16\/1<\/FONT><\/DIV>
Shows generally strong speed figures which have generally improved over the course of the year, but its hard to get around the 3: 0-0-1 record on the dirt. He\u2019s also a front runner, so he\u2019ll have a rough go of it if High Raised, Unprecedented and other speedballs keep him company, especially when you consider that he\u2019s not going to like the surface. Unlikely to be a factor here.<\/FONT><\/DIV>

5\u00a0\u00a0 47318\u00a0\u00a0 TETE GALACTIC(IRE)<\/STRONG> kartago T Maes 6\/1<\/FONT><\/DIV>
Today\u2019s favorite, he was a G2 winner three starts back over a sloppy track in the Prims Memorial, and though he lost his last race, he\u2019s won 6 of his last 8, and half of his 12 dirt attempts. Further, he\u2019s only been off the board once on the dirt. Worrisome is that, as seems to be the story of this race, he looks as if he\u2019ll be sitting up near the pace: something has to crack, but this is probably one of the two classiest speed horses in this race, so its not unreasonable to think that he\u2019ll be the one to last.<\/FONT><\/DIV>

6\u00a0\u00a0 38290\u00a0\u00a0 SECRETS UNTOUCHED<\/STRONG> seacadet T Littleton 9\/1<\/FONT><\/DIV>
Another classic type horse turning back in trip for today\u2019s contest, he\u2019s a stalker, which could bode well for him here, and he\u2019s classy: he\u2019s won his last two and shows a G2 win on his resume this year, so he\u2019s looking today to get that all-important G1 win. Beautiful pedigree, and from this gate he\u2019ll likely be able to get a good stalking trip outside of the main speed to his inside. <\/FONT><\/DIV>

7\u00a0 75412\u00a0\u00a0 CAGADOR<\/STRONG> notturna2 J Barnes 28\/1<\/FONT><\/DIV>
Three year old colt would need a very, very big effort to be competitive here, but he\u2019s shown in the past that he\u2019s capable of such an effort: witness the 105 speed figure he ran three starts back. Since then, however, he\u2019s been tailing off, and he is in a tough spot to turn things around today. <\/FONT><\/DIV>

8\u00a0\u00a0 95006\u00a0\u00a0 FIGHT FOR FREEDOM<\/STRONG> hills B Ality 25\/1<\/FONT><\/DIV>
There is almost no need to comment on this one, since he shows almost an identical pattern to Cagador, who starts just to his left. This one\u2019s huge effort was a 106 two starts back, and with only 11 starts to his credit, he may have more upside potential, but facing older horses for the first time while stepping way up in class is unlikely to be a strategy that meets with much success. To make matters even worse, he\u2019s a speed horse, and there\u2019s no way he\u2019ll clear the stakes-caliber horses inside of him and establish a comfortable lead. <\/FONT><\/DIV>

9\u00a0 86887\u00a0 GALROY ISLAND(IRE)<\/STRONG> grinspoon E Dobropolski 19\/1<\/FONT><\/DIV>
The second representative of sire Galileo(IRE) in this race, I can\u2019t quite understand how this one slipped in at 19\/1. As an extraordinarily talented closer who obviously loves the dirt (108 speed figure in his only try over the surface), he\u2019s in the money if he repeats that effort. Only thing to worry about is a bounce, as that 108 speed figure represented a 30 point jump from the 78 he ran two races ago. I still like him in this spot at long odds. <\/FONT><\/DIV>

10\u00a0\u00a0 88047\u00a0 TETE FOR STORM <\/STRONG>sabbath J Holmes 15\/1<\/FONT><\/DIV>
Sabbath has a talented filly here who really came to hand when put on the dirt after her first six starts, and she likes the mile trip. G3 winner in her first start of the year, and 3rd in a G2 race last time out, her speed figures leave her a little short in this one, but it wouldn\u2019t be out of the realm of possibility for her to find just a little bit more and work her way into the top five. I\u2019m not sure I can see her threatening for the top spot though.<\/FONT><\/DIV>

11\u00a0 89813\u00a0 HERBERT<\/STRONG> oostende4 Ga Butler 12\/1<\/FONT><\/DIV>
This is another one who the oddsmaker seems to have missed: I don\u2019t really understand 12\/1 for a horse riding a three-race win streak, with an average victory margin of 3 lengths. Sure, he\u2019s primarily a sprinter, but he won two starts back over 7.5 furlongs, and with his style, he shouldn\u2019t be unduly troubled by an extra sixteenth of a mile. Further, I\u2019ve never seen a horse with Caro in their pedigree struggle to get a distance, and I\u2019d bet the farm that this won\u2019t be the first. He may not win, but someone would have to try very, very hard to beat him. There\u2019s some money to be made at 12\/1 as well: bet him across the board with some confidence, as he\u2019s only been out of the money once in his career, finishing first or 2nd in 9 of 10 career starts. <\/FONT><\/DIV>
<\/FONT>\u00a0<\/DIV>
12\u00a0\u00a0 86356\u00a0\u00a0 CARBALLO<\/STRONG> fernando T Greene 14\/1<\/FONT><\/DIV>
A very talented colt, but he\u2019s got a ways to go to match up to some of the greats that trainer Fernando has had. He\u2019s won his last two, but his speed figures put him solidly in the middle of this group, and he\u2019d need the effort of his life to beat these, and nobody\u2019s going to hand it to him. The odds are just about on with this one: he has a realistic but realistically small chance at the win, but he could walking away with at least a minor award.<\/FONT><\/DIV>

13\u00a0\u00a0 43468\u00a0\u00a0 PERFECT MOTION(IRE) <\/STRONG>lizbizkit T Iommi 18\/1<\/FONT><\/DIV>
I\u2019m willing to forgive this guy the two putrid efforts over 13 and 10 furlongs and regard this one as a miler that is consistently capable of running a 105+ speed figure on any given day, which makes his 18\/1 odds look pretty appetizing. As a deep, deep closer, he\u2019s likely to bring up the rear of the field for the first half mile, but when he gets moving, as long as 10% jock T Iommi can get him in the clear with space to run, its just a question of how much ground he can make up how quickly. He won\u2019t have it easy, since the speed horses aren\u2019t going to give him anything for free, but he rates a huge chance.<\/FONT><\/DIV>

14\u00a0\u00a0 91524\u00a0 TETE CATHEDRAL(IRE)<\/STRONG> sabbath Se Morris 33\/1<\/FONT><\/DIV>
Sabbath has been very, very careful with this three year old, and it paid off with four wins in his last five races, the only exception being a 3rd in a 16 furlong stake that was probably too long for him. This son of Sinndar looks like he\u2019ll perform fine over a one mile trip, but his speed figures suggest that he might just need another year to mature before he can compete with horses of this class. All the same, he\u2019s better than 33\/1 odds suggest. <\/FONT><\/DIV>

15\u00a0\u00a0 6805\u00a0\u00a0 COL PROSPECTOR II(IRE)<\/STRONG> rkeogh A Smith 99\/1\u00a0\u00a0 It looks like this one is in here because his name coincides with the name of the race, not because he\u2019ll be finishing in the same zip code as G1 stakes horses. He\u2019d be served well with a quick return to easy allowance company or high claimers.<\/FONT><\/DIV>

16\u00a0\u00a0 48891\u00a0\u00a0 TETE GRAND END(IRE) <\/STRONG>wisbyzews J McCarthey 11\/1<\/FONT><\/DIV>
The fourth and final member of the \u201cTete Tag Team,\u201d this mare is a relentless closer who owns a G3 triumph and a G2 second over the course of her last three starts, which were against her own gender, but stepping into open company, she\u2019s in the same boat as many of these: she\u2019ll need the race of her life to win it, but she comes into this one in fine form and its not impossible for her to step up and win it. <\/FONT><\/DIV>

17\u00a0\u00a0 4110\u00a0 EXPLORER<\/STRONG> click A Glover 9\/1<\/FONT><\/DIV>
Sprinter stretching out can run the speed figures to win it, and he\u2019s got a solid 14% jock on top, and it\u2019s a good thing: if he\u2019s not careful, with 20 horses in the field and starting this far outside, he may get hung wide and lose ground. <\/FONT><\/DIV>

18\u00a0\u00a0 89254\u00a0\u00a0 ACT OF BRAVE<\/STRONG> pm A Horowitz 15\/1<\/FONT><\/DIV>
What a difference a year makes: this time last year, trainer pm was experiencing the bittersweet thrill of having this colt finish 2nd in the Breeders\u2019 Bowl Juvenile, seemingly falling just a head short of being named the champion 2 year old. This year, its been up and down: dismal efforts in the G1 Florida Derby, Middle Jewel, and New Yorker prompted the turnback to 7 and 8 furlongs in distance, and he quickly flashed some of his old form, running 2nd and 3rd in a pair of G1 races. Following those two efforts, he was run on turf, apparently in an effort to utilize the turf to dirt angle that many horseplayers love to use (the tactic was also used for this colt in the leadup to the Breeders\u2019 Bowl Juvenile last year, so its likely not a coincidence that he preps for big races with turf runs), but it fell just a little short: he ran huge, but he ran huge the race after that G1 sprint, which brings him into this one, coming off of a solid 105. If he runs back to it, or even better, runs to the 114 he ran in the Pinto earlier this year, he\u2019s in the money. But he\u2019s a three year old, and inconsistent, so bet with care.<\/FONT><\/DIV>

19\u00a0\u00a0 18078\u00a0\u00a0 STUBBY’S LEGACY<\/STRONG> ricdav293 E Street 21\/1<\/FONT><\/DIV>
We should all be so lucky to have our claims turn into horses that can reel off four straight and become stakes placed, but he looks like he maxed out in open stakes company: he\u2019ll have a tough time finding the extra little bit he\u2019d need to be competitive here. <\/FONT><\/DIV>

20\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 12044\u00a0\u00a0 TEXAS RANGER<\/STRONG> super2 T Petty 25\/1<\/FONT><\/DIV>
A G1 race wouldn\u2019t be complete with a representative from the super stables, and this one has certainly done as asked: Deputy Minsiter x Storm Cat x Forty Niner nets you a runner, and this one has done just that while winning 4 of 9 starts. He\u2019s most at home just winging it on the lead, so he\u2019ll be going early, and he needs to repeat the 110 speed figure he ran two back to have a prayer of surviving the cavalry charge of speed horses for the first part of this one, and while he has faced older horses before, it was only while running 4th in a $10k allowance. Not likely to be around to have an impact when it matters.

<\/FONT><\/DIV><\/SPAN><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Tete Galactic(IRE) Looks To Take Off As 6\/1 Favorite<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":369,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1087","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1087","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/369"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1087"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1087\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1087"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1087"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1087"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}