{"id":52389,"date":"2020-07-04T13:30:51","date_gmt":"2020-07-04T13:30:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=52389"},"modified":"2020-07-06T00:53:52","modified_gmt":"2020-07-06T00:53:52","slug":"nurefan-turf-filly-sprint-5f-turf-sprint-for-3yo-fillies","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=52389","title":{"rendered":"Nurefan Turf Filly Sprint – 5F Turf Sprint for 3yo Fillies"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Saturday, July 4, 2020 \u2014 1:30:00 PM EST
West Virginia \u2013 Open Stakes \u2013 Purse : $100,000
5 Furlongs \u2013 Firm Turf \u2013 Restricted to 3 Year Olds, Fillies Only<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Watch Race \u2013 3D Viewer<\/a>   \u2013   Watch Race \u2013 2D Viewer<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Post 1 – HONEYSUCKLE MELLOW – 9\/5<\/h1>\n\n\n\n

HONEYSUCKLE\nMELLOW is sired by FLOWER ALLEY and is running for the foxhold stable. \nHONEYSUCKLE\nMELLOW has won in 6 times in 9 starts for a 67% win rate and will be ridden by jockey W Bowman (2173 331-376-291 15%) from West Virginia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

12 Month Top Speed: 95 (1)
\nKegger\u2019s Projection: Favourite<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Post 2 – STRAVINSKY’S STAR – 3\/1<\/h1>\n\n\n\n

STRAVINSKY’S STAR is sired by\nELUSIVE STAR\nand is running for the cocobella6\nstable.  STRAVINSKY’S STAR has won in 7 times in 12\nstarts for a 58%\nwin rate and will be ridden by jockey Be Dixon (385 65-56-52 17%) from West\nVirginia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

12 Month Top Speed: 91\n(4)
\nKegger\u2019s Projection: Favourite<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Post 3 – SHOWS – 7\/2<\/h1>\n\n\n\n

SHOWS is sired by SHOWCASING\n(GB) and is running for the\nwhoami1\nstable.  SHOWS has won in 2 times in 10\nstarts for a 20%\nwin rate and will be ridden by jockey M Epps (224 27-30-24 12%) from West\nVirginia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

12 Month Top Speed: 94\n(2)
\nKegger\u2019s Projection: Favourite<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Post 4 – RELAXITIVE – 5\/1<\/h1>\n\n\n\n

RELAXITIVE is sired by ZOUSTAR\n(AUS) and is running for the\ncoagulate8\nstable.  RELAXITIVE has won in 1 times in 8 starts for\na 13%\nwin rate and will be ridden by jockey M Mickson (582 77-70-82 13%) from West\nVirginia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

12 Month Top Speed: 89\n(5)
\nKegger\u2019s Projection: Contender<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Post 5 – PACHANGA PARTY – 5\/2<\/h1>\n\n\n\n

PACHANGA PARTY is sired by\nWAR FRONT\nand is running for the erendirax\nstable.  PACHANGA PARTY has won in 4 times in 8 starts for\na 50%\nwin rate and will be ridden by jockey V Webb (2062 338-321-292 16%) from West\nVirginia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

12 Month Top Speed: 93 (3)
Kegger\u2019s Projection: Favourite<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kegger\u2019s Pace Projection<\/h1>\n\n\n\n
<\/td>C1<\/td>C2<\/td>C3<\/td>Fin<\/td><\/tr>
HONEYSUCKLE MELLOW<\/strong><\/td>0.00<\/td>0.00<\/td>0.00<\/td>0.00<\/td><\/tr>
STRAVINSKY’S STAR<\/strong><\/td>0.00<\/td>0.00<\/td>0.00<\/td>0.00<\/td><\/tr>
RELAXITIVE<\/td>-0.25<\/td>-0.50<\/td>0.00<\/td>0.00<\/td><\/tr>
PACHANGA PARTY<\/strong><\/td>-0.50<\/td>-0.44<\/td>0.00<\/td>0.00<\/td><\/tr>
SHOWS<\/strong><\/td>-1.63<\/td>-2.50<\/td>-1.50<\/td>0.00<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n

*Based on average lengths behind leader in winning runs.
*Projected Favourites <\/strong>in Bold<\/strong>
*Projected Long Shots Italicized<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

HONEYSUCKLE MELLOW<\/strong> and STRAVINSKY’S STAR<\/strong> are projected to lock into a duel from the gates, both having gone wire-to-wire in all career wins. Both are likely ‘need to lead’ runners, however neither have seen much time off the lead to test whether they can handle running off the lead. Both are also coming off stakes wins only a day apart (May 30\/31) and will be looking to back it up with another victory. A slight edge for the early lead can be given to HONEYSUCKLE MELLOW<\/strong> for posting higher recent speeds, but few would be surprised if STRAVINSKY’S STAR<\/strong> came away with the holeshot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

RELAXITIVE and PACHANGA PARTY<\/strong> should both be expected to sit just off the lead, with both showing a preference to sit within a half length of the leaders. This should generate an interesting battle from gate to wire as four of the five runners should be within a length (or closer) from wire to wire if they all run at their peak. RELAXITIVE is the longest short of the field, coming off her maiden breaking victory last time out and will need a career best to contend with this field. PACHANGA PARTY<\/strong> on the other hand is coming off two solid stakes runs, the last of which she may have let the leaders get too far ahead (2.25 length) in a 2nd place finish where one of the front runners held on for the win, expect her to keep a tight gap with the leaders to maximize her potential.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

SHOWS<\/strong> should have lots of room, as she is the only runner in the field that projects to sit off the pace. She comes in off an allowance win where she kept within 2-3 lengths of the leaders and will be hoping to take advantage of the congestion up front to find her way back to victory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kegger\u2019s Predictions<\/h1>\n\n\n\n

Holeshot<\/strong>: HONEYSUCKLE MELLOW<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Favourite<\/strong>: PACHANGA PARTY (5\/2)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Saturday, July 4, 2020 \u2014 1:30:00 PM ESTWest Virginia \u2013 Open Stakes \u2013 Purse : $100,0005 Furlongs \u2013 Firm Turf<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":66,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52389"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/66"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=52389"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"http:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52389\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":52396,"href":"http:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52389\/revisions\/52396"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=52389"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=52389"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=52389"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}