{"id":52382,"date":"2020-07-03T14:30:12","date_gmt":"2020-07-03T14:30:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=52382"},"modified":"2020-07-04T13:37:10","modified_gmt":"2020-07-04T13:37:10","slug":"lean-machine-stakes-g2-dirt-sprint-for-2yo-fillies","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=52382","title":{"rendered":"Lean Machine Stakes (G2) &#8211; Dirt Sprint for 2yo Fillies"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Saturday, July 4, 2020 \u2014 2:30:00 PM EST<br>Michigan \u2013 Grade II \u2013 Purse : $375,000<br>6.5 Furlongs \u2013 Fast Dirt \u2013 Restricted to 2 Year Olds, Fillies Only<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/derbyfever.com\/viewer\/newview.asp?d3=&amp;raceid=2356435\">Watch Race \u2013 3D Viewer<\/a>&nbsp; &nbsp;\u2013&nbsp; &nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/derbyfever.com\/onerace.asp?whicher=old&amp;raceid=2356435\">Watch Race \u2013 2D Viewer<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h1>Post 1 &#8211; SUNDAY KEGGER &#8211; 4\/1<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>SUNDAY KEGGER is sired by QUALITY ROAD and is running for the beermug stable.&nbsp;\nSUNDAY KEGGER has won in 0 times in 1 starts for a 0% win rate and will be ridden by jockey T O&#8217;Conner (1069 206-194-151 19%) from Indiana.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>12 Month Top Speed: 79 (3)<br>\nKegger\u2019s Projection: Favourite<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h1>Post 2 &#8211; MCCRAKEN RUM &#8211; 8\/1<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>MCCRAKEN RUM is sired by MCCRAKEN\nand is running for the loves3\nstable.&nbsp; MCCRAKEN RUM has won in 1 times in 1 starts for\na 100%\nwin rate and will be ridden by jockey P Fuller (106 9-28-9 8%) from Michigan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>12 Month Top Speed: 71\n(8)<br>\nKegger\u2019s Projection: Long Shot<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h1>Post 3 &#8211; TARA TELLER &#8211; 9\/1<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>TARA TELLER is sired by ESKENDEREYA\nand is running for the bronx\nstable.&nbsp; TARA TELLER has won in 2 times in 3 starts for\na 67%\nwin rate and will be ridden by jockey V Gardner (2745 581-452-381 21%) from Florida.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>12 Month Top Speed: 73\n(7)<br>\nKegger\u2019s Projection: Long Shot<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h1>Post 4 &#8211; KOWHAI &#8211; 11\/1<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>KOWHAI is sired by WAR CHANT\nand is running for the derbyking\nstable.&nbsp; KOWHAI has won in 1 times in 1 starts for\na 100%\nwin rate and will be ridden by jockey CT Euler (190 23-31-29 12%) from Indiana.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>12 Month Top Speed: 66\n(11)<br>\nKegger\u2019s Projection: Long Shot<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h1>Post 5 &#8211; TEMPT THE LION &#8211; 10\/1<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>TEMPT THE LION is sired by\nCURLIN\nand is running for the lenny20\nstable.&nbsp; TEMPT THE LION has won in 2 times in 2 starts for\na 100%\nwin rate and will be ridden by jockey R Bokie (2106 516-370-333 25%) from Virginia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>12 Month Top Speed: 66\n(11)<br>\nKegger\u2019s Projection: Long Shot<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h1>Post 6 &#8211; HIGHEST ARCHANGEL &#8211; 7\/1<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>HIGHEST ARCHANGEL is sired by\nMORE THAN\nREADY and is running for the\nluvit\nstable.&nbsp; HIGHEST ARCHANGEL has won in 2 times in 3 starts for\na 67%\nwin rate and will be ridden by jockey D Agmara (517 93-79-68 18%) from Illinois.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>12 Month Top Speed: 80\n(2)<br>\nKegger\u2019s Projection: Favourite<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h1>Post 7 &#8211; FLEETWOOD BURG &#8211; 15\/1<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>FLEETWOOD BURG is sired by\nCONQUEST\nCURLINATE and is running for the\njeter\nstable.&nbsp; FLEETWOOD BURG has won in 3 times in 5 starts for\na 60%\nwin rate and will be ridden by jockey G McGraw (184 15-19-29 8%) from Florida.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>12 Month Top Speed: 74\n(6)<br>\nKegger\u2019s Projection: Contender<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h1>Post 8 &#8211; SCAT DANCING DEB &#8211; 16\/1<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>SCAT DANCING DEB is sired by\nALWAYS\nDREAMING and is running for the\ntheprofit7\nstable.&nbsp; SCAT DANCING DEB has won in 1 times in 1 starts for\na 100%\nwin rate and will be ridden by jockey T Mafit (572 94-101-82 16%) from Indiana.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>12 Month Top Speed: 70\n(10)<br>\nKegger\u2019s Projection: Long Shot<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h1>Post 9 &#8211; FLEETWOOD COBRA &#8211; 8\/1<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>FLEETWOOD COBRA is sired by\nNYQUIST\nand is running for the fleetwood\nstable.&nbsp; FLEETWOOD COBRA has won in 2 times in 3 starts for\na 67%\nwin rate and will be ridden by jockey D Herren (334 38-30-40 11%) from Florida.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>12 Month Top Speed: 75\n(5)<br>\nKegger\u2019s Projection: Contender<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h1>Post 10 &#8211; BENEFIT ANALYSIS &#8211; 10\/1<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>BENEFIT ANALYSIS is sired by\nLIAM&#8217;S MAP\nand is running for the orderofstgeorge\nstable.&nbsp; BENEFIT ANALYSIS has won in 1 times in 1 starts for\na 100%\nwin rate and will be ridden by jockey E Sharp (2416 599-426-380 25%) from Ohio.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>12 Month Top Speed: 71\n(8)<br>\nKegger\u2019s Projection: Long Shot<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h1>Post 11 &#8211; ELUSIVE MELODY &#8211; 7\/1<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>ELUSIVE MELODY is sired by\nMACLEAN&#8217;S\nMUSIC and is running for the\ngiven7\nstable.&nbsp; ELUSIVE MELODY has won in 2 times in 2 starts for\na 100%\nwin rate and will be ridden by jockey O A Haack (2708 559-472-370 21%) from Florida.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>12 Month Top Speed: 82\n(1)<br>\nKegger\u2019s Projection: Favourite<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h1>Post 12 &#8211; GILFOYLE &#8211; 8\/1<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>GILFOYLE is sired by UNION RAGS\nand is running for the teamasr5\nstable.&nbsp; GILFOYLE has won in 2 times in 3 starts for\na 67%\nwin rate and will be ridden by jockey B Orazio (1755 358-304-263 20%) from Illinois.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>12 Month Top Speed: 77 (4)<br> Kegger\u2019s Projection: Contender<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h1>Kegger\u2019s Pace Projection<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\"><tbody><tr><td><\/td><td>C1<\/td><td>C2<\/td><td>C3<\/td><td>Fin<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>BENEFIT ANALYSIS<\/em><\/td><td>0.00<\/td><td>0.00<\/td><td>0.00<\/td><td>0.00<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>TEMPT THE LION<\/em><\/td><td>-0.38<\/td><td>-0.63<\/td><td>0.00<\/td><td>0.00<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>FLEETWOOD COBRA<\/td><td>-0.63<\/td><td>-0.88<\/td><td>-0.25<\/td><td>0.00<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>GILFOYLE<\/td><td>-0.75<\/td><td>-0.88<\/td><td>0.00<\/td><td>0.00<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>SUNDAY KEGGER<\/strong><\/td><td>-1.25<\/td><td>-1.50<\/td><td>0.00<\/td><td>0.00<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>HIGHEST ARCHANGEL<\/strong><\/td><td>-1.38<\/td><td>-1.75<\/td><td>-0.25<\/td><td>0.00<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>ELUSIVE MELODY<\/strong><\/td><td>-1.88<\/td><td>-2.63<\/td><td>-0.75<\/td><td>0.00<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>MCCRAKEN RUM<\/em><\/td><td>-2.25<\/td><td>-3.25<\/td><td>-1.75<\/td><td>0.00<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>KOWHAI<\/em><\/td><td>-2.25<\/td><td>-3.50<\/td><td>-2.00<\/td><td>0.00<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>FLEETWOOD BURG<\/td><td>-2.50<\/td><td>-3.67<\/td><td>-2.08<\/td><td>0.00<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>SCAT DANCING DEB<\/em><\/td><td>-3.25<\/td><td>-4.75<\/td><td>-2.75<\/td><td>0.00<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>TARA TELLER<\/em><\/td><td>-3.50<\/td><td>-5.00<\/td><td>-2.75<\/td><td>0.00<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n<p>*Based on average lengths behind leader in winning runs.<br>*Projected&nbsp;<strong>Favourites&nbsp;<\/strong>in&nbsp;<strong>Bold<\/strong><br>*Projected&nbsp;<em>Long Shots Italicized<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>BENEFIT ANALYSIS<\/em>, <em>TEMPT THE LION<\/em>, FLEETWOOD COBRA, and GILFOYLE are projected to form the lead pack. <em>BENEFIT ANALYSIS<\/em> went wire-to-wire in her debut and only race, while  <em>TEMPT THE LION<\/em> wired the field in her 2nd outing after stalking the leader in her debut.  Both should fight for the holeshot, however they will be closely followed by FLEETWOOD COBRA and GILFOYLE who are both projected to sit within a length of the leaders making their push by the third checkpoint.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>SUNDAY KEGGER<\/strong>,  <strong>HIGHEST ARCHANGEL<\/strong>, and <strong>ELUSIVE MELODY<\/strong> are the three favourites in the field, and all three are expected to sit within two lengths of the leaders.   <strong>SUNDAY KEGGER<\/strong> has been picked as the odds-on favourite, however she is also the only runner in the field who has yet to notch a victory having been overtaken by a quarter length at the wire.  <strong>HIGHEST ARCHANGEL<\/strong> is coming off a Grade 3 victory in her last race, as the only graded winner in the pack she will be expected to put up a fight for a perfect graded record. <strong>ELUSIVE MELODY<\/strong> is undefeated after posting a huge speed jump in her stakes debut, which is the high speed for this field, if she can hold form its hard to think she won&#8217;t be ready for her graded debut.  There would be little surprise if these three manage to stick within a length of eachother all race and pull off a 1-2-3 finish, the order though is likely a toss-up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>MCCRAKEN RUM<\/em>, <em>KOWHAI<\/em>, FLEETWOOD BURG, <em>SCAT DANCING DEB<\/em> and <em>TARA TELLER<\/em> are all projected to sit to the back of the field out of the gate looking to make their push late down the stretch.  Most of the closing pack are long-shots who will need a huge jump in speed to be able to close in on the favourites who should be able to ensure the eventual winner will put up a top 2yo run.  FLEETWOOD BURG stands out among the closers with a stakes win under her belt as well as a 3rd place victory in a May Grade 3 race, if she can show improvement she may be able to mount a push from the back of the pack.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h1>Kegger\u2019s Predictions<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Favourite<\/strong>: HIGHEST ARCHANGEL (7\/1)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Longshot Pick<\/strong>: FLEETWOOD BURG (15\/1)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Saturday, July 4, 2020 \u2014 2:30:00 PM ESTMichigan \u2013 Grade II \u2013 Purse : $375,0006.5 Furlongs \u2013 Fast Dirt \u2013<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":66,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52382"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/66"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=52382"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"http:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52382\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":52385,"href":"http:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52382\/revisions\/52385"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=52382"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=52382"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=52382"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}