Race ID 3012499<\/p>\n\n\n\n
By Darcy \u201cDingo\u201d MacPhee<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n LATE MAIL:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n An urgent request just came in from my old cobber at the Black Stump Bungler to do a long range forecast. He says one of his mates reckons he has a dead cert in the Good Vista Handicap and would like my opinion on the field before he commits this month pension payment. I tried to explain that Ohio is nowhere near Miami (where I am currently enjoying the view and sunshine).<\/p>\n\n\n\n So he said \u201cJust give her ya best whack mate and handicap the race for me will ya?\u201d<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Well as any good Aussie knows when a mate asks for a favour, you always do your best to help him out. So, after studying the form this is what I came up with<\/p>\n\n\n\n 5\/2 Fav. No. 2 FREE AND FREE<\/a> <\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n Trainer \u201cjake\u201d has this 5 yo Bay Mare fit and raring to go, after a little more than 2 months since her last run she has been freshened for today\u2019s race. She has the form on the board at the Group 3 Level with 2 wins and a second at 5 attempts, with just the one bad race 2 starts back. Her 11 wins and 7 placings from 23 lifetime starts certainly earn her the right to be at the pinnacle of the odds for this race.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 3\/1 No. 6 IMMORAL MONSUN<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n As the second pick on the oddsmakers board, she also comes in with strong recent Group form winning the Ontario Molson Export Group 2 4 starts back last September. Coming of her last run an easy breeze for a win in a NW1t Allowance last December, trainer \u201cjacklad4\u201d seems to have set his sights on this race to have this flashy 6yo prove she has life in her legs yet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 7\/2 No. 8 CALL O\u2019 THE WILD<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Coming from the very successful \u201cblinkbonny\u201d stable, it does seem difficult to find a reason why she has been backed into the 3rd<\/sup> favourite for this race. Her form seems to be win or go home with 8 wins but only a single minor placing from 17 starts, she would definitely need to be \u201cON\u201d to have any chance in this race. With just a single listed stakes win and her last start 4th<\/sup> in her only Group Race try, there really isn\u2019t much to suggest she can improve. However, what she does have going for her is her trainer and the backing of a very good residency The Mecca<\/a> (renowned for producing good Turf runners) <\/p>\n\n\n\n 5\/1 No. 7 THE WEAPONS<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n She seems to be one of those horses where you think you have her worked out, then suddenly she throws you the ultimate curve ball. Imagine 3 easy allowance wins, the trainer \u201ccorza\u201d with a giant leap puts her right into a Group 1, where she charges home coming from 10th<\/sup> and 10 lengths back to run 3rd<\/sup> less than 2 lengths from the winner. You would have to think you have something special so why not let her take an easy win in a listed stakes for her next start, only to watch her drop to the tail of the field as usual, dead last but only 8 back at the home turn, she does absolutely nothing \u2026 passing 3 very tired horses in the straight and actually losing 2 lengths to the winner. However, with complete faith trainer \u201ccorza\u201d backs her up into todays race off a 7 week rest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 6\/1 No.3 GOLDACOPIA<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Gaining her Group 3 win badge over 18 months ago as a precocious 3 year old filly, just happened to be her last win. With 6 starts in 2022 all at Group Level the best she could manage were a 2nd<\/sup> and 3rd<\/sup> in the 1st<\/sup> half of the year, and it has all been a slippery slope since then. A 3 month break certainly won\u2019t have done her any harm and trainer \u201csaluki47\u201d must have great faith in her ability to succeed at this high level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 7\/1 No. 4 BLACK SWAN EVENTS<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n A horse with a very dark name with sinister overtones, for those who don\u2019t know what a Black Swan Event is, it is \u201ca phrase commonly used in the world of finance, is an extremely negative event or occurrence that is impossibly difficult to predict\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n So that being said a win today would definitely be a Black Swan Event for 90% of the punters betting on this race. With her best form reserved for her in house ASR Residency races, her trainer \u201casrfrankel2\u201d is hoping to beat the odds if expects her to show out in today\u2019s race.<\/p>\n\n\n\n