{"id":10212,"date":"2012-05-18T11:28:44","date_gmt":"2012-05-18T11:28:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=10212"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=10212","title":{"rendered":"The Chat Pack Presents The Middle Jewel"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>Hi Jet and welcome to the 2012 Middle Jewel Chat Pack Edition<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = \"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office\" \/><o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>Good morning Spin .. great to be here<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>We&#8217;ve got a full field of fourteen three year olds lined up<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>The Maryland course is fast<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>Why don&#8217;t we get right down to the runners<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 16pt\">#1 Time For Buda 12\/1 Topicount Stables<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN>Pedigree \u2013 by Dansili out of the c-grade mare Time Byrd by Sadler\u2019s Wells x Secretariat. Half sister to one stakes winner. <o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P>Major Races \u2013 Win in the Arkansas Juvenile (G-1), Placed in Sand Castle Derby (G-1) <o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P>Highest Speed \u2013 103<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>Time For Buda did not run in the Bluegrass Derby even though he won a Lock Prep race<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>Fantastic pedigree that looks like he would be more at home on the grass, however has run extremely well on the dirt<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>Deep closing style that we will see is a trend in this years race.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>I agree although I think Dansili has done very well with dirt runners in the sim<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>Will be interesting to see what the extended break does for him<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>That I think is the big question. He missed some training time after the Arkansas Juvenile which is why he missed the Derby. Is he fully recovered from whatever ailed him?<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>That might be the question of the day .. sits at a nice price at 12\/1<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 16pt\">#2 Proust 11\/1 Platero Stables<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P>Pedigree \u2013 by Zensational out of the f-grade mare Papito by Giant\u2019s Causeway x Forty Niner. Full brother to G-1 winner Prenzlauerberg.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P>Major Races \u2013 Wins in Sand Castle Derby (G-1), Winter is Coming (G-1), Charcoal Breeder\u2019s Cup (G-3) <o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P>Highest Speed \u2013 105<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>He wins &#8230; or he loses.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>Lol<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>Proust was one of my Derby selections<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>Was the ten furlongs just a tad out of his comfort zone? What it just a bad day?<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>I was disappointed by his race, he was closer to the pace than is typical for him and lacked his usual closing punch in the stretch<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>I want to throw the derby run out, and look more at his two previous runs &#8230; where he was outstanding<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>You know from a pedigree standpoint you wouldn&#8217;t expect a Zensational to relish 10f but the older brother does well and Proust won convincingly at 9.5f<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>Its possible his trainer was worried by the early speed in the derby race?<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>He will not have to worry about that in the Middle Jewel &#8230; that is basically devoid of early speed<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>The key will be getting him to relax early but not fall too far from the frontrunners<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 16pt\">#3 Avenged 11\/1 Gatetowire Stables<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P>Pedigree \u2013 by Blame based on the c-grade horse Vengence by Vindication x Seeking the Gold.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P>Major Races \u2013 Wins in Scam (G-3), Gary Asher Memorial (G-3) <o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P>Highest Speed \u2013 105<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>Avenged entered the Bluegrass Derby but just missed making the field<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>Avenged might actually turn into one of the early speed horses in this race. He is normally a stalking type runner, but again in a race without a true pace setter, he could get thrust into the roll.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>Instead of running in a different race that week owner gatetowire chose to retrain for this spot<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>Seems a smart move Spin, only two weeks further, and comes in fresher than those that ran the derby<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>Yep I agree, why waste a big run on a second choice race<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>Vengence (the hemare Avenged was based on) did his best running at 8.5f<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>Can he get 9.5?<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>Blame is a first year sire so it is unclear how that will help the pedigree but considering he himself was a winner at 10f you&#8217;d think Blame would be a help.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>Avenged did win the Scam at 9f going away by over 2 lengths. He sure looked like a horse could go another sixteenth<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>I agree, i would say he should be able to get the distance, the big hurdle possibly being running in his first Grade 1<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 16pt\">#4 Lute\u2019s Wish 17\/1 Selurnivek Stables<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P>Pedigree \u2013 by Midnight Lute out of the f-grade mare Satan\u2019s Wish by E Dubai x Crimson Satan.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P>Major Races \u2013 Won the UFO Stakes (G-3), Show in the California Derby (G-1)<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P>Highest Speed \u2013 103<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>One of the oddities in this years race &#8230; Midnight Lute only throwing 27% routers in the sim to date.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>One thing tha concerns me is that the California Derby runners did not do well at all in the Bluegrass.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>What may have appeared to be a strong prep may not actually be one<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>One thing that intrigues me is he has finished in the money in Grade 1 races on both surfaces<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>He actually may be better on the turf, where he&#8217;s 2-1-0-1 and was only beaten 1\/2 length in that G-1<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>Coming off of plenty of rest as well<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>Ultimately I think the distance may just be too much for him. If you look at his CA Derby race he was 2 1\/2 lengths behind at third call and basically hung there til the finish<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>He closed 4 lengths between call 2 and call 3 and then just couldn&#8217;t kick home<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>I agree &#8230; pedigree says it might be to much, and while the sim can throw curveballs, he might be more of a true miler.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 16pt\">#5 Silverton 7\/1 Lilbitfarm Stables<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P>Pedigree \u2013 by Smart Strike based on the c-grade Band of Silver by Silver Deputy x Dixieland Band.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P>Major Races \u2013 Wins in Wooden Indian Derby (G-1) Immense Derby Challenge (G-1)<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P>Highest Speed \u2013 104<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>I have to admit &#8230; this is my pick to win this years Middle Jewel.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>Four straight races 100+, 2x Grand 1 winner<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>While it looked like 10f was too much, 9.5 might be just right.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>I think the Bluegrass Derby might just be a throwout race for him<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>He seemed to make a couple of moves before tiring at the end. In a 20 horse field sometimes you have to use a horse more than you want to to get and maintain position.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>I agree &#8230; i think we might see a rebound here<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>He also came into the Derby off five blowout wins. The Derby might have been a gut check that he needs to move to the next level.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>I like that in a not so great run for him, he still posted a 102<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>Agree<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 16pt\">#6 Chief Rainmaker 10\/1 Dixiedotco Stables<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P>Pedigree \u2013 scratchbred by Indian Charlie x Storm Cat x Mr. Prospector<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P>Major Races \u2013 Win in the Moises Alou Cap (G-2)<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P>Highest Speed \u2013 102<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>This is the first of two runners for dixiedotco<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>This colt actually closed from 18th in the early stages of the Derby to finish 5th<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>Here is yet another closer who was making moves in the derby, before fading<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>I want to say he might be a miler, but hard to look past the move he made in the Derby. Will the reduced distance be enough to make him a factor?<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>I think there is an excuse called Ras El Hanout for the horses who faded late in the Derby. I don&#8217;t think they stopped running so much as he kicked on the afterburners.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>Hah .. you have me there spin. Ras made everyone look ordinary on derby day<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>If I had to point to a weakness in Chief Rainmaker it would be his speeds are just slightly slower than the rest<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>His top is a 102 which is huge but against this field it is on the low end of the spectrum<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>I just don&#8217;t know if he can make the jump necessary to pass all these runners down the stretch<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>I agree, i think he will make a move again, but not have enough to get to the front.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>Agree. At 10\/1 he&#8217;ll have to prove me wrong<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 16pt\">#7 Dynakaze 14\/1 Given Stables<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P>Pedigree \u2013 by Dynaformer out of f-grade Kamikaze by Deputy Minister x Mr. Prospector. Half brother to one graded winner and two other stakes winners.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P>Major Races \u2013 Placed in Arkansas Juvenile (G-1) <o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P>Highest Speed \u2013 101<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>Dynakaze, like Time For Buda is making his first start since the Arkansas Juvenile<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>It will be very interesting to see what trainer given does with this horse. Will he run him to stalk, or rate him<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>given the lack of speed in the race, i might opt to run him close to the lead<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>Horse definitely has talent, and i think is a major wild card. Only one graded race to date isn&#8217;t much to go on.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>He&#8217;s very lightly raced (only 5 starts)<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>he was closing hard in the Arkansas Juve, so we know distance will not be an issue<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>He was a lot farther back in the Arkansas race than he had been in earlier starts so he could show more speed in here<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>Certainly not with that pedigree<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>I expect him to be at the front, and he could prove difficult to run down if he can gain the lead in the stretch<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>And even though he is lightly raced his last three starts have all come at 9f so he&#8217;s got some bottom to him<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>a lot of ifs in there<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 16pt\">#8 Ominous News 23\/1 Bmr005 Stables<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P>Pedigree \u2013 by Harbinger out of the d-grade mare Senorita Little by Seattle Slew x Little Current.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P>Major Races \u2013 Won the Chicago Derby (G-3)<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P>Highest Speed &#8211; 104<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>This colt only has three starts on the year and has two wins and a second<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>Another making his grade 1 debut. Has shown some talent, but i worry that he faced less than stellar compitition in the Chicago Derby<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>His last race saw a huge jump in speed (from a 93 to a 104) and I don&#8217;t know if he can jump again here<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>Will easily be the toughest field to date, I wonder if he can hang with the class in this field<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>He does like the dirt though. And distance is there as he won easily at 9f<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>I think he may be good enough with a little more time and experience. But I think he&#8217;ll need a race like this to test the waters before he shows his best<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 16pt\">#9 Ras El Hanout 7\/1 Super Stables<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P>Pedigree \u2013 by Tanino Gimlet based on f-grade Covent Garden by Sadler\u2019s Wells x Forty Niner.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P>Major Races \u2013 Wins in the Bluegrass Derby (G-1), Land\u2019s End (G-2) Giant Slayer Classic (G-3) Club Stakes (G-2)<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P>Highest Speed \u2013 111<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>Here is the one with the target on his back.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>If he gets a head of steam going will there be any way of holding him back<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>I don&#8217;t know jet. He&#8217;s undefeated on the dirt and nobody&#8217;s touched him so far.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>He did run an explosive race in the Bluegrass and whether he can come back in two weeks and do it again, I&#8217;m not so certain<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>I have heard numerous trainers comment that his win in the derby was one of the most dominant in many years.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>Exactly and I think if the other runners have any hope it is that he may have knocked himself out with that huge race.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>One thing for certain &#8230; he is a true triple crown threat.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>Absolutely<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>He made a very strong field look just ordinary<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>I would worry as you do &#8230; that 111 was a monster race, and i also worry about him regressing a tad.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>Just amazing career to date<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>If anyone can make a race of this it is our next entrant.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 16pt\">#10 Final Exit 6\/1 Dixiedotco stables<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P>Pedigree \u2013 by Dynaformer out of the b-grade mare Heaven\u2019s Gate, by Seeking the Gold x Northern Dancer. Half sister to two graded winners and two other stakes winners.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P>Major Races \u2013 Wins in the Lool Oaks (G-1), Darley (G-1), Louisiana Oaks (G-2), Dubai 1000 Guineas (G-3), Placed in the Bluegrass Oaks (G-1)<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P>Highest Speed 110<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>The filly is the favorite, which I think in itself is a huge upset.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>I am fairly certain this entry shocked the rest of the field. She ran a monster race in the Oaks, but still couldn&#8217;t get the front<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>I did hear a number of people comment that the Oaks field was tougher than the Derby field. Could that have played a part in the decision of dixiedotco to send his star filly?<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>She got shuffled much farther back than she&#8217;s used to being early on in the Oaks but she came charging to miss by just 1\/2 length<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>I certainly think it played a huge part.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>Who would have thought before the races that both the Derby and Oaks would be won with a 110 speed? Usually the girls are a bit slower but not this year.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>Sorry 111<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>I think the extra half a furlong could actually play to her &#8230; this could be a new top<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>And Final Exit&#8217;s Oaks was better than 19 of the Derby colts&#8217; races<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>Looks like i need to make more than one bet for this race, it gets more muddled the further we go<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 16pt\">#11 Steelshanks 13\/1 Checkmate Stables<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P>Pedigree \u2013 by Forestry out of the e-grade mare Buckner\u2019s Legacy by Seeking the Gold x Seattle Slew.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P>Major Races \u2013 Placed in Giant Slayer Classic (G-3), Shows in Land\u2019s End (G-2) and Corkscrew Stakes (G-1).<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P>Highest Speed &#8211; 100<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>This is the early speed in the race.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>He should be the pace setter, and if i was his jockey i would be kicking with everything i had early to try and kick free<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>I agree but I don&#8217;t see him lasting down the stretch<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>He&#8217;d be winning his first graded race of any kind<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>I also don&#8217;t think the distance is right for him.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>And would have to run a significantly higher lifetime best speed to be a factor<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>I think he will lead for the first 8.5 furlongs then fade hard as the closers come charging down the stretch<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>I agree<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>I think this is a very ambitious spot for him.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>Anything is possible though &#8230; again .. go to the front and try to build as big a lead as you can!<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 16pt\">#12 Skitzoid 8\/1 Tees Stables<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P>Pedigree \u2013 scratchbred by Awesome Again x A.P. Indy x Storm Cat<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P>Major Races \u2013 Win in the Vermont is 4 Lovers (G-1), Place in the Bluegrass Derby (G-1)<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P>Highest Speed \u2013 108<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>The early morning favorite to be dead last at the first call &#8230; Skitzoid is the true definition of a &#8220;dead closer&#8221;<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>Absolutely. He was 20 of 20 at first call in the Derby, 14 of 14 in the Florida Derby and 13 of 13 in the Vermont is 4 Lovers<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>Has won his last two races at 9.5 furlongs<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>And if you take out Ras, Skitzoid would have been a clear Derby winner<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>You have to wonder if he can catch the lead if he drops back so far again<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>You can&#8217;t beat the pedigree either<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>Pedigree is beautifull<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 16pt\">#13 Weekly Express 11\/1 Phantom Stables<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P>Pedigree \u2013 by Special Week out of e-grade mare Storm Express by Afleet Alex x Unbridled\u2019s Song.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P>Major Races \u2013 Win in the Florida Derby (G-1)<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P>Highest Speed \u2013 104<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>Fourth in the Bluegrass at 10 furlongs &#8230;.. first in the Florida Derby at 9f. What is in the cards for this runner at 9.5f?<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>I actually think he may be sitting on a big race.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>He has talent, but will need that big speed jump to compete for the win.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>His Florida Derby was a new top for him and to see him run back to that race in the Bluegrass suggests that he might be able to run a big one here.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>I think you might just see him moving forward<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>One runner left<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>He actually ran a heck of a race in the derby, but there were just some monster runs put out.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN><\/B><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 16pt\">#14 Lucky\u2019s Franklin 8\/1 Mr. Lucky\u2019s Stables<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P>Pedigree \u2013 by Curlin based on f-grade Lucky\u2019s Oh Hi Oh by A.P. Indy x Storm Cat<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P>Major Races &#8211; Places in the All Saints Derby (G-1) and Bluegrass Derby (G-1)<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P>Highest Speed \u2013 105<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>I&#8217;ll be honest this colt surprised me in the Derby and if he runs in the money here it will be without my money again.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>Still seeking that first graded win, this horse has shown the talent to compete at this level.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>I admit that run in the derby shocked me as well. But that is not saying much as my handicapping skills are less than stellar<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>I don&#8217;t think you can totally discount what he has done to date however<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>has finished in the money in both of his graded starts &#8230; both of which were Grade 1 runs<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>This will also be his fourth race in eight weeks. That&#8217;s a tough schedule for a young three year old.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>That is a fantastic point spin, and i admit i missed that.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>Don&#8217;t get me wrong I would love to have a horse like this. I just don&#8217;t see him moving forward yet again to be a factor in this spot.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>I agree<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>So that&#8217;s the field. What&#8217;s the play jet?<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>I have been thinking about this for a bit &#8230; but i think i have to go with 5-9-12 &#8230;.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>Silvertin \/ Ras \/ Skitzoid<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>Was very hard to discount Time For Buda &#038; Proust &#8230;. and Dynazeke could make a play.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>But i like my bet<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>I&#8217;m going with Final Exit \/ Weekly Express \/ Proust<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>I would box that bet .. as i am too chicken to bet against Ras to win<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>I think the filly will love the distance and may just be better than all the boys.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>Very interesting &#8230; you are banking on the Florida Derby winner to really pop a big number<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>I know I throw Ras out at my peril but I think the Derby may just have gotten to the bottom of him.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>I do think we&#8217;ll see an improvement from Weekly Express in this spot and if Proust is not too close to the pace he could run back to his earlier form.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>I am a sap .. and the thought of another triple crown winner in the sim has me rooting for Ras.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>I do think Silverton is the one sitting on a big run however.<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>That&#8217;s what makes the game fun jet!<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-spinround <\/B>Good luck to all the runners and we&#8217;ll see you back here for the New Yorker<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><P><B>HR-jetman: <\/B>I agree .. Luck to all the runners and may everyone come back Ready to Go!<o:p><\/o:p><\/P><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Spin and Jet Analyze the Field<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":401,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10212","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10212","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/401"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10212"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10212\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10212"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10212"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10212"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}